FinalWin Prob.pScore
2614%110
111
286%125
119
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
113.398101.3
HOU logo HOU
120.29995.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
119
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.19 59.7%
HOU
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
27
59%
HOU
17
27
63%
Midrange
ATL
6
15
40%
HOU
7
12
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
17
25.5
38
45%
67%
HOU
15
22.5
51
29%
44%
Free Throws
ATL
16
23
70%
HOU
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young3682%18.0 / 22
J. Collins2077%10.0 / 13
K. Bazemore1354%6.5 / 12
D. Dedmon950%4.5 / 9
V. Carter867%4.0 / 6
K. Huerter770%3.5 / 5
J. Adams675%3.0 / 4
D. Bembry542%2.5 / 6
O. Spellman429%2.0 / 7
A. Len3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2854%14.0 / 26
C. Paul2083%10.0 / 12
E. Gordon1657%8.0 / 14
K. Faried1359%6.5 / 11
C. Capela1275%6.0 / 8
G. Green1169%5.5 / 8
P. Tucker867%4.0 / 6
A. Rivers643%3.0 / 7
I. Shumpert563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+11
-17
92
HOU
87
+18
-12
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.19 59.7%
HOU
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
115.4
ATL 113.3
HOU 120.2 +6.9
Pace
103.9
98.0
ATL 101.3 +5.4
HOU 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
14.8
ATL 14.2 +0.8
HOU 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
54.2%
ATL 59.4% +7.7%
HOU 51.7%
TO %
15.8%
12.8%
ATL 15.9%
HOU 11.9% +4.0%
ORB %
24.8%
22.8%
ATL 28.6% +0.7%
HOU 27.9%
FTrt
25.5
27.9
ATL 28.8
HOU 33.3 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
54.1%
ATL 53.8%
HOU 61.5% +7.7%
STL %
7.8%
8.6%
ATL 6.1%
HOU 11.1% +5.0%
BLK %
9.2%
8.7%
ATL 15.4% +5.9%
HOU 9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
56.9%
ATL 59.7% +3.0%
HOU 56.7%
Rim FG%
59.0%
60.6%
ATL 59.3%
HOU 63.0% +3.7%
Mid FG%
37.9%
41.8%
ATL 40.0%
HOU 58.3% +18.3%
3P %
35.2%
35.6%
ATL 44.7% +15.3%
HOU 29.4%
FT %
75.2%
79.1%
ATL 69.6%
HOU 86.7% +17.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
33.9%
ATL 33.8% +3.8%
HOU 30.0%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
14.2%
ATL 18.8%
HOU 13.3% +5.4%
3P Att. %
40.3%
51.9%
ATL 47.5%
HOU 56.7% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points111119
Rebounds4137
Assists2124
Steals611
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)12 (2)
Fouls2418
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)25 (10)
Field Goals39-8039-90
At-the-Rim FG16-2717-27
Midrange FG6-157-12
2-Point FG22-4224-39
3-Point FG17-3815-51
Free Throws16-2326-30
Fast Break Pts513
2nd Chance Pts1420
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers1225
Bench Points2638
Biggest Lead212

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 20
40.7
36
82%
1
8
0
0
4
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
8-12
67%
#14 · C · 7'0" 245 · 30
33.0
9
50%
7
3
2
2
2
5
3
4
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
32.3
20
77%
12
1
1
0
2
1
3
9
5-7
71%
6-9
67%
1-1
100%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 30
31.5
13
54%
2
1
1
1
5
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 198 · 20
23.0
7
70%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25
23.1
5
42%
6
3
0
2
1
4
1
5
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 22
20.0
4
29%
6
2
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
13.5
6
75%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
13.2
8
67%
2
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 26
9.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PG · 6'4" 187 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee pain
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
41
21
6
6
17
24
10
31
16-23
70%
22-42
52%
17-38
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.