FinalWin Prob.pScore
1542%111
93
1358%114
105
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
98.99491.3
SAS logo SAS
111.79496.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
105
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.88 43.9%
SAS
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
36
39%
SAS
13
22
59%
Midrange
DET
7
26
27%
SAS
20
42
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
15
22.5
38
39%
59%
SAS
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
DET
6
7
86%
SAS
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2261%11.0 / 18
B. Griffin1747%8.5 / 18
W. Ellington1155%5.5 / 10
L. Galloway1179%5.5 / 7
A. Drummond1038%5.0 / 13
I. Smith950%4.5 / 9
L. Kennard836%4.0 / 11
B. Brown450%2.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia113%0.5 / 4
T. Maker0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2455%12.0 / 22
D. DeRozan1757%8.5 / 15
M. Belinelli1785%8.5 / 10
D. White1568%7.5 / 11
J. Poeltl1192%5.5 / 6
P. Mills1192%5.5 / 6
B. Forbes6300%3.0 / 1
R. Gay429%2.0 / 7
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 2
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
89
+17
-5
106
SAS
84
+7
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.88 43.9%
SAS
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
112.6
DET 98.9 +12.8
SAS 111.7
Pace
97.3
98.6
DET 91.3
SAS 96.9 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.0
DET 15.8
SAS 14.9 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
53.4%
DET 43.5%
SAS 57.4% +13.9%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
DET 5.5% +6.4%
SAS 11.9%
ORB %
24.9%
20.9%
DET 14.3%
SAS 17.5% +3.2%
FTrt
26.1
23.7
DET 7.0
SAS 21.0 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
58.0%
DET 52.8%
SAS 57.1% +4.3%
STL %
7.1%
6.2%
DET 6.4% +3.2%
SAS 3.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.3%
DET 4.7%
SAS 11.3% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
56.0%
DET 43.9%
SAS 57.7% +13.8%
Rim FG%
57.5%
62.7%
DET 38.9%
SAS 59.1% +20.2%
Mid FG%
38.4%
44.0%
DET 26.9%
SAS 47.6% +20.7%
3P %
34.8%
39.2%
DET 39.5%
SAS 52.9% +13.4%
FT %
74.7%
81.8%
DET 85.7% +15.1%
SAS 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
27.8%
DET 36.0% +8.8%
SAS 27.2%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
43.7%
DET 26.0% +25.9%
SAS 51.9%
3P Att. %
39.4%
28.6%
DET 38.0% +17.0%
SAS 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points93105
Rebounds4155
Assists1924
Steals63
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)10 (2)
Fouls1411
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (9)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)48 (0)
Field Goals36-10042-81
At-the-Rim FG14-3613-22
Midrange FG7-2620-42
2-Point FG21-6233-64
3-Point FG15-389-17
Free Throws6-712-17
Fast Break Pts1314
2nd Chance Pts98
Points in Paint4240
Pts off Turnovers156
Bench Points2932
Biggest Lead514

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 26
37.2
10
38%
17
1
4
1
0
3
4
13
0-0
-
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
35.0
17
47%
7
7
0
0
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
3-7
43%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
29.1
22
61%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
5-12
42%
#20 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
24.0
11
55%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
#6 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 23
19.6
4
50%
2
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
31.6
8
36%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-6
0%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.7
11
79%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
18.9
9
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
14.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
8.9
1
13%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
44%
41
19
6
3
5
14
8
33
6-7
86%
21-62
34%
15-38
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.