FinalWin Prob.pScore
1722%104
118
178%115
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
122.99692.7
HOU logo HOU
126.09699.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:04.5RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound118
0.5%
121
99.5%
Q4 - 0:08.2HeatDion Waiters misses three point turnaround jump shot118
1.6%
121
98.4%
Q4 - 0:18.9HeatHeat defensive rebound118
5.7%
121
94.3%
Q4 - 0:20.1RocketsJames Harden misses three point pullup jump shot118
4.5%
121
95.5%
Q4 - 0:42.3RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound118
4.2%
121
95.8%
Q4 - 0:42.3HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 2118
4.7%
121
95.3%
Q4 - 0:42.3HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 2118
6.7%
121
93.3%
Q4 - 0:42.3RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)118
10.3%
121
89.7%
Q4 - 0:46.2RocketsChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot118
9.5%
121
90.5%
Q4 - 0:55.6RocketsChris Paul offensive rebound118
16.7%
119
83.3%
Q4 - 0:56.9RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot118
24.9%
119
75.1%
Q4 - 1:19RocketsRockets defensive rebound118
16.9%
119
83.1%
Q4 - 1:21HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot118
19.8%
119
80.2%
Q4 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound118
27.6%
119
72.4%
Q4 - 1:25HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot118
19.8%
119
80.2%
Q4 - 1:37HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound118
27.2%
119
72.8%
Q4 - 1:38RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot118
23.9%
119
76.1%
Q4 - 2:03HeatDwyane Wade makes two point fadeaway jump shot118
16.7%
119
83.3%
Q4 - 2:20RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2116
12.9%
119
87.1%
Q4 - 2:20RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2116
13.4%
118
86.6%
Q4 - 2:20HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)116
14.0%
117
86.0%
Q4 - 2:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1116
16.1%
117
83.9%
Q4 - 2:29RocketsClint Capela shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)115
14.7%
117
85.3%
Q4 - 2:46RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup113
8.4%
117
91.6%
Q4 - 2:58RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound113
12.3%
115
87.7%
Q4 - 2:59HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot113
14.3%
115
85.7%
Q4 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound113
20.0%
115
80.0%
Q4 - 3:16HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot113
14.0%
115
86.0%
Q4 - 3:27RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
20.0%
115
80.0%
Q4 - 3:27RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
20.6%
114
79.4%
Q4 - 3:27HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)113
21.5%
113
78.5%
Q4 - 3:43HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)113
26.2%
113
73.8%
Q4 - 3:43HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (James Harden draws the foul)113
34.5%
113
65.5%
Q4 - 3:53HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound113
34.7%
113
65.3%
Q4 - 3:54RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot113
32.0%
113
68.0%
Q4 - 4:06RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound113
26.3%
113
73.7%
Q4 - 4:07HeatJustise Winslow misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot113
28.7%
113
71.3%
Q4 - 4:31RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup113
35.0%
113
65.0%
Q4 - 4:43RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound113
43.3%
111
56.7%
Q4 - 4:44HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup113
46.4%
111
53.6%
Q4 - 5:05RocketsClint Capela makes two point running layup (James Harden assists)113
48.2%
111
51.8%
Q4 - 5:11RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound113
56.0%
109
44.0%
Q4 - 5:13HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot113
58.6%
109
41.4%
Q4 - 5:33RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3113
64.6%
109
35.4%
Q4 - 5:33RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3113
65.5%
108
34.5%
Q4 - 5:33RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3113
66.4%
107
33.6%
Q4 - 5:33HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)113
67.4%
106
32.6%
Q4 - 5:41HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)113
77.7%
106
22.3%
Q4 - 5:54HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound113
83.2%
106
16.8%
Q4 - 5:57RocketsJames Harden misses two point running layup113
81.7%
106
18.3%
Q4 - 6:00HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (James Harden steals)113
77.8%
106
22.2%
Q4 - 6:09RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 1113
78.5%
106
21.5%
Q4 - 6:09HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)113
79.0%
105
21.0%
Q4 - 6:18HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)113
86.4%
103
13.6%
Q4 - 6:33RocketsJames Harden makes two point layup110
78.7%
103
21.3%
Q4 - 6:36RocketsJames Harden offensive rebound110
82.7%
101
17.3%
Q4 - 6:38RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot110
85.8%
101
14.2%
Q4 - 6:56HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
82.8%
101
17.2%
Q4 - 6:56HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
82.0%
101
18.0%
Q4 - 6:56RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)108
81.1%
101
18.9%
Q4 - 7:01RocketsJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)108
74.2%
101
25.8%
Q4 - 7:17HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot108
68.1%
101
31.9%
Q4 - 7:44RocketsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)105
56.4%
101
43.6%
Q4 - 7:57HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)105
68.4%
98
31.6%
Q4 - 8:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound102
53.0%
98
47.0%
Q4 - 8:12RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot102
51.1%
98
48.9%
Q4 - 8:23HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)102
46.7%
98
53.3%
Q4 - 8:32RocketsAustin Rivers defensive rebound102
46.7%
98
53.3%
Q4 - 8:33HeatDwyane Wade misses three point stepback jump shot102
48.7%
98
51.3%
Q4 - 8:50RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
53.2%
98
46.8%
Q4 - 8:50RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
54.0%
97
46.0%
Q4 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)102
54.8%
96
45.2%
Q4 - 8:54HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (James Harden steals)102
59.3%
96
40.7%
Q4 - 9:13RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot102
62.4%
96
37.6%
Q4 - 9:19RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound102
72.5%
93
27.5%
