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All Games Friday, March 1, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
26
Bulls
53%115
168
27
Hawks
47%114
161
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
117.5143101.0
ATL logo ATL
112.6143100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBullsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT2OT3OT49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:002:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBullsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT2OT3OT49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIATL
OT4 - End of 4th OT.168
100%
161
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.17 58.3%
ATL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
28
44
64%
ATL
29
42
69%
Midrange
CHI
7
27
26%
ATL
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
21
31.5
48
44%
66%
ATL
22
33.0
60
37%
55%
Free Throws
CHI
35
48
73%
ATL
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine4764%23.5 / 37
O. Porter Jr.3160%15.5 / 26
L. Markkanen3170%15.5 / 22
K. Dunn1458%7.0 / 12
S. Harrison1372%6.5 / 9
R. Lopez1169%5.5 / 8
R. Arcidiacono1083%5.0 / 6
W. Selden531%2.5 / 8
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot440%2.0 / 5
C. Felicio2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young4970%24.5 / 35
A. Len2475%12.0 / 16
T. Prince1794%8.5 / 9
K. Huerter1568%7.5 / 11
D. Dedmon1470%7.0 / 10
V. Carter1354%6.5 / 12
D. Bembry1365%6.5 / 10
O. Spellman950%4.5 / 9
K. Bazemore422%2.0 / 9
J. Adams338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
127
+18
-16
145
ATL
123
+12
-20
135
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.17 58.3%
ATL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
108.1
CHI 117.5 +4.9
ATL 112.6
Pace
98.9
103.9
CHI 101.0 +0.1
ATL 100.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.6
CHI 14.3 +0.0
ATL 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
52.2%
CHI 55.9%
ATL 58.5% +2.6%
TO %
13.5%
15.8%
CHI 10.8% +2.2%
ATL 13.0%
ORB %
19.4%
24.8%
CHI 19.4% +4.1%
ATL 15.3%
FTrt
23.5
25.5
CHI 40.3 +20.0
ATL 20.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
62.4%
CHI 53.6%
ATL 54.1% +0.5%
STL %
7.3%
7.8%
CHI 7.0%
ATL 7.7% +0.7%
BLK %
7.7%
9.2%
CHI 7.9%
ATL 11.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.6%
CHI 58.3%
ATL 58.3%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.0%
CHI 63.6%
ATL 69.0% +5.4%
Mid FG%
39.8%
37.9%
CHI 25.9%
ATL 47.6% +21.7%
3P %
35.1%
35.2%
CHI 43.8% +7.1%
ATL 36.7%
FT %
78.3%
75.2%
CHI 72.9% +4.9%
ATL 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
39.2%
CHI 37.0% +2.8%
ATL 34.1%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
20.4%
CHI 22.7%
ATL 17.1% +5.6%
3P Att. %
29.5%
40.3%
CHI 40.3%
ATL 48.8% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIATL
Possessions143143
Possession Minutes34.034.0
Points168161
Rebounds6259
Assists3033
Steals1011
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)20 (0)
Fouls3034
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)50 (4)50 (3)
Field Goals56-11961-123
At-the-Rim FG28-4429-42
Midrange FG7-2710-21
2-Point FG35-7139-63
3-Point FG21-4822-60
Free Throws35-4817-25
Fast Break Pts1528
2nd Chance Pts1410
Points in Paint6870
Pts off Turnovers2423
Bench Points3457
Biggest Lead138

BOXSCORE

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26 Chicago Bulls
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Zach LaVine
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
55.6
47
64%
9
9
2
0
8
3
2
7
7-11
64%
11-21
52%
6-14
43%
Otto Porter Jr.
#22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 26
54.6
31
60%
10
4
1
0
3
4
2
8
4-4
100%
3-12
25%
7-13
54%
Lauri Markkanen
#24 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 22
53.9
31
70%
17
2
1
1
1
2
2
15
10-12
83%
6-12
50%
3-6
50%
Robin Lopez
#42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 31
39.6
11
69%
11
1
1
3
1
3
5
6
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Kris Dunn
#32 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 25
31.8
14
58%
1
6
0
1
1
6
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
Ryan Arcidiacono
#51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 25
37.9
10
83%
6
1
0
0
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
Wayne Selden
#14 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24
31.8
5
31%
2
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
Shaquille Harrison
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
15.0
13
72%
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
5-7
71%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
#7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 24
14.3
4
40%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Cristiano Felicio
#6 · PF · 6'9" 280 · 27
5.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Antonio Blakeney
#9 · SG · 6'4" 197 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Sampson
#44 · NA · 6'5" 184 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Rawle Alkins
#20 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Wendell Carter Jr.
#34 · PF · 6'10" 270 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Surgery
Chandler Hutchison
#15 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
Denzel Valentine
#45 · PG · 6'6" 214 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
340
168
58%
62
30
10
5
16
30
12
50
35-48
73%
35-71
49%
21-48
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.