FinalWin Prob.pScore
1743%107
91
1457%110
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.89590.7
CHA logo CHA
89.49498.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.91
100%
84
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.4%
CHA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
35
49%
CHA
9
27
33%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
CHA
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
CHA
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
6
11
55%
CHA
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk2279%11.0 / 14
H. Whiteside1860%9.0 / 15
J. Richardson1343%6.5 / 15
B. Adebayo10100%5.0 / 5
J. Winslow956%4.5 / 8
D. Wade827%4.0 / 15
D. Waiters630%3.0 / 10
R. McGruder330%1.5 / 5
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2050%10.0 / 20
F. Kaminsky2083%10.0 / 12
C. Zeller1056%5.0 / 9
N. Batum935%4.5 / 13
M. Williams941%4.5 / 11
J. Lamb739%3.5 / 9
B. Biyombo467%2.0 / 3
M. Bridges330%1.5 / 5
T. Parker220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+21
-18
98
CHA
75
+17
-19
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.4%
CHA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.3
MIA 95.8 +6.4
CHA 89.4
Pace
98.1
98.7
MIA 90.7
CHA 98.7 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.6
MIA 15.9
CHA 14.6 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.4%
MIA 46.7% +1.6%
CHA 45.1%
TO %
14.3%
11.7%
MIA 15.8% +3.4%
CHA 19.2%
ORB %
24.8%
21.9%
MIA 37.5% +14.8%
CHA 22.7%
FTrt
24.7
25.7
MIA 12.1
CHA 18.3 +6.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.8%
MIA 50.0%
CHA 73.3% +23.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.2%
MIA 10.5% +3.1%
CHA 7.4%
BLK %
10.2%
8.9%
MIA 15.2% +7.5%
CHA 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.2%
MIA 46.4% +0.7%
CHA 45.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
56.9%
MIA 48.6% +15.3%
CHA 33.3%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.7%
MIA 40.0% +3.2%
CHA 36.8%
3P %
34.9%
35.1%
MIA 34.6%
CHA 38.9% +4.3%
FT %
69.5%
79.7%
MIA 54.5%
CHA 66.7% +12.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.6%
MIA 38.5% +5.5%
CHA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
25.7%
MIA 33.0%
CHA 23.2% +9.8%
3P Att. %
36.8%
37.8%
MIA 28.6%
CHA 43.9% +15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9184
Rebounds5240
Assists1922
Steals107
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)19 (2)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)30 (5)
Field Goals38-9130-82
At-the-Rim FG17-359-27
Midrange FG12-307-19
2-Point FG29-6516-46
3-Point FG9-2614-36
Free Throws6-1110-15
Fast Break Pts715
2nd Chance Pts1912
Points in Paint4824
Pts off Turnovers1418
Bench Points3133
Biggest Lead175

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
44.5
22
79%
11
1
2
1
1
2
2
9
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
5-7
71%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
39.4
13
43%
1
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-6
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
25.4
10
100%
5
0
2
2
5
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
25.1
9
56%
6
7
1
0
2
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
24.4
6
30%
5
1
2
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
2-5
40%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
29.9
8
27%
4
6
2
0
4
0
1
3
0-2
0%
4-13
31%
0-2
0%
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
26.6
3
30%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
20.2
18
60%
15
0
0
4
0
4
9
6
2-3
67%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
4.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
1
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
INACTIVE
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left calf strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
46%
52
19
10
7
18
16
18
34
6-11
55%
29-65
45%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.