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All Games Friday, March 8, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Raptors
71%119
127
25
Pelicans
29%111
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
114.4111108.7
NOP logo NOP
92.0113115.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORNOP
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.127
100%
104
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.21 60.5%
NOP
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
29
42
69%
NOP
15
29
52%
Midrange
TOR
11
20
55%
NOP
18
37
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
NOP
10
15.0
39
26%
38%
Free Throws
TOR
8
9
89%
NOP
8
13
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3178%15.5 / 20
P. Siakam1963%9.5 / 15
J. Lin1478%7.0 / 9
K. Lowry1350%6.5 / 13
D. Green1381%6.5 / 8
S. Ibaka1260%6.0 / 10
N. Powell850%4.0 / 8
O. Anunoby7117%3.5 / 3
M. Miller675%3.0 / 4
M. Gasol433%2.0 / 6
P. McCaw0-0.0 / 1
C. Boucher0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. Jackson2059%10.0 / 17
J. Randle1850%9.0 / 18
C. Diallo1653%8.0 / 15
E. Payton1372%6.5 / 9
I. Clark1139%5.5 / 14
D. Miller1050%5.0 / 10
K. Williams956%4.5 / 8
S. Hill338%1.5 / 4
J. Okafor233%1.0 / 3
S. Johnson217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
95
+9
-16
104
NOP
96
+16
-17
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.21 60.5%
NOP
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
111.3
TOR 114.4
NOP 92.0 +22.4
Pace
100.2
103.4
TOR 108.7
NOP 115.5 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.7
TOR 13.3
NOP 12.5 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
52.9%
TOR 60.1% +14.4%
NOP 45.7%
TO %
13.2%
14.0%
TOR 13.4%
NOP 13.3% +0.1%
ORB %
21.8%
24.1%
TOR 15.9%
NOP 24.1% +8.2%
FTrt
24.7
25.4
TOR 9.1
NOP 12.4 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
61.9%
TOR 58.5%
NOP 65.1% +6.6%
STL %
8.2%
7.2%
TOR 9.0%
NOP 9.7% +0.7%
BLK %
9.1%
9.1%
TOR 18.2% +18.2%
NOP 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.3%
TOR 60.5% +14.1%
NOP 46.4%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.1%
TOR 69.0% +17.3%
NOP 51.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
41.1%
TOR 55.0% +6.4%
NOP 48.6%
3P %
36.6%
34.4%
TOR 35.1% +9.5%
NOP 25.6%
FT %
80.4%
76.1%
TOR 88.9% +27.4%
NOP 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
40.2%
TOR 42.4% +14.8%
NOP 27.6%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
27.4%
TOR 20.2% +15.0%
NOP 35.2%
3P Att. %
37.9%
32.4%
TOR 37.4% +0.2%
NOP 37.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORNOP
Possessions111113
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points127104
Rebounds5151
Assists3128
Steals1011
Blocks120
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls1412
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals53-9943-105
At-the-Rim FG29-4215-29
Midrange FG11-2018-37
2-Point FG40-6233-66
3-Point FG13-3710-39
Free Throws8-98-13
Fast Break Pts5315
2nd Chance Pts1021
Points in Paint6652
Pts off Turnovers2515
Bench Points4742
Biggest Lead266

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
3 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
34.5
13
50%
11
12
2
0
1
0
1
10
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-9
33%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
29.2
19
63%
5
4
1
2
2
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
27.3
31
78%
1
2
2
0
2
1
0
1
2-3
67%
13-15
87%
1-5
20%
Danny Green
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
23.8
13
81%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
Marc Gasol
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
18.9
4
33%
9
1
0
2
2
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
25.5
12
60%
11
1
1
5
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
OG Anunoby
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
22.8
7
117%
3
3
3
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
Norman Powell
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
22.2
8
50%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lin
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
22.1
14
78%
1
3
0
0
4
5
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
Patrick McCaw
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
6.7
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Malcolm Miller
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
3.6
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Chris Boucher
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Fred VanVleet
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Ligament
Jordan Loyd
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
127
61%
51
31
10
12
16
14
7
44
8-9
89%
40-62
65%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.