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All Games Sunday, March 10, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Raptors
54%107
125
13
Heat
46%106
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
123.8101101.7
MIA logo MIA
102.0102101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.125
100%
104
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.39 69.4%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
20
70%
MIA
24
44
55%
Midrange
TOR
7
14
50%
MIA
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
21
31.5
40
53%
79%
MIA
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
TOR
20
26
77%
MIA
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2480%12.0 / 15
P. Siakam2071%10.0 / 14
D. Green1583%7.5 / 9
N. Powell1583%7.5 / 9
O. Anunoby1169%5.5 / 8
J. Lin1169%5.5 / 8
P. McCaw10100%5.0 / 5
S. Ibaka1071%5.0 / 7
M. Gasol675%3.0 / 4
M. Miller375%1.5 / 2
C. Boucher0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1979%9.5 / 12
D. Waiters1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wade1563%7.5 / 12
R. McGruder1372%6.5 / 9
G. Dragic1169%5.5 / 8
J. Winslow1036%5.0 / 14
J. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
H. Whiteside844%4.0 / 9
D. Jones467%2.0 / 3
K. Olynyk16%0.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
82
+8
-19
90
MIA
89
+14
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.39 69.4%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
107.5
TOR 123.8 +21.8
MIA 102.0
Pace
100.2
98.1
TOR 101.7 +0.4
MIA 101.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
TOR 14.2 +0.1
MIA 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
51.5%
TOR 70.9% +20.9%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
TOR 19.7%
MIA 12.1% +7.6%
ORB %
21.8%
24.8%
TOR 18.2%
MIA 19.1% +0.9%
FTrt
24.7
24.7
TOR 35.1 +12.3
MIA 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
61.2%
TOR 76.2% +11.9%
MIA 64.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
TOR 7.9%
MIA 12.7% +4.8%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
TOR 12.3% +12.3%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
52.9%
TOR 69.4% +18.9%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
TOR 70.0% +15.5%
MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%
43.1%
36.8%
TOR 50.0% +2.4%
MIA 47.6%
3P %
36.6%
34.9%
TOR 52.5% +22.9%
MIA 29.6%
FT %
80.4%
69.5%
TOR 76.9% +19.8%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
37.3%
TOR 27.0%
MIA 47.8% +20.8%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
25.9%
TOR 18.9% +3.9%
MIA 22.8%
3P Att. %
37.9%
36.8%
TOR 54.1% +24.7%
MIA 29.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points125104
Rebounds4436
Assists3227
Steals813
Blocks80
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)13 (1)
Fouls2322
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)27 (0)
Field Goals42-7442-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2024-44
Midrange FG7-1410-21
2-Point FG21-3434-65
3-Point FG21-408-27
Free Throws20-2612-21
Fast Break Pts2111
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint3460
Pts off Turnovers1016
Bench Points4651
Biggest Lead242

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
35.5
24
80%
7
10
0
0
6
2
1
6
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
29.1
20
71%
5
5
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-5
60%
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
26.1
15
83%
6
4
1
0
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
Patrick McCaw
#1 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 23
26.0
10
100%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
Serge Ibaka
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
22.4
10
71%
8
1
0
3
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
Norman Powell
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
24.4
15
83%
2
4
0
0
2
3
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
OG Anunoby
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
23.9
11
69%
3
1
2
1
3
4
2
1
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
23.2
11
69%
3
1
2
2
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
21.9
6
75%
6
3
2
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Miller
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
3.7
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Chris Boucher
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Load Management - Knee
Fred VanVleet
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Ligament
Jordan Loyd
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
69%
44
32
8
8
19
23
6
38
20-26
77%
21-34
62%
21-40
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.