Q4 - 9:20HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
74.0%
93
26.0%
Q4 - 9:38HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound102
77.4%
93
22.6%
Q4 - 9:38RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot102
76.0%
93
24.0%
Q4 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
69.9%
93
30.1%
Q4 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
69.1%
93
30.9%
Q4 - 10:02RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)100
68.0%
93
32.0%
Q4 - 10:10RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point jump shot100
65.4%
93
34.6%
Q4 - 10:26HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)100
70.1%
91
29.9%
Q4 - 10:26HeatHeat offensive rebound100
74.9%
91
25.1%
Q4 - 10:26HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point layup100
71.6%
91
28.4%
Q4 - 10:45HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound100
74.9%
91
25.1%
Q4 - 10:47RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot100
73.5%
91
26.5%
Q4 - 10:58HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving reverse layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)100
70.2%
91
29.8%
Q4 - 11:18RocketsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (Gary Clark assists)98
63.7%
91
36.3%
Q4 - 11:33HeatDwyane Wade turnover (3-second violation)98
73.0%
88
27.0%
Q4 - 11:49RocketsGary Clark makes two point layup98
77.1%
88
22.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.98
80.6%
86
19.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0RocketsRockets offensive rebound98
80.6%
86
19.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0RocketsChris Paul misses three point fadeaway jump shot98
82.9%
86
17.1%
Q3 - 0:02.4HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)98
78.0%
86
22.0%
Q3 - 0:19.1HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)98
78.1%
86
21.9%
Q3 - 0:29.4RocketsAustin Rivers personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)96
74.4%
86
25.6%
Q3 - 0:49.1RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)96
74.5%
86
25.5%
Q3 - 1:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point tip dunk96
78.8%
83
21.2%
Q3 - 1:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound94
75.4%
83
24.6%
Q3 - 1:08HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot94
72.8%
83
27.2%
Q3 - 1:15HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound94
75.5%
83
24.5%
Q3 - 1:16Rockets Nene misses two point jump shot94
74.4%
83
25.6%
Q3 - 1:36HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)94
71.8%
83
28.2%
Q3 - 1:50RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point driving layup (James Harden assists)91
63.4%
83
36.6%
Q3 - 2:04HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 291
64.4%
81
35.6%
Q3 - 2:04HeatJosh Richardson misses regular free throw 1 of 290
63.9%
81
36.1%
Q3 - 2:04Rockets Nene shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)90
67.4%
81
32.6%
Q3 - 2:23RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 290
64.8%
81
35.2%
Q3 - 2:23RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 290
65.3%
80
34.7%
Q3 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)90
65.9%
79
34.1%
Q3 - 2:29RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound90
68.7%
79
31.3%
Q3 - 2:34HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot90
70.0%
79
30.0%
Q3 - 2:55HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound90
72.9%
79
27.1%
Q3 - 2:56RocketsBam Adebayo blocks James Harden's two point driving layup90
71.7%
79
28.3%
Q3 - 3:08HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup90
66.8%
79
33.2%
Q3 - 3:30HeatGoran Dragic makes technical free throw 1 of 188
63.1%
79
36.9%
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker technical foul87
62.1%
79
37.9%
Q3 - 3:30HeatGoran Dragic makes technical free throw 1 of 187
58.9%
79
41.1%
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker technical foul86
57.8%
79
42.2%
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker turnover (offensive foul)86
57.8%
79
42.2%
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker offensive foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)86
49.8%
79
50.2%
Q3 - 3:41HeatDion Waiters turnover (offensive foul)86
49.8%
79
50.2%
Q3 - 3:41HeatDion Waiters offensive foul (Austin Rivers draws the foul)86
54.6%
79
45.4%
Q3 - 4:02RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)86
52.4%
79
47.6%
Q3 - 4:13RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound86
56.0%
77
44.0%
Q3 - 4:14HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot86
57.5%
77
42.5%
Q3 - 4:39RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup86
60.9%
77
39.1%
Q3 - 4:48RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound86
64.4%
75
35.6%
Q3 - 4:49HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot86
65.7%
75
34.3%
Q3 - 5:10RocketsGerald Green makes three point pullup jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)86
66.7%
75
33.3%
Q3 - 5:23HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving finger roll layup (Justise Winslow assists)86
73.4%
72
26.6%
Q3 - 5:43RocketsGerald Green makes three point jump shot (PJ Tucker assists)84
70.3%
72
29.7%
Q3 - 5:47RocketsPJ Tucker offensive rebound84
76.5%
69
23.5%
Q3 - 5:48RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot84
78.6%
69
21.4%
Q3 - 5:54RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound84
76.5%
69
23.5%
Q3 - 5:56HeatDion Waiters misses three point pullup jump shot84
77.4%
69
22.6%
Q3 - 6:05RocketsPJ Tucker personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)84
77.1%
69
22.9%
Q3 - 6:19HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound84
77.2%
69
22.8%
Q3 - 6:21RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot84
76.3%
69
23.7%
Q3 - 6:43HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)84
74.2%
69
25.8%
Q3 - 6:52HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound84
77.4%
69
22.6%
Q3 - 6:54RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot84
76.4%
69
23.6%
Q3 - 7:05HeatJustise Winslow makes two point pullup jump shot84
72.2%
69
27.8%
Q3 - 7:21RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot82
69.6%
69
30.4%
Q3 - 7:42RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound82
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q3 - 7:43HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot82
76.2%
66
23.8%
Q3 - 7:59RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 282
78.4%
66
21.6%
Q3 - 7:59RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 282
78.6%
65
21.4%
