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All Games Saturday, March 2, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Grizzlies
39%104
111
17
Mavericks
61%108
81
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
114.49795.8
DAL logo DAL
84.49697.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
81
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.22 61.0%
DAL
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
13
18
72%
DAL
13
27
48%
Midrange
MEM
12
26
46%
DAL
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
DAL
7
10.5
40
18%
26%
Free Throws
MEM
19
24
79%
DAL
22
33
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Valančiūnas2091%10.0 / 11
A. Bradley1568%7.5 / 11
J. Carter15107%7.5 / 7
M. Conley1250%6.0 / 12
C. Miles1275%6.0 / 8
J. Noah1267%6.0 / 9
B. Caboclo964%4.5 / 7
I. Rabb6100%3.0 / 3
C. Parsons550%2.5 / 5
D. Wright433%2.0 / 6
T. Dorsey125%0.5 / 2
J. Holiday0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2258%11.0 / 19
D. Powell1365%6.5 / 10
T. Hardaway1045%5.0 / 11
D. Finney-Smith8100%4.0 / 4
D. Nowitzki732%3.5 / 11
T. Burke433%2.0 / 6
J. Jackson440%2.0 / 5
D. Harris321%1.5 / 7
J. Brunson210%1.0 / 10
M. Kleber220%1.0 / 5
S. Mejri233%1.0 / 3
R. Broekhoff225%1.0 / 4
C. Lee225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
82
+9
-15
91
DAL
86
+15
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.22 61.0%
DAL
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
109.2
MEM 114.4
DAL 84.4 +30.1
Pace
96.6
99.1
MEM 95.8
DAL 97.2 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.8
MEM 15.0
DAL 14.8 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.8%
MEM 59.0% +24.3%
DAL 34.7%
TO %
13.5%
13.6%
MEM 14.5%
DAL 9.1% +5.4%
ORB %
20.1%
22.6%
MEM 11.8%
DAL 22.0% +10.2%
FTrt
27.2
29.1
MEM 30.8
DAL 38.8 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
60.3%
MEM 76.9% +11.5%
DAL 65.4%
STL %
8.5%
6.5%
MEM 4.1%
DAL 9.4% +5.3%
BLK %
10.7%
7.6%
MEM 13.3% +1.9%
DAL 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.2%
MEM 61.0% +20.9%
DAL 40.1%
Rim FG%
59.9%
62.0%
MEM 72.2% +24.1%
DAL 48.1%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.0%
MEM 46.2% +12.9%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
34.2%
34.0%
MEM 41.2% +23.7%
DAL 17.5%
FT %
77.2%
74.2%
MEM 79.2% +12.5%
DAL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
33.8%
MEM 23.1%
DAL 31.8% +8.7%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
24.0%
MEM 33.3%
DAL 21.2% +12.2%
3P Att. %
34.2%
42.2%
MEM 43.6%
DAL 47.1% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMDAL
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points11181
Rebounds5043
Assists3017
Steals49
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (0)
Fouls3023
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (5)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (4)30 (3)
Field Goals39-7826-85
At-the-Rim FG13-1813-27
Midrange FG12-266-18
2-Point FG25-4419-45
3-Point FG14-347-40
Free Throws19-2422-33
Fast Break Pts914
2nd Chance Pts109
Points in Paint4034
Pts off Turnovers815
Bench Points5527
Biggest Lead362

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
24 Memphis Grizzlies
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bruno Caboclo
#5 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 23
34.5
9
64%
11
6
0
1
1
4
2
9
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
#0 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 28
32.0
15
68%
5
5
0
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
28.1
20
91%
10
4
1
0
2
3
0
10
4-6
67%
8-9
89%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
23.1
12
50%
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
5-5
100%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
Justin Holiday
#7 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 30
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
CJ Miles
#6 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
26.4
12
75%
2
4
0
0
0
5
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
Delon Wright
#2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
25.3
4
33%
6
2
0
1
3
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
17.2
12
67%
8
5
0
2
2
1
1
7
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
15.5
5
50%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Ivan Rabb
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
13.7
6
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23
11.7
15
107%
3
0
1
2
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
Tyler Dorsey
#22 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
9.3
1
25%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Dillon Brooks
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
Jaren Jackson Jr.
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Deep Thigh Bruise
Julian Washburn
#4 · SF · 6'8" 209 · 27
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Yuta Watanabe
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Kyle Anderson
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
61%
50
30
4
6
15
30
4
46
19-24
79%
25-44
57%
14-34
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.