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All Games Wednesday, March 6, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Mavericks
44%114
123
24
Wizards
56%117
132
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
126.89792.5
WAS logo WAS
133.399104.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALWAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.123
0%
132
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.5%
WAS
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
26
38
68%
WAS
25
35
71%
Midrange
DAL
4
14
29%
WAS
13
25
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
15
22.5
41
37%
55%
WAS
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
DAL
18
28
64%
WAS
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3153%15.5 / 29
D. Powell2693%13.0 / 14
J. Jackson1882%9.0 / 11
T. Hardaway1765%8.5 / 13
J. Brunson1155%5.5 / 10
D. Finney-Smith1050%5.0 / 10
D. Harris536%2.5 / 7
C. Lee375%1.5 / 2
D. Nowitzki225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal3075%15.0 / 20
T. Ariza2273%11.0 / 15
J. Parker20100%10.0 / 10
J. Green1689%8.0 / 9
T. Satoransky1450%7.0 / 14
B. Portis1250%6.0 / 12
T. Brown Jr.956%4.5 / 8
T. Bryant675%3.0 / 4
S. Dekker375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
90
+17
-7
107
WAS
87
+20
-12
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.5%
WAS
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.7
DAL 126.8
WAS 133.3 +6.5
Pace
99.1
101.7
DAL 92.5
WAS 104.1 +11.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.8
DAL 15.6
WAS 13.8 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
53.1%
DAL 56.5%
WAS 60.2% +3.7%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
DAL 6.2% +4.9%
WAS 11.1%
ORB %
22.6%
21.2%
DAL 29.2%
WAS 37.5% +8.3%
FTrt
29.1
26.6
DAL 30.1 +3.2
WAS 26.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
62.3%
DAL 60.0%
WAS 60.0%
STL %
6.5%
8.1%
DAL 7.2% +4.2%
WAS 3.0%
BLK %
7.6%
8.0%
DAL 3.3%
WAS 3.8% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.6%
DAL 57.5%
WAS 61.7% +4.2%
Rim FG%
62.0%
64.0%
DAL 68.4%
WAS 71.4% +3.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.0%
DAL 28.6%
WAS 52.0% +23.4%
3P %
34.0%
34.0%
DAL 36.6% +0.2%
WAS 36.4%
FT %
74.2%
76.8%
DAL 64.3%
WAS 80.0% +15.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
37.3%
DAL 40.9% +3.2%
WAS 37.6%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
25.7%
DAL 15.1% +11.8%
WAS 26.9%
3P Att. %
42.2%
37.0%
DAL 44.1% +8.6%
WAS 35.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALWAS
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points123132
Rebounds3949
Assists2730
Steals73
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)12 (1)
Fouls1926
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals45-9350-93
At-the-Rim FG26-3825-35
Midrange FG4-1413-25
2-Point FG30-5238-60
3-Point FG15-4112-33
Free Throws18-2820-25
Fast Break Pts418
2nd Chance Pts1427
Points in Paint5262
Pts off Turnovers158
Bench Points2838
Biggest Lead1310

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
25 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
36.2
11
55%
1
8
1
0
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
Dwight Powell
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
36.0
26
93%
10
2
0
1
0
0
5
5
3-6
50%
10-11
91%
1-1
100%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
35.8
31
53%
11
7
4
0
2
3
3
8
7-9
78%
9-18
50%
2-8
25%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
29.9
17
65%
3
2
1
0
1
5
0
3
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
2-9
22%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 26
27.2
10
50%
7
2
0
1
1
4
4
3
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
Justin Jackson
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
25.4
18
82%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
17.2
5
36%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
12.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
11.8
2
25%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
8.5
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Surgery
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Effusion
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
57%
39
27
7
2
7
19
14
25
18-28
64%
30-52
58%
15-41
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.