Q3 - 7:59HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)82
79.0%
64
21.0%
Q3 - 8:05HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)82
79.2%
64
20.8%
Q3 - 8:24RocketsGary Clark makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)82
81.9%
64
18.1%
Q3 - 8:44HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
85.7%
61
14.3%
Q3 - 8:59RocketsJames Harden turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
81.9%
61
18.1%
Q3 - 9:04HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)79
77.4%
61
22.6%
Q3 - 9:15HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound79
80.1%
61
19.9%
Q3 - 9:17RocketsChris Paul misses three point fadeaway jump shot79
79.3%
61
20.7%
Q3 - 9:31RocketsChris Paul makes technical free throw 1 of 179
77.5%
61
22.5%
Q3 - 9:31Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)79
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q3 - 9:45HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)79
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 10:00RocketsJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)77
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q3 - 10:05HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Justise Winslow assists)77
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 10:21RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)75
70.5%
60
29.5%
Q3 - 10:32HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)75
75.6%
57
24.4%
Q3 - 10:32HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (PJ Tucker draws the foul)75
78.5%
57
21.5%
Q3 - 10:36RocketsClint Capela turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)75
78.5%
57
21.5%
Q3 - 10:40HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (PJ Tucker draws the foul)75
75.6%
57
24.3%
Q3 - 10:47HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)75
75.7%
57
24.3%
Q3 - 10:58RocketsJames Harden makes two point layup72
70.6%
57
29.4%
Q3 - 11:01RocketsJames Harden offensive rebound72
71.1%
55
28.9%
Q3 - 11:02RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving floating jump shot72
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 11:21HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)72
71.2%
55
28.8%
Q3 - 11:33HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound69
65.6%
55
34.4%
Q3 - 11:34RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot69
64.6%
55
35.4%
Q3 - 11:40RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound69
62.2%
55
37.8%
Q3 - 11:41HeatClint Capela blocks Justise Winslow's two point driving layup69
63.3%
55
36.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.69
65.6%
55
34.4%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound69
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q2 - 0:00.2RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot69
62.1%
55
37.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound69
60.6%
55
39.4%
Q2 - 0:09.8HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving reverse layup69
61.3%
55
38.7%
Q2 - 0:28.7RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot69
63.0%
55
37.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point stepback jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)69
69.6%
52
30.4%
Q2 - 0:53.6RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 266
63.1%
52
36.9%
Q2 - 0:53.6RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 266
63.4%
51
36.6%
Q2 - 0:53.6HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)66
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q2 - 1:07HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup66
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q2 - 1:21HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound64
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q2 - 1:24RocketsChris Paul misses two point driving floating jump shot64
60.9%
50
39.1%
Q2 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)64
59.7%
50
40.3%
Q2 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)64
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q2 - 1:41HeatHeat defensive rebound64
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q2 - 1:42RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot64
60.9%
50
39.1%
Q2 - 1:54HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)64
59.7%
50
40.3%
Q2 - 2:12RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot (Chris Paul assists)61
51.3%
50
48.7%
Q2 - 2:29HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 261
57.4%
47
42.6%
Q2 - 2:29HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 260
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q2 - 2:29RocketsGary Clark shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)59
55.5%
47
44.5%
Q2 - 2:29HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound59
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q2 - 2:29HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot59
52.2%
47
47.8%
Q2 - 2:42RocketsChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)59
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q2 - 2:55HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 259
51.4%
47
48.6%
Q2 - 2:55HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 258
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q2 - 2:55RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)57
50.1%
47
49.9%
Q2 - 2:59HeatHeat offensive rebound57
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q2 - 3:00HeatClint Capela blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup57
46.1%
47
53.9%
Q2 - 3:09RocketsJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 157
42.9%
47
57.1%
Q2 - 3:22RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 3:26HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q2 - 3:27RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot54
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q2 - 3:33HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)54
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 3:43RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup54
37.8%
47
62.2%
Q2 - 3:52RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound54
40.2%
45
59.8%
Q2 - 3:53HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot54
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 3:59HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound54
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q2 - 4:00HeatGary Clark blocks Justise Winslow's two point layup54
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 4:04HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
41.5%
45
58.5%
