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All Games Saturday, March 2, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Pistons
72%114
129
29
Cavaliers
28%106
93
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
134.49687.7
CLE logo CLE
97.995104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETCLE
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.129
100%
93
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.29 64.5%
CLE
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
26
65%
CLE
12
31
39%
Midrange
DET
10
24
42%
CLE
2
14
14%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
20
30.0
37
54%
81%
CLE
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
DET
15
17
88%
CLE
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Kennard26118%13.0 / 11
R. Jackson24109%12.0 / 11
W. Ellington1594%7.5 / 8
B. Griffin1488%7.0 / 8
A. Drummond1372%6.5 / 9
I. Smith1161%5.5 / 9
L. Galloway857%4.0 / 7
G. Robinson III643%3.0 / 7
T. Maker583%2.5 / 3
B. Brown433%2.0 / 6
S. Mykhailiuk3150%1.5 / 1
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Sexton1642%8.0 / 19
L. Nance1169%5.5 / 8
J. Clarkson1142%5.5 / 13
C. Osman1056%5.0 / 9
B. Knight1063%5.0 / 8
M. Chriss950%4.5 / 9
D. Nwaba857%4.0 / 7
C. Frye867%4.0 / 6
N. Stauskas857%4.0 / 7
M. Dellavedova225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
87
+14
-9
101
CLE
83
+12
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.29 64.5%
CLE
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
107.4
DET 134.4
CLE 97.9 +36.5
Pace
97.3
96.9
DET 87.7
CLE 104.9 +17.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.1
DET 16.4
CLE 13.7 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.3%
DET 65.5% +23.1%
CLE 42.4%
TO %
13.2%
13.0%
DET 11.3% +0.1%
CLE 11.4%
ORB %
24.9%
23.7%
DET 27.3% +9.7%
CLE 17.6%
FTrt
26.1
23.6
DET 19.5
CLE 40.5 +21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
53.2%
DET 57.4% +1.8%
CLE 55.6%
STL %
7.1%
6.7%
DET 5.2%
CLE 7.4% +2.2%
BLK %
7.1%
4.3%
DET 17.8% +15.8%
CLE 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.5%
DET 64.5% +16.1%
CLE 48.4%
Rim FG%
57.5%
57.5%
DET 65.4% +26.7%
CLE 38.7%
Mid FG%
38.4%
39.5%
DET 41.7% +27.4%
CLE 14.3%
3P %
34.8%
35.5%
DET 54.1% +15.9%
CLE 38.2%
FT %
74.7%
79.2%
DET 88.2% +6.9%
CLE 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.5%
DET 29.9%
CLE 39.2% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
32.2%
DET 27.6%
CLE 17.7% +9.9%
3P Att. %
39.4%
33.2%
DET 42.5%
CLE 43.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETCLE
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points12993
Rebounds5133
Assists2715
Steals57
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)9 (3)12 (0)
Fouls2419
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (1)24 (3)
Field Goals47-8727-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2612-31
Midrange FG10-242-14
2-Point FG27-5014-45
3-Point FG20-3713-34
Free Throws15-1726-32
Fast Break Pts2212
2nd Chance Pts165
Points in Paint4028
Pts off Turnovers1714
Bench Points5937
Biggest Lead393

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
15 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bruce Brown
#6 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 23
27.0
4
33%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Blake Griffin
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
26.4
14
88%
7
9
0
1
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 26
25.6
13
72%
10
2
0
1
1
4
1
9
7-8
88%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
#20 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
21.2
15
94%
1
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
Reggie Jackson
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
21.2
24
109%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
4-4
100%
Luke Kennard
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
22.0
26
118%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
6-7
86%
Ish Smith
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
22.0
11
61%
5
6
0
0
1
5
1
4
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
Langston Galloway
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
21.0
8
57%
3
0
2
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
Thon Maker
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
20.4
5
83%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson III
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
14.5
6
43%
4
0
0
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
#19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
4.8
3
150%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
Khyri Thomas
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
4.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Isaiah Whitehead
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Jose Calderon
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jon Leuer
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kalin Lucas
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
65%
51
27
5
8
9
24
9
42
15-17
88%
27-50
54%
20-37
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.