FinalWin Prob.pScore
367%116
94
2333%110
93
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
98.99599.3
DAL logo DAL
97.99591.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.94
100%
93
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.95 47.5%
DAL
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
23
65%
DAL
15
24
63%
Midrange
HOU
1
13
8%
DAL
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
16
24.0
52
31%
46%
DAL
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
HOU
14
22
64%
DAL
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Gordon2665%13.0 / 20
J. Harden2042%10.0 / 24
C. Capela1785%8.5 / 10
G. Green1142%5.5 / 13
P. Tucker9113%4.5 / 4
C. Paul935%4.5 / 13
A. Rivers225%1.0 / 4
Nene0-0.0 / 1
I. Shumpert0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić1948%9.5 / 20
J. Brunson1860%9.0 / 15
M. Kleber1063%5.0 / 8
T. Hardaway941%4.5 / 11
D. Powell975%4.5 / 6
D. Harris880%4.0 / 5
J. Jackson744%3.5 / 8
D. Nowitzki650%3.0 / 6
D. Finney-Smith440%2.0 / 5
C. Lee375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
83
+17
-12
100
DAL
79
+12
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.95 47.5%
DAL
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
109.2
HOU 98.9 +1.1
DAL 97.9
Pace
98.0
99.1
HOU 99.3 +8.3
DAL 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
HOU 14.5 +1.3
DAL 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
51.8%
HOU 45.5%
DAL 47.3% +1.8%
TO %
12.8%
13.6%
HOU 11.7% +4.7%
DAL 16.4%
ORB %
22.8%
22.6%
HOU 24.1%
DAL 26.3% +2.2%
FTrt
27.9
29.1
HOU 25.0
DAL 36.0 +11.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.3%
HOU 56.3%
DAL 77.4% +21.1%
STL %
8.6%
6.5%
HOU 6.3%
DAL 6.3%
BLK %
8.7%
7.6%
HOU 9.3%
DAL 25.0% +15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
54.2%
HOU 47.5%
DAL 51.7% +4.2%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.0%
HOU 65.2% +2.7%
DAL 62.5%
Mid FG%
41.8%
39.0%
HOU 7.7%
DAL 36.8% +29.1%
3P %
35.6%
34.0%
HOU 30.8% +2.7%
DAL 28.1%
FT %
79.1%
74.2%
HOU 63.6%
DAL 81.5% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
33.8%
HOU 26.1%
DAL 32.0% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
24.0%
HOU 14.8% +10.6%
DAL 25.3%
3P Att. %
51.9%
42.2%
HOU 59.1% +16.4%
DAL 42.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUDAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points9493
Rebounds4151
Assists1824
Steals66
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (6)41 (3)
Field Goals32-8831-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-24
Midrange FG1-137-19
2-Point FG16-3622-43
3-Point FG16-529-32
Free Throws14-2222-27
Fast Break Pts411
2nd Chance Pts168
Points in Paint3238
Pts off Turnovers1016
Bench Points1334
Biggest Lead123

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
37.9
9
113%
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
35.6
17
85%
12
1
1
1
1
3
7
5
5-8
63%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 30
33.9
20
42%
5
4
0
1
5
5
1
4
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
3-15
20%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
32.8
9
35%
3
9
2
2
3
2
0
3
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
2-8
25%
#10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 30
31.8
26
65%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
5-13
38%
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 27
28.1
2
25%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
22.3
11
42%
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
3-8
38%
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
12.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'5" 212 · 29
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 29
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Contusion
#9 · PF · 6'9" 252 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
48%
41
18
6
4
12
20
13
28
14-22
64%
16-36
44%
16-52
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.