FinalWin Prob.pScore
1239%108
89
961%112
106
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
91.89792.2
PHI logo PHI
107.199104.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDPHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.89
0%
106
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.88 44.1%
PHI
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
36
42%
PHI
21
39
54%
Midrange
IND
11
31
35%
PHI
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
PHI
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
IND
22
37
59%
PHI
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic1850%9.0 / 18
D. Collison1454%7.0 / 13
D. McDermott10100%5.0 / 5
T. Young941%4.5 / 11
D. Sabonis935%4.5 / 13
M. Turner643%3.0 / 7
A. Holiday675%3.0 / 4
K. O'Quinn675%3.0 / 4
W. Matthews531%2.5 / 8
C. Joseph433%2.0 / 6
T. Leaf225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Embiid3363%16.5 / 26
T. Harris1653%8.0 / 15
B. Simmons1575%7.5 / 10
J. Butler1255%6.0 / 11
J. Redick956%4.5 / 8
M. Scott850%4.0 / 8
J. Ennis III867%4.0 / 6
J. Simmons3150%1.5 / 1
T. McConnell220%1.0 / 5
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
J. Patton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+17
-14
100
PHI
86
+18
-13
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.88 44.1%
PHI
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
112.0
IND 91.8 +15.3
PHI 107.1
Pace
98.2
102.2
IND 92.2
PHI 104.4 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.1
IND 15.6
PHI 13.8 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.2%
IND 40.4%
PHI 47.7% +7.3%
TO %
13.5%
14.0%
IND 12.4%
PHI 11.5% +0.9%
ORB %
21.9%
24.5%
IND 23.5%
PHI 28.9% +5.4%
FTrt
24.2
31.2
IND 44.6 +10.1
PHI 34.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
64.8%
IND 58.1%
PHI 63.2% +5.1%
STL %
8.9%
7.2%
IND 8.2%
PHI 10.1% +1.9%
BLK %
9.2%
8.6%
IND 6.3% +1.8%
PHI 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
56.1%
IND 44.1%
PHI 51.0% +6.9%
Rim FG%
60.4%
63.0%
IND 41.7%
PHI 53.8% +12.1%
Mid FG%
41.1%
40.5%
IND 35.5%
PHI 40.0% +4.5%
3P %
37.4%
35.9%
IND 31.3% +0.9%
PHI 30.4%
FT %
75.1%
77.1%
IND 59.5%
PHI 76.7% +17.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
36.3%
IND 43.4%
PHI 44.8% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
29.5%
IND 37.3%
PHI 28.7% +8.6%
3P Att. %
29.1%
34.2%
IND 19.3%
PHI 26.4% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDPHI
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes25.322.8
Points89106
Rebounds4452
Assists1824
Steals810
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2726
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)39 (4)
Field Goals31-8338-87
At-the-Rim FG15-3621-39
Midrange FG11-3110-25
2-Point FG26-6731-64
3-Point FG5-167-23
Free Throws22-3723-30
Fast Break Pts1115
2nd Chance Pts1216
Points in Paint4056
Pts off Turnovers1219
Bench Points3721
Biggest Lead1418

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
39.3
5
31%
4
1
1
0
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
37.2
9
41%
9
3
0
0
3
3
4
5
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
33.6
18
50%
5
2
2
0
2
3
0
5
5-8
63%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
30.4
14
54%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
3-7
43%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
19.1
6
43%
5
1
0
3
1
5
2
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
22.4
4
33%
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
20.2
9
35%
6
6
1
0
5
4
2
4
7-12
58%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
14.8
10
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
8.2
6
75%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
7.6
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
5.1
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Upper Respiratory Infection
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Injury
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
44%
44
18
8
4
14
27
12
32
22-37
59%
26-67
39%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.