Q2 - 4:05RocketsBam Adebayo blocks James Harden's two point driving floating jump shot54
40.7%
45
59.3%
Q2 - 4:27HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 4:42RocketsGary Clark makes three point jump shot (Gerald Green assists)51
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q2 - 4:52HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 2 of 251
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q2 - 4:52HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 250
38.1%
42
61.9%
Q2 - 4:52RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)50
40.0%
42
60.0%
Q2 - 5:05RocketsPJ Tucker turnover (offensive foul)50
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 5:05RocketsPJ Tucker offensive foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)50
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 250
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 249
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q2 - 5:12RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)48
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 5:27RocketsGary Clark makes regular free throw 1 of 148
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 5:27HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)48
33.3%
41
66.7%
Q2 - 5:42HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving floating jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)48
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 6:03HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound46
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 6:03RocketsClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 246
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 6:03RocketsClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 246
33.2%
39
66.8%
Q2 - 6:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)46
31.8%
39
68.2%
Q2 - 6:04RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound46
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 6:06RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving floating jump shot46
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 6:12RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound46
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 6:13HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot46
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 6:30RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)46
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 6:51HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 246
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 6:51HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 245
36.6%
37
63.4%
Q2 - 6:51RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)44
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q2 - 7:11RocketsChris Paul makes two point bank jump shot (James Harden assists)44
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 7:24HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)44
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 7:42HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound41
31.5%
35
68.5%
Q2 - 7:43RocketsAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot41
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 7:52HeatJosh Richardson makes two point running layup (Goran Dragic assists)41
29.2%
35
70.8%
Q2 - 7:57RocketsGerald Green turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)39
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 8:13HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot39
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 8:31RocketsClint Capela turnover (offensive foul)37
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 8:31RocketsClint Capela offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)37
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 8:33RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound37
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 8:36RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot37
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 8:59RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound37
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 9:01HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot37
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 9:12RocketsClint Capela makes two point dunk (Gerald Green assists)37
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 9:32HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup37
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 9:47RocketsGerald Green turnover (offensive foul)35
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 9:47RocketsGerald Green offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)35
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 9:57RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound35
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 9:58HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving finger roll layup35
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 10:06HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound35
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 10:08RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot35
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q2 - 10:21RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound35
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 10:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 235
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 10:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 235
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 10:21RocketsGary Clark shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)34
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 10:34RocketsChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 10:41RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound34
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 10:42HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot34
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 10:49Rockets Nene turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)34
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 11:01RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound34
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 11:03HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot34
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 11:09RocketsGerald Green personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)34
