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All Games Wednesday, February 27, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Pacers
51%110
101
16
Mavericks
49%109
110
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
106.39594.1
DAL logo DAL
114.69696.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
110
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.13 56.7%
DAL
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
22
77%
DAL
16
26
62%
Midrange
IND
10
27
37%
DAL
8
18
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
DAL
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
Free Throws
IND
17
21
81%
DAL
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic2265%11.0 / 17
W. Matthews2071%10.0 / 14
M. Turner1354%6.5 / 12
T. Young1155%5.5 / 10
T. Leaf9150%4.5 / 3
D. Collison744%3.5 / 8
C. Joseph744%3.5 / 8
D. McDermott750%3.5 / 7
A. Holiday350%1.5 / 3
K. O'Quinn2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2687%13.0 / 15
J. Brunson2480%12.0 / 15
T. Hardaway2063%10.0 / 16
D. Powell1275%6.0 / 8
D. Nowitzki1155%5.5 / 10
M. Kleber6150%3.0 / 2
D. Harris531%2.5 / 8
J. Jackson450%2.0 / 4
D. Finney-Smith220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
81
+7
-14
88
DAL
81
+12
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.13 56.7%
DAL
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
109.2
IND 106.3
DAL 114.6 +8.3
Pace
98.2
99.1
IND 94.1
DAL 96.9 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.8
IND 15.3
DAL 14.9 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
51.8%
IND 54.5%
DAL 59.3% +4.8%
TO %
13.5%
13.6%
IND 14.8% +0.9%
DAL 15.7%
ORB %
21.9%
22.6%
IND 15.8%
DAL 23.8% +8.0%
FTrt
24.2
29.1
IND 27.3
DAL 28.4 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
60.3%
IND 51.4%
DAL 67.5% +16.1%
STL %
8.9%
6.5%
IND 10.5%
DAL 11.5% +1.0%
BLK %
9.2%
7.6%
IND 6.8% +4.8%
DAL 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
54.2%
IND 56.7%
DAL 59.1% +2.4%
Rim FG%
60.4%
62.0%
IND 77.3% +15.8%
DAL 61.5%
Mid FG%
41.1%
39.0%
IND 37.0%
DAL 44.4% +7.4%
3P %
37.4%
34.0%
IND 35.7%
DAL 43.2% +7.5%
FT %
75.1%
74.2%
IND 81.0% +20.1%
DAL 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
33.8%
IND 28.6%
DAL 32.1% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
24.0%
IND 35.1%
DAL 22.2% +12.8%
3P Att. %
29.1%
42.2%
IND 36.4%
DAL 45.7% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDAL
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points101110
Rebounds3842
Assists1927
Steals1011
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (2)
Fouls2322
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals37-7740-81
At-the-Rim FG17-2216-26
Midrange FG10-278-18
2-Point FG27-4924-44
3-Point FG10-2816-37
Free Throws17-2114-23
Fast Break Pts1319
2nd Chance Pts614
Points in Paint4038
Pts off Turnovers1519
Bench Points2817
Biggest Lead79

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 Indiana Pacers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
37.0
20
71%
3
1
1
0
3
4
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
Bojan Bogdanovic
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
33.7
22
65%
4
0
1
0
4
2
0
4
3-3
100%
8-12
67%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
31.9
11
55%
5
5
0
0
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
30.6
13
54%
5
1
4
1
2
5
1
4
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
Darren Collison
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
26.6
7
44%
6
4
1
0
2
2
1
5
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
31.6
7
44%
4
4
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
18.2
7
50%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
TJ Leaf
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
16.5
9
150%
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
10.8
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
3.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Tyreke Evans
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
NWT - Injury/Illness | Food Poisoning
Davon Reed
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Edmond Sumner
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
Alize Johnson
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Left Foot
Domantas Sabonis
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Left Ankle
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
57%
38
19
10
3
14
23
6
32
17-21
81%
27-49
55%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.