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All Games Saturday, March 9, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Hornets
19%108
114
2
Bucks
81%121
131
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
110.710399.3
MIL logo MIL
126.0104108.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.114
0%
131
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.15 57.6%
MIL
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
23
74%
MIL
24
37
65%
Midrange
CHA
12
31
39%
MIL
3
9
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
MIL
17
25.5
44
39%
58%
Free Throws
CHA
11
14
79%
MIL
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2554%12.5 / 23
F. Kaminsky1680%8.0 / 10
M. Bridges1594%7.5 / 8
N. Batum1464%7.0 / 11
J. Lamb1458%7.0 / 12
C. Zeller1050%5.0 / 10
D. Graham650%3.0 / 6
M. Williams528%2.5 / 9
D. Bacon330%1.5 / 5
W. Hernangomez3150%1.5 / 1
M. Monk375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2693%13.0 / 14
B. Lopez2589%12.5 / 14
M. Brogdon1864%9.0 / 14
N. Mirotic1882%9.0 / 11
E. Bledsoe1146%5.5 / 12
D. DiVincenzo1179%5.5 / 7
K. Middleton938%4.5 / 12
E. Ilyasova750%3.5 / 7
T. Snell429%2.0 / 7
P. Connaughton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
91
+8
-12
99
MIL
92
+16
-12
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.15 57.6%
MIL
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.9
CHA 110.7
MIL 126.0 +15.3
Pace
98.7
103.2
CHA 99.3
MIL 108.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
13.9
CHA 14.5
MIL 13.3 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
55.0%
CHA 55.4%
MIL 58.3% +2.9%
TO %
11.7%
12.8%
CHA 11.6%
MIL 11.2% +0.4%
ORB %
21.9%
20.8%
CHA 12.8%
MIL 32.6% +19.8%
FTrt
25.7
25.5
CHA 15.1
MIL 33.3 +18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.1%
CHA 56.8%
MIL 61.4% +4.6%
STL %
7.2%
7.2%
CHA 3.9%
MIL 8.7% +4.8%
BLK %
8.9%
10.4%
CHA 4.3% +0.6%
MIL 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
57.1%
CHA 57.6%
MIL 60.6% +3.0%
Rim FG%
56.9%
64.1%
CHA 73.9% +9.0%
MIL 64.9%
Mid FG%
41.7%
39.4%
CHA 38.7% +5.4%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.2%
CHA 38.5%
MIL 38.6% +0.1%
FT %
79.7%
77.2%
CHA 78.6%
MIL 86.7% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
40.2%
CHA 24.7%
MIL 41.1% +16.4%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
17.8%
CHA 33.3%
MIL 10.0% +23.3%
3P Att. %
37.8%
42.0%
CHA 41.9%
MIL 48.9% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIL
Possessions103104
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points114131
Rebounds3555
Assists2527
Steals49
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (1)
Fouls2417
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)41 (1)
Field Goals44-9344-90
At-the-Rim FG17-2324-37
Midrange FG12-313-9
2-Point FG29-5427-46
3-Point FG15-3917-44
Free Throws11-1426-30
Fast Break Pts623
2nd Chance Pts1119
Points in Paint5048
Pts off Turnovers1813
Bench Points4542
Biggest Lead1418

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 30
36.6
14
64%
8
4
0
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
31.2
25
54%
3
4
0
1
3
5
1
2
0-2
0%
8-14
57%
3-8
38%
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
31.2
5
28%
8
2
1
0
1
3
0
8
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
25.9
15
94%
6
2
0
0
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
23.1
10
50%
3
2
1
0
1
4
1
2
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
27.0
14
58%
4
3
0
1
3
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
0-4
0%
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
21.0
16
80%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 24
19.8
3
30%
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Devonte' Graham
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
17.1
6
50%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
3.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21
3.1
3
75%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Shelvin Mack
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee strain
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Rest
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
58%
35
25
4
2
12
24
6
29
11-14
79%
29-54
54%
15-39
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.