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All Games Saturday, March 2, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Thunder
52%115
102
14
Spurs
48%114
116
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
101.0101122.0
SAS logo SAS
114.910186.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.02 51.0%
SAS
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
22
34
65%
SAS
15
29
52%
Midrange
OKC
11
25
44%
SAS
22
43
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
SAS
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
OKC
15
24
63%
SAS
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook1950%9.5 / 19
D. Schröder1847%9.0 / 19
S. Adams1771%8.5 / 12
R. Felton1372%6.5 / 9
J. Grant1243%6.0 / 14
M. Morris1083%5.0 / 6
T. Ferguson770%3.5 / 5
A. Nader217%1.0 / 6
N. Noel250%1.0 / 2
D. Burton250%1.0 / 2
H. Diallo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2768%13.5 / 20
R. Gay2269%11.0 / 16
D. DeRozan1850%9.0 / 18
B. Forbes1680%8.0 / 10
D. White14100%7.0 / 7
D. Bertans788%3.5 / 4
J. Poeltl542%2.5 / 6
M. Belinelli433%2.0 / 6
P. Mills220%1.0 / 5
D. Cunningham125%0.5 / 2
L. Walker IV0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
88
+12
-13
100
SAS
90
+13
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.02 51.0%
SAS
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
112.6
OKC 101.0
SAS 114.9 +13.9
Pace
102.9
98.6
OKC 122.0 +35.9
SAS 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
15.0
OKC 11.8 +4.9
SAS 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
53.4%
OKC 49.4%
SAS 53.8% +4.4%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
OKC 11.7%
SAS 9.7% +2.0%
ORB %
26.0%
20.9%
OKC 22.4%
SAS 24.4% +2.0%
FTrt
26.6
23.7
OKC 27.3
SAS 27.5 +0.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
58.0%
OKC 42.5% +9.2%
SAS 33.3%
STL %
9.0%
6.2%
OKC 6.9%
SAS 7.9% +1.0%
BLK %
9.1%
8.3%
OKC 2.8%
SAS 10.2% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
56.0%
OKC 51.0%
SAS 55.8% +4.8%
Rim FG%
59.6%
62.7%
OKC 64.7% +13.0%
SAS 51.7%
Mid FG%
38.6%
44.0%
OKC 44.0%
SAS 51.2% +7.2%
3P %
34.8%
39.2%
OKC 24.1%
SAS 42.1% +18.0%
FT %
71.3%
81.8%
OKC 62.5%
SAS 72.0% +9.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
27.8%
OKC 38.6% +6.8%
SAS 31.9%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
43.7%
OKC 28.4% +18.8%
SAS 47.3%
3P Att. %
34.7%
28.6%
OKC 33.0% +12.1%
SAS 20.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsOKCSAS
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes19.928.1
Points102116
Rebounds4549
Assists1715
Steals78
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1919
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)38 (4)
Field Goals40-8845-91
At-the-Rim FG22-3415-29
Midrange FG11-2522-43
2-Point FG33-5937-72
3-Point FG7-298-19
Free Throws15-2418-25
Fast Break Pts912
2nd Chance Pts1023
Points in Paint5644
Pts off Turnovers1120
Bench Points2936
Biggest Lead119

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Oklahoma City Thunder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Terrance Ferguson
#23 · SF · 6'7" 184 · 21
37.2
7
70%
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
Russell Westbrook
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
33.8
19
50%
9
8
1
0
7
2
1
8
4-7
57%
6-12
50%
1-5
20%
Dennis Schroder
#17 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 25
31.4
18
47%
5
3
1
0
3
3
1
4
5-8
63%
5-10
50%
1-5
20%
Jerami Grant
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
30.6
12
43%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
Steven Adams
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
24.9
17
71%
13
0
2
1
2
4
6
7
3-5
60%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
24.7
2
17%
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
#5 · SF · 6'10" 245 · 29
22.4
10
83%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
Raymond Felton
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 35
21.7
13
72%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
Nerlens Noel
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
9.0
2
50%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Deonte Burton
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
2.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 21
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Paul George
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
DNP - Injury/Illness | right shoulder soreness
Patrick Patterson
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Roberson
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left patellar tendon
Donte Grantham
#15 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
45
17
7
2
13
19
11
34
15-24
63%
33-59
56%
7-29
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.