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All Games Wednesday, March 6, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Celtics
52%111
111
21
Kings
48%110
109
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
109.9101100.0
SAC logo SAC
107.9101102.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
109
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.25 62.4%
SAC
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
9
17
53%
SAC
17
27
63%
Midrange
BOS
18
29
62%
SAC
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
SAC
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
Free Throws
BOS
18
21
86%
SAC
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2463%12.0 / 19
A. Horford21105%10.5 / 10
M. Morris1959%9.5 / 16
T. Rozier1662%8.0 / 13
G. Hayward1260%6.0 / 10
J. Brown1083%5.0 / 6
M. Smart956%4.5 / 8
S. Ojeleye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes2475%12.0 / 16
B. Hield2364%11.5 / 18
W. Cauley-Stein1995%9.5 / 10
D. Fox1667%8.0 / 12
B. Bogdanović14117%7.0 / 6
H. Giles633%3.0 / 9
N. Bjelica542%2.5 / 6
Y. Ferrell250%1.0 / 2
C. Brewer0-0.0 / 1
A. Burks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+5
-17
89
SAC
86
+10
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.25 62.4%
SAC
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
110.0
BOS 109.9 +2.0
SAC 107.9
Pace
100.0
103.5
BOS 100.0
SAC 102.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
13.3
BOS 14.4
SAC 14.1 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.4%
BOS 58.9% +0.8%
SAC 58.1%
TO %
12.4%
12.4%
BOS 16.9%
SAC 16.7% +0.2%
ORB %
21.7%
23.1%
BOS 8.1%
SAC 15.8% +7.7%
FTrt
21.5
24.4
BOS 26.6
SAC 27.5 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
58.8%
BOS 65.0% +7.5%
SAC 57.5%
STL %
8.5%
8.0%
BOS 10.9% +3.0%
SAC 7.9%
BLK %
9.7%
7.9%
BOS 2.0%
SAC 8.7% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.1%
BOS 62.4% +6.2%
SAC 56.2%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.3%
BOS 52.9%
SAC 63.0% +10.1%
Mid FG%
43.1%
38.8%
BOS 62.1% +20.4%
SAC 41.7%
3P %
36.5%
37.8%
BOS 39.4%
SAC 44.8% +5.4%
FT %
80.2%
72.6%
BOS 85.7% +13.0%
SAC 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
36.7%
BOS 21.5%
SAC 33.8% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
31.1%
BOS 36.7%
SAC 30.0% +6.7%
3P Att. %
38.1%
32.2%
BOS 41.8% +5.5%
SAC 36.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSSAC
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points111109
Rebounds3540
Assists2623
Steals118
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)15 (3)
Fouls2221
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals40-7940-80
At-the-Rim FG9-1717-27
Midrange FG18-2910-24
2-Point FG27-4627-51
3-Point FG13-3313-29
Free Throws18-2116-22
Fast Break Pts923
2nd Chance Pts27
Points in Paint3644
Pts off Turnovers2117
Bench Points2213
Biggest Lead109

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
33.3
24
63%
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
3
6-6
100%
6-13
46%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30
33.2
19
59%
5
4
0
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
3-8
38%
Terry Rozier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
32.0
16
62%
6
2
2
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 33
30.9
21
105%
11
7
1
1
3
2
1
10
4-4
100%
7-8
88%
1-2
50%
Marcus Smart
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
30.8
9
56%
3
5
5
0
3
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Gordon Hayward
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
29.0
12
60%
3
5
1
0
3
4
0
3
0-2
0%
6-7
86%
0-3
0%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
23.1
10
83%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
13.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
8.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
5.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Guerschon Yabusele
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
RJ Hunter
#28 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Kyrie Irving
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thigh Contusion
PJ Dozier
#35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
35
26
11
1
17
22
3
32
18-21
86%
27-46
59%
13-33
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.