FinalWin Prob.pScore
2722%104
113
1578%115
114
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
113.0100103.6
MIA logo MIA
112.910197.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
18
31
58%
MIA
21
27
78%
Midrange
ATL
3
14
21%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
17
25.5
46
37%
55%
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
ATL
20
25
80%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2188%10.5 / 12
K. Bazemore1847%9.0 / 19
T. Young1450%7.0 / 14
D. Dedmon1488%7.0 / 8
K. Huerter1381%6.5 / 8
D. Bembry1161%5.5 / 9
J. Adams8100%4.0 / 4
A. Poythress638%3.0 / 8
B. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
A. Len214%1.0 / 7
J. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2368%11.5 / 17
J. Richardson1968%9.5 / 14
J. Winslow1882%9.0 / 11
D. Waiters1464%7.0 / 11
K. Olynyk1260%6.0 / 10
B. Adebayo964%4.5 / 7
D. Jones867%4.0 / 6
R. McGruder758%3.5 / 6
H. Whiteside467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
86
+17
-14
103
MIA
83
+11
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.5
ATL 113.0 +0.1
MIA 112.9
Pace
103.9
98.1
ATL 103.6 +6.0
MIA 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
15.0
ATL 13.9 +0.9
MIA 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
51.5%
ATL 51.1%
MIA 61.4% +10.3%
TO %
15.8%
14.3%
ATL 12.1% +5.4%
MIA 17.5%
ORB %
24.8%
24.8%
ATL 32.7% +11.5%
MIA 21.2%
FTrt
25.5
24.7
ATL 27.5
MIA 30.4 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
61.2%
ATL 65.8% +13.5%
MIA 52.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.8%
ATL 9.0% +0.1%
MIA 8.9%
BLK %
9.2%
10.2%
ATL 3.6%
MIA 15.6% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
52.9%
ATL 54.9%
MIA 60.6% +5.7%
Rim FG%
59.0%
60.8%
ATL 58.1%
MIA 77.8% +19.7%
Mid FG%
37.9%
36.8%
ATL 21.4%
MIA 48.3% +26.9%
3P %
35.2%
34.9%
ATL 37.0%
MIA 39.1% +2.1%
FT %
75.2%
69.5%
ATL 80.0% +9.2%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
37.3%
ATL 34.1%
MIA 34.2% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
25.9%
ATL 15.4% +21.3%
MIA 36.7%
3P Att. %
40.3%
36.8%
ATL 50.5% +21.4%
MIA 29.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points113114
Rebounds4240
Assists2523
Steals99
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (1)
Fouls2124
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals38-9144-79
At-the-Rim FG18-3121-27
Midrange FG3-1414-29
2-Point FG21-4535-56
3-Point FG17-469-23
Free Throws20-2517-24
Fast Break Pts416
2nd Chance Pts137
Points in Paint3856
Pts off Turnovers2517
Bench Points5242
Biggest Lead410

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 20
29.6
14
50%
3
8
1
0
8
1
2
1
6-7
86%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 201 · 30
27.8
18
47%
7
3
0
0
0
4
3
4
6-8
75%
3-7
43%
2-9
22%
#14 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 30
27.4
14
88%
6
2
3
0
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
#3 · SG · 6'7" 198 · 21
24.2
13
81%
3
2
0
0
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 26
20.8
2
14%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
25.9
21
88%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
7-11
64%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25
22.7
11
61%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
21.3
6
38%
6
0
0
1
1
2
3
3
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
18.2
8
100%
1
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 23
13.6
6
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
8.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Flu Like Symptoms
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Pain
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
42
25
9
2
14
21
16
26
20-25
80%
21-45
47%
17-46
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.