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 11:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound34
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 11:24Heat Nene blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point running layup34
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 11:27RocketsChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)34
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 11:48HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)34
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound32
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot32
16.7%
33
83.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound32
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q1 - 0:06.5RocketsChris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot32
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q1 - 0:31.1RocketsAustin Rivers defensive rebound32
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:32.5HeatDwyane Wade misses two point stepback jump shot32
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q1 - 0:43.7RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 232
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q1 - 0:43.7RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 232
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q1 - 0:43.7HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)32
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q1 - 0:48.1Rockets Nene defensive rebound32
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 0:48.1HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot32
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q1 - 0:56.9HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound32
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q1 - 0:56.9RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot32
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q1 - 1:08HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup32
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 1:19Rockets Nene personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)30
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 1:19HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound30
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 1:19Rockets Nene misses two point layup30
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q1 - 1:39HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup30
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q1 - 1:40HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound28
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q1 - 1:41HeatJames Harden blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup28
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q1 - 1:56HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound28
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q1 - 1:57RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot28
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q1 - 2:23HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)28
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q1 - 2:32HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound25
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q1 - 2:32Rockets Nene misses two point turnaround hook shot25
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q1 - 2:43HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)25
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q1 - 3:00HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound23
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q1 - 3:01RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot23
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q1 - 3:08RocketsRockets defensive rebound23
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q1 - 3:11HeatJustise Winslow misses two point stepback jump shot23
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 3:27RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 223
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 3:27RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 223
10.2%
30
89.8%
Q1 - 3:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)23
10.3%
29
89.7%
Q1 - 3:35RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound23
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q1 - 3:35HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q1 - 4:05RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)23
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q1 - 4:18HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Clint Capela draws the foul)23
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 4:18RocketsRockets offensive rebound23
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 4:19RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot23
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 4:35HeatDion Waiters makes two point stepback jump shot23
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 5:00RocketsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)21
12.7%
26
87.3%
Q1 - 5:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)21
14.5%
23
85.5%
Q1 - 5:40RocketsGary Clark makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)19
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 5:43RocketsChris Paul offensive rebound19
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 5:46RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot19
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 5:54HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)19
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 6:13RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot19
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 6:23RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound19
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot19
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 6:44RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)19
20.2%
17
79.8%
Q1 - 7:02HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup19
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 7:18RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 217
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 7:18RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 217
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)17
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:34HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)17
