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All Games Friday, March 8, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Nuggets
39%114
105
4
Warriors
61%118
122
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.0104103.9
GSW logo GSW
118.4103103.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENGSW
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
122
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.1%
GSW
1.28 64.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
11
16
69%
GSW
16
20
80%
Midrange
DEN
10
38
26%
GSW
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
GSW
18
27.0
35
51%
77%
Free Throws
DEN
27
35
77%
GSW
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Morris1777%8.5 / 11
M. Beasley1765%8.5 / 13
N. Jokić1667%8.0 / 12
J. Murray1155%5.5 / 10
T. Craig1161%5.5 / 9
P. Millsap956%4.5 / 8
M. Plumlee844%4.0 / 9
G. Harris660%3.0 / 5
W. Barton523%2.5 / 11
I. Thomas550%2.5 / 5
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thompson39103%19.5 / 19
K. Durant2687%13.0 / 15
S. Curry1753%8.5 / 16
D. Cousins1359%6.5 / 11
K. Looney975%4.5 / 6
A. Iguodala770%3.5 / 5
D. Green433%2.0 / 6
A. McKinnie375%1.5 / 2
S. Livingston2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jerebko2100%1.0 / 1
J. Bell0-0.0 / 1
D. Lee0-0.0 / 1
Q. Cook0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+20
-16
108
GSW
86
+9
-17
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.1%
GSW
1.28 64.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
115.5
DEN 101.0
GSW 118.4 +17.5
Pace
98.0
101.3
DEN 103.9 +0.7
GSW 103.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.9
DEN 13.9 +0.1
GSW 14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
56.4%
DEN 44.8%
GSW 64.3% +19.5%
TO %
13.1%
13.5%
DEN 15.0% +0.4%
GSW 15.4%
ORB %
26.6%
22.5%
DEN 28.0% +7.5%
GSW 20.5%
FTrt
23.2
22.7
DEN 40.2 +15.2
GSW 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
66.8%
DEN 63.6%
GSW 71.1% +7.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.4%
DEN 8.7%
GSW 9.7% +1.0%
BLK %
8.2%
11.3%
DEN 6.1%
GSW 18.5% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
58.3%
DEN 49.1%
GSW 64.2% +15.1%
Rim FG%
59.6%
66.3%
DEN 68.8%
GSW 80.0% +11.2%
Mid FG%
43.3%
45.8%
DEN 26.3%
GSW 37.9% +11.6%
3P %
35.1%
38.5%
DEN 36.4%
GSW 51.4% +15.0%
FT %
75.5%
80.1%
DEN 77.1% +10.4%
GSW 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
29.6%
DEN 18.4%
GSW 23.8% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
32.0%
DEN 43.7%
GSW 34.5% +9.2%
3P Att. %
34.8%
38.4%
DEN 37.9%
GSW 41.7% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsDENGSW
Possessions104103
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points105122
Rebounds4544
Assists2132
Steals910
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)17 (0)
Fouls2228
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals33-8745-84
At-the-Rim FG11-1616-20
Midrange FG10-3811-29
2-Point FG21-5427-49
3-Point FG12-3318-35
Free Throws27-3514-21
Fast Break Pts1829
2nd Chance Pts1811
Points in Paint3442
Pts off Turnovers2923
Bench Points5823
Biggest Lead122

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
28.8
16
67%
6
4
4
1
2
2
3
3
5-8
63%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
25.7
5
23%
9
0
2
0
3
1
1
8
0-0
-
1-7
14%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
22.8
11
55%
0
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
22.4
6
60%
2
1
0
0
2
3
1
1
6-8
75%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
15.7
9
56%
4
1
0
0
2
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
28.6
17
77%
0
6
2
0
1
2
0
0
6-7
86%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
26.8
17
65%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
5-13
38%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
25.9
11
61%
10
1
0
1
2
2
4
6
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
23.1
8
44%
12
2
1
1
1
3
3
9
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
14.9
5
50%
1
3
0
0
2
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Strain
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
49%
45
21
9
3
16
22
14
31
27-35
77%
21-54
39%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.