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All Games Saturday, March 2, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
22
Nets
39%107
88
20
Heat
61%111
117
ORTG#PossPace
BKN logo BKN
90.797103.3
MIA logo MIA
120.69791.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBKNMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BKN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BKN
18
33
55%
MIA
20
35
57%
Midrange
BKN
4
13
31%
MIA
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BKN
9
13.5
42
21%
32%
MIA
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
BKN
17
22
77%
MIA
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BKN logo Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harris1568%7.5 / 11
R. Kurucs1150%5.5 / 11
D. Russell1071%5.0 / 7
S. Dinwiddie1033%5.0 / 15
C. LeVert840%4.0 / 10
T. Graham840%4.0 / 10
D. Carroll844%4.0 / 9
J. Allen650%3.0 / 6
R. Hollis-Jefferson550%2.5 / 5
E. Davis4100%2.0 / 2
A. Crabbe317%1.5 / 9
J. Dudley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk25104%12.5 / 12
D. Jones1890%9.0 / 10
R. McGruder1794%8.5 / 9
J. Winslow1365%6.5 / 10
J. Richardson1246%6.0 / 13
B. Adebayo945%4.5 / 10
D. Wade938%4.5 / 12
D. Waiters732%3.5 / 11
D. Robinson675%3.0 / 4
R. Anderson113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BKN
86
+16
-11
102
MIA
86
+15
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BKN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
107.5
BKN 90.7 +29.9
MIA 120.6
Pace
101.2
98.1
BKN 103.3 +11.9
MIA 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
BKN 13.9 +1.8
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
51.5%
BKN 40.3%
MIA 56.7% +16.4%
TO %
14.0%
14.3%
BKN 10.9%
MIA 10.7% +0.2%
ORB %
23.8%
24.8%
BKN 13.2%
MIA 27.5% +14.3%
FTrt
28.4
24.7
BKN 25.0 +0.6
MIA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
61.2%
BKN 64.5%
MIA 81.8% +17.3%
STL %
6.4%
7.8%
BKN 6.2% +1.0%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
6.7%
10.2%
BKN 10.7%
MIA 19.6% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
52.9%
BKN 44.0%
MIA 57.4% +13.4%
Rim FG%
58.2%
60.8%
BKN 54.5%
MIA 57.1% +2.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
36.8%
BKN 30.8%
MIA 47.6% +16.8%
3P %
35.3%
34.9%
BKN 21.4%
MIA 41.2% +19.8%
FT %
74.5%
69.5%
BKN 77.3% +9.1%
MIA 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.4%
37.3%
BKN 37.5%
MIA 38.9% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
21.3%
25.9%
BKN 14.8% +8.6%
MIA 23.3%
3P Att. %
40.3%
36.8%
BKN 47.7% +9.9%
MIA 37.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsBKNMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points88117
Rebounds3657
Assists2036
Steals65
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)11 (1)
Fouls1419
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (9)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)46 (0)
Field Goals31-8844-90
At-the-Rim FG18-3320-35
Midrange FG4-1310-21
2-Point FG22-4630-56
3-Point FG9-4214-34
Free Throws17-2215-22
Fast Break Pts84
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint4450
Pts off Turnovers717
Bench Points4151
Biggest Lead031

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
22 Brooklyn Nets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Caris LeVert
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
29.4
8
40%
2
6
1
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
Joe Harris
#12 · SF · 6'6" 219 · 27
26.0
15
68%
3
0
0
2
4
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
D'Angelo Russell
#1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 23
23.4
10
71%
1
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Allen
#31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 21
18.0
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Treveon Graham
#21 · PF · 6'5" 219 · 25
15.1
8
40%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
Rodions Kurucs
#00 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21
27.7
11
50%
7
0
0
1
1
0
0
7
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Spencer Dinwiddie
#8 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 26
24.8
10
33%
1
4
1
1
3
2
0
1
6-7
86%
2-8
25%
0-4
0%
Allen Crabbe
#33 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27
22.6
3
17%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-9
11%
DeMarre Carroll
#9 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 33
19.4
8
44%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
Ed Davis
#17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 30
14.2
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
#24 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 24
12.0
5
50%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
#6 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 34
7.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
#13 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tahjere McCall
#0 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Theo Pinson
#10 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Dzanan Musa
#30 · SG · 6'9" 195 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Alan Williams
#15 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
44%
36
20
6
6
11
14
7
29
17-22
77%
22-46
48%
9-42
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.