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 7:45RocketsChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot15
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 7:56HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)15
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 7:58HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound12
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 8:00HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup12
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 8:13RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)12
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:13RocketsRockets offensive rebound12
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 8:13RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot12
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 8:39HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)12
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 8:58RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot10
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 9:10HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving finger roll layup10
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 9:22RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot8
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 9:36HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)8
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:40RocketsClint Capela turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)5
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup5
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 10:14RocketsJames Harden personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)3
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 10:27RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)3
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 10:42HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 11:00RocketsChris Paul makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)0
12.3%
5
87.7%
Q1 - 11:05RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point hook shot0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:17HeatHeat defensive rebound0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:19RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:25RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:41RocketsClint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 20
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:41RocketsClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 20
15.1%
1
84.9%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:42RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:43RocketsChris Paul misses two point driving floating jump shot0
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Clint Capela (Chris Paul gains possession)0
15.8%
0
84.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.27 63.4%
HOU
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
29
69%
HOU
13
20
65%
Midrange
MIA
7
24
29%
HOU
6
11
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
28
54%
80%
HOU
19
28.5
46
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
19
24
79%
HOU
26
28
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk2175%10.5 / 14
G. Dragic2170%10.5 / 15
J. Winslow1963%9.5 / 15
J. Richardson1869%9.0 / 13
D. Wade1240%6.0 / 15
D. Waiters1169%5.5 / 8
B. Adebayo1071%5.0 / 7
D. Jones350%1.5 / 3
R. McGruder3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden5873%29.0 / 40
A. Rivers17106%8.5 / 8
C. Paul1454%7.0 / 13
G. Clark1478%7.0 / 9
C. Capela675%3.0 / 4
P. Tucker6150%3.0 / 2
G. Green633%3.0 / 9
Nene0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+11
-14
93
HOU
81
+11
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.27 63.4%
HOU
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
115.4
MIA 122.9
HOU 126.0 +3.1
Pace
98.1
98.0
MIA 92.7
HOU 99.5 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 15.5
HOU 14.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
54.2%
MIA 61.1%
HOU 61.7% +0.6%
TO %
14.3%
12.8%
MIA 13.3% +1.9%
HOU 15.2%
ORB %
24.8%
22.8%
MIA 22.2%
HOU 23.5% +1.3%
FTrt
24.7
27.9
MIA 29.6
HOU 36.4 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
54.1%
MIA 66.7% +8.8%
HOU 57.9%
STL %
7.8%
8.6%
MIA 9.4% +3.1%
HOU 6.3%
BLK %
10.2%
8.7%
MIA 6.5%
HOU 9.4% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
56.9%
MIA 63.4%
HOU 65.8% +2.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
60.6%
MIA 69.0% +4.0%
HOU 65.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.8%
MIA 29.2%
HOU 54.5% +25.3%
3P %
34.9%
35.6%
MIA 53.6% +12.3%
HOU 41.3%
FT %
69.5%
79.1%
MIA 79.2%
HOU 92.9% +13.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
33.9%
MIA 35.8% +9.8%
HOU 26.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
14.2%
MIA 29.6%
HOU 14.3% +15.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
51.9%
MIA 34.6%
HOU 59.7% +25.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points118121
Rebounds3436
Assists2822
Steals96
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (1)
Fouls2221
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals42-8138-77
At-the-Rim FG20-2913-20
Midrange FG7-246-11
2-Point FG27-5319-31
3-Point FG15-2819-46
Free Throws19-2426-28
Fast Break Pts810
2nd Chance Pts1117
Points in Paint4632
Pts off Turnovers2720
Bench Points3923
Biggest Lead218

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
37.3
18
69%
4
2
3
0
1
5
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
32.9
21
75%
5
2
1
0
4
4
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
3-4
75%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27
32.4
11
69%
2
4
1
0
3
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
31.1
19
63%
7
8
0
0
3
3
3
4
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
3-3
100%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
29.1
10
71%
3
5
1
2
1
4
2
1
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
26.0
12
40%
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
24.9
21
70%
5
5
1
0
0
1
0
5
8-8
100%
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
20.3
3
50%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
6.0
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left hip strain
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Slight left AC sprain
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#12 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
63%
34
28
9
2
14
22
8
26
19-24
79%
27-53
51%
15-28
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.