FinalWin Prob.pScore
368%118
141
2132%112
140
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
119.511896.6
SAC logo SAC
117.6119120.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

KingsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAC
OT1 - End of 1st OT.141
100%
140
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.14 56.9%
SAC
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
31
43
72%
SAC
22
43
51%
Midrange
MIL
6
24
25%
SAC
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
17
25.5
45
38%
57%
SAC
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIL
16
21
76%
SAC
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Bledsoe2665%13.0 / 20
M. Brogdon25114%12.5 / 11
K. Middleton2146%10.5 / 23
N. Mirotic2170%10.5 / 15
G. Antetokounmpo1761%8.5 / 14
P. Connaughton950%4.5 / 9
E. Ilyasova867%4.0 / 6
B. Lopez723%3.5 / 15
T. Snell770%3.5 / 5
I. Canaan0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield3248%16.0 / 33
B. Bogdanović2867%14.0 / 21
H. Giles1875%9.0 / 12
D. Fox1761%8.5 / 14
H. Barnes1568%7.5 / 11
W. Cauley-Stein1042%5.0 / 12
M. Bagley941%4.5 / 11
Y. Ferrell956%4.5 / 8
C. Brewer233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
107
+15
-11
122
SAC
111
+21
-8
132
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.14 56.9%
SAC
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
110.0
MIL 119.5 +1.8
SAC 117.6
Pace
103.2
103.5
MIL 96.6
SAC 120.6 +24.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
13.3
MIL 14.9
SAC 11.9 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
52.4%
MIL 55.8% +5.8%
SAC 50.0%
TO %
12.8%
12.4%
MIL 8.3%
SAC 5.7% +2.6%
ORB %
20.8%
23.1%
MIL 20.4%
SAC 24.6% +4.2%
FTrt
25.5
24.4
MIL 18.8
SAC 25.4 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.8%
MIL 66.7% +10.1%
SAC 56.6%
STL %
7.2%
8.0%
MIL 2.5%
SAC 5.0% +2.5%
BLK %
10.4%
7.9%
MIL 16.5% +7.5%
SAC 9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
54.1%
MIL 56.9% +3.9%
SAC 53.0%
Rim FG%
64.1%
60.3%
MIL 72.1% +20.9%
SAC 51.2%
Mid FG%
39.4%
38.8%
MIL 25.0%
SAC 45.2% +20.2%
3P %
35.2%
37.8%
MIL 37.8% +1.4%
SAC 36.4%
FT %
77.2%
72.6%
MIL 76.2% +2.9%
SAC 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
36.7%
MIL 38.4% +2.0%
SAC 36.4%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
31.1%
MIL 21.4% +14.2%
SAC 35.6%
3P Att. %
42.0%
32.2%
MIL 40.2% +12.2%
SAC 28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAC
Possessions118119
Possession Minutes29.323.7
Points141140
Rebounds5758
Assists3630
Steals36
Blocks146
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)8 (0)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (2)43 (2)
Field Goals54-11253-118
At-the-Rim FG31-4322-43
Midrange FG6-2419-42
2-Point FG37-6741-85
3-Point FG17-4512-33
Free Throws16-2122-30
Fast Break Pts1018
2nd Chance Pts1218
Points in Paint7056
Pts off Turnovers816
Bench Points4538
Biggest Lead1710

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
37.2
21
46%
6
7
2
0
4
4
0
6
4-7
57%
7-14
50%
1-6
17%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
36.6
7
23%
5
3
0
6
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
1-6
17%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
35.6
26
65%
12
13
1
0
4
0
4
8
0-0
-
7-13
54%
4-7
57%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
31.5
25
114%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
24.3
17
61%
7
2
0
2
1
0
1
6
3-5
60%
7-9
78%
0-3
0%
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
26.8
21
70%
8
3
0
2
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
5-8
63%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
24.7
9
50%
5
4
0
2
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
20.6
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
14.5
8
67%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 28
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral heel bursitis
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left groin strain
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right wrist soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
141
57%
57
36
3
14
11
18
11
46
16-21
76%
37-67
55%
17-45
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.