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All Games Thursday, March 7, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Pacers
28%108
98
2
Bucks
72%116
117
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
97.0101111.2
MIL logo MIL
117.010091.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 48.0%
MIL
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
27
44%
MIL
22
35
63%
Midrange
IND
9
26
35%
MIL
7
16
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
MIL
14
21.0
35
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
14
20
70%
MIL
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner2255%11.0 / 20
B. Bogdanovic1757%8.5 / 15
K. O'Quinn1169%5.5 / 8
W. Matthews1045%5.0 / 11
T. Young1050%5.0 / 10
D. Collison945%4.5 / 10
D. McDermott758%3.5 / 6
C. Joseph528%2.5 / 9
T. Evans325%1.5 / 6
T. Leaf2100%1.0 / 1
A. Holiday250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2969%14.5 / 21
K. Middleton2775%13.5 / 18
B. Lopez1393%6.5 / 7
E. Bledsoe1267%6.0 / 9
T. Snell975%4.5 / 6
E. Ilyasova964%4.5 / 7
M. Brogdon739%3.5 / 9
D. DiVincenzo563%2.5 / 4
P. Connaughton350%1.5 / 3
N. Mirotic217%1.0 / 6
P. Gasol125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
91
+11
-10
102
MIL
87
+11
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 48.0%
MIL
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
113.9
IND 97.0 +20.0
MIL 117.0
Pace
98.2
103.2
IND 111.2 +19.5
MIL 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
13.9
IND 13.0 +2.7
MIL 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
55.0%
IND 46.7%
MIL 58.1% +11.4%
TO %
13.5%
12.8%
IND 10.0% +2.0%
MIL 12.0%
ORB %
21.9%
20.8%
IND 12.0%
MIL 19.0% +7.0%
FTrt
24.2
25.5
IND 22.2
MIL 24.4 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
60.1%
IND 74.3% +25.5%
MIL 48.8%
STL %
8.9%
7.2%
IND 9.9% +2.9%
MIL 7.0%
BLK %
9.2%
10.4%
IND 13.7%
MIL 18.9% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
57.1%
IND 48.0%
MIL 60.3% +12.3%
Rim FG%
60.4%
64.1%
IND 44.4%
MIL 62.9% +18.5%
Mid FG%
41.1%
39.4%
IND 34.6%
MIL 43.8% +9.2%
3P %
37.4%
35.2%
IND 37.8%
MIL 40.0% +2.2%
FT %
75.1%
77.2%
IND 70.0%
MIL 81.0% +11.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
40.2%
IND 30.0%
MIL 40.7% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
17.8%
IND 28.9%
MIL 18.6% +10.3%
3P Att. %
29.1%
42.0%
IND 41.1% +0.4%
MIL 40.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points98117
Rebounds4052
Assists2621
Steals107
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)44 (1)
Field Goals35-9043-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2722-35
Midrange FG9-267-16
2-Point FG21-5329-51
3-Point FG14-3714-35
Free Throws14-2017-21
Fast Break Pts2317
2nd Chance Pts1116
Points in Paint2852
Pts off Turnovers1514
Bench Points3029
Biggest Lead123

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 Indiana Pacers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Myles Turner
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
35.0
22
55%
17
3
1
3
2
1
3
14
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-11
36%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
34.1
10
45%
3
2
2
0
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
33.3
10
50%
2
4
2
2
3
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
Bojan Bogdanovic
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
32.5
17
57%
5
1
2
0
1
2
0
5
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
3-5
60%
Darren Collison
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
26.0
9
45%
4
9
1
0
1
0
0
4
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
Cory Joseph
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
23.8
5
28%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-8
13%
1-1
100%
Doug McDermott
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
15.1
7
58%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
13.0
11
69%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
11.6
3
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
TJ Leaf
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
10.9
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
2.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Edmond Sumner
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Domantas Sabonis
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained left ankle
Davon Reed
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee surgery
Alize Johnson
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore left foot
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
48%
40
26
10
7
10
16
6
34
14-20
70%
21-53
40%
14-37
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.