FinalWin Prob.pScore
242%112
107
458%115
95
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
116.39295.9
TOR logo TOR
103.39288.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
95
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.11 55.7%
TOR
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
14
31
45%
TOR
18
30
60%
Midrange
HOU
9
20
45%
TOR
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
15
22.5
34
44%
66%
TOR
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
HOU
16
18
89%
TOR
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3558%17.5 / 30
G. Green18100%9.0 / 9
E. Gordon1372%6.5 / 9
A. Rivers1381%6.5 / 8
C. Capela964%4.5 / 7
P. Tucker850%4.0 / 8
Nene675%3.0 / 4
C. Paul523%2.5 / 11
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2657%13.0 / 23
P. Siakam1771%8.5 / 12
D. Green1450%7.0 / 14
S. Ibaka1063%5.0 / 8
K. Lowry829%4.0 / 14
M. Gasol880%4.0 / 5
N. Powell433%2.0 / 6
O. Anunoby375%1.5 / 2
P. McCaw3150%1.5 / 1
J. Lin225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
83
+12
-9
95
TOR
79
+18
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.11 55.7%
TOR
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
113.1
HOU 116.3 +13.0
TOR 103.3
Pace
98.0
100.2
HOU 95.9 +7.4
TOR 88.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.4
HOU 15.0 +1.3
TOR 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
54.3%
HOU 53.5% +6.9%
TOR 46.6%
TO %
12.8%
13.2%
HOU 9.7% +2.2%
TOR 11.9%
ORB %
22.8%
21.8%
HOU 22.5%
TOR 32.0% +9.5%
FTrt
27.9
24.7
HOU 21.2 +3.2
TOR 18.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.3%
HOU 57.9% +14.7%
TOR 43.2%
STL %
8.6%
8.2%
HOU 12.0% +10.9%
TOR 1.1%
BLK %
8.7%
9.1%
HOU 10.5% +0.7%
TOR 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
56.5%
HOU 55.7% +6.7%
TOR 49.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.6%
HOU 45.2%
TOR 60.0% +14.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
43.1%
HOU 45.0% +8.0%
TOR 37.0%
3P %
35.6%
36.6%
HOU 44.1% +16.0%
TOR 28.1%
FT %
79.1%
80.4%
HOU 88.9% +13.9%
TOR 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
36.4%
HOU 36.5% +2.8%
TOR 33.7%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
25.6%
HOU 23.5% +6.8%
TOR 30.3%
3P Att. %
51.9%
37.9%
HOU 40.0% +4.0%
TOR 36.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUTOR
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points10795
Rebounds4347
Assists2216
Steals111
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (0)
Fouls2315
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)31 (5)
Field Goals38-8537-89
At-the-Rim FG14-3118-30
Midrange FG9-2010-27
2-Point FG23-5128-57
3-Point FG15-349-32
Free Throws16-1812-16
Fast Break Pts237
2nd Chance Pts822
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers264
Bench Points3720
Biggest Lead223

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 30
36.8
35
58%
1
3
3
0
1
4
0
1
8-8
100%
9-21
43%
3-9
33%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
35.8
8
50%
5
3
1
0
1
5
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
33.9
9
64%
15
1
1
1
2
4
5
10
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 30
31.3
13
72%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
31.1
5
23%
6
10
2
1
2
3
0
6
3-3
100%
1-7
14%
0-3
0%
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 27
25.3
13
81%
4
2
1
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
20.8
18
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
14.1
6
75%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
10.9
0
0%
2
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#35 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 29
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Contusion
#1 · SG · 6'5" 212 · 29
DND - Injury/Illness | Sore Right Calf
#9 · PF · 6'9" 252 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
56%
43
22
11
6
9
23
9
34
16-18
89%
23-51
45%
15-34
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.