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All Games Thursday, February 28, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Jazz
40%108
111
7
Nuggets
60%112
104
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
108.810295.7
DEN logo DEN
104.0100107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
104
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.4%
DEN
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
17
31
55%
DEN
23
52
44%
Midrange
UTA
4
10
40%
DEN
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
16
24.0
43
37%
56%
DEN
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
Free Throws
UTA
21
33
64%
DEN
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2463%12.0 / 19
K. Korver2279%11.0 / 14
R. Gobert1667%8.0 / 12
J. Ingles1550%7.5 / 15
D. Favors1568%7.5 / 11
T. Sefolosha9150%4.5 / 3
J. Crowder630%3.0 / 10
R. O'Neale425%2.0 / 8
G. Allen0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Barton2158%10.5 / 18
J. Murray2166%10.5 / 16
N. Jokić1647%8.0 / 17
P. Millsap1558%7.5 / 13
M. Plumlee1169%5.5 / 8
G. Harris840%4.0 / 10
M. Beasley650%3.0 / 6
I. Thomas433%2.0 / 6
M. Morris217%1.0 / 6
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 2
T. Craig0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
91
+13
-11
104
DEN
88
+22
-12
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.4%
DEN
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
112.6
UTA 108.8 +4.8
DEN 104.0
Pace
100.5
98.0
UTA 95.7
DEN 107.0 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.7
UTA 15.0
DEN 13.5 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.7%
UTA 53.6% +9.7%
DEN 43.9%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
UTA 10.0% +0.6%
DEN 10.6%
ORB %
22.9%
26.6%
UTA 20.4%
DEN 32.0% +11.6%
FTrt
29.5
23.2
UTA 39.3 +15.1
DEN 24.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
65.3%
UTA 67.6% +5.1%
DEN 62.5%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
UTA 5.9%
DEN 6.0% +0.1%
BLK %
9.7%
8.2%
UTA 8.1%
DEN 12.2% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.5%
UTA 54.4% +8.0%
DEN 46.4%
Rim FG%
62.1%
59.6%
UTA 54.8% +10.6%
DEN 44.2%
Mid FG%
39.1%
43.3%
UTA 40.0%
DEN 45.5% +5.5%
3P %
35.6%
35.1%
UTA 37.2% +9.2%
DEN 28.0%
FT %
73.6%
75.5%
UTA 63.6%
DEN 70.8% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
37.5%
UTA 36.9%
DEN 52.5% +15.6%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
27.7%
UTA 11.9% +10.3%
DEN 22.2%
3P Att. %
39.4%
34.8%
UTA 51.2% +25.9%
DEN 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions102100
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points111104
Rebounds4455
Assists2525
Steals66
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (1)
Fouls2223
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)39 (3)
Field Goals37-8440-99
At-the-Rim FG17-3123-52
Midrange FG4-1010-22
2-Point FG21-4133-74
3-Point FG16-437-25
Free Throws21-3317-24
Fast Break Pts49
2nd Chance Pts1616
Points in Paint3656
Pts off Turnovers1310
Bench Points3725
Biggest Lead187

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
4 Utah Jazz
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Royce O'Neale
#23 · PG · 6'6" 226 · 26
39.8
4
25%
6
2
0
1
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
Joe Ingles
#2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 31
36.2
15
50%
4
10
2
1
2
1
2
2
5-6
83%
2-3
67%
2-9
22%
Donovan Mitchell
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 22
35.7
24
63%
8
5
0
0
4
4
1
7
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
4-8
50%
Rudy Gobert
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 27
30.4
16
67%
8
1
0
4
1
5
3
5
6-11
55%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 28
29.5
15
68%
11
3
1
0
0
2
3
8
7-8
88%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 29
24.3
6
30%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
Kyle Korver
#26 · SG · 6'7" 212 · 38
22.2
22
79%
3
2
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
6-10
60%
Thabo Sefolosha
#22 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 35
11.8
9
150%
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
Grayson Allen
#24 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 23
10.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Naz Mitrou-Long
#30 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Georges Niang
#31 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ekpe Udoh
#33 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dante Exum
#11 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
Tony Bradley
#13 · C · 6'11" 248 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
Raul Neto
#25 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Tightness
Tyler Cavanaugh
#34 · PF · 6'9" 238 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Ricky Rubio
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Tightness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
54%
44
25
6
6
11
22
10
34
21-33
64%
21-41
51%
16-43
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.