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All Games Monday, February 25, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
6
Bucks
79%117
117
27
Bulls
21%105
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
119.49895.4
CHI logo CHI
108.298100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILCHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
100%
106
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.14 56.8%
CHI
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
24
88%
CHI
22
36
61%
Midrange
MIL
4
18
22%
CHI
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
17
25.5
49
35%
52%
CHI
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIL
16
23
70%
CHI
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2258%11.0 / 19
M. Brogdon2265%11.0 / 17
B. Lopez1354%6.5 / 12
N. Mirotic1365%6.5 / 10
E. Ilyasova1063%5.0 / 8
P. Connaughton1050%5.0 / 10
E. Bledsoe867%4.0 / 6
D. Wilson788%3.5 / 4
I. Canaan6150%3.0 / 2
T. Snell433%2.0 / 6
C. Wood250%1.0 / 2
B. Colson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen2665%13.0 / 20
R. Lopez2672%13.0 / 18
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot1255%6.0 / 11
W. Selden1250%6.0 / 12
Z. LaVine1139%5.5 / 14
A. Blakeney857%4.0 / 7
R. Arcidiacono744%3.5 / 8
S. Harrison233%1.0 / 3
C. Felicio233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
90
+16
-8
106
CHI
91
+11
-7
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.14 56.8%
CHI
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
104.9
MIL 119.4 +11.2
CHI 108.2
Pace
103.2
98.9
MIL 95.4
CHI 100.7 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.4
MIL 15.1
CHI 14.3 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
50.5%
MIL 55.5% +6.0%
CHI 49.5%
TO %
12.8%
13.5%
MIL 7.3%
CHI 6.4% +0.9%
ORB %
20.8%
19.4%
MIL 20.5% +6.2%
CHI 14.3%
FTrt
25.5
23.5
MIL 25.3 +1.4
CHI 23.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.0%
MIL 61.9%
CHI 75.6% +13.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.3%
MIL 3.1%
CHI 3.1%
BLK %
10.4%
7.7%
MIL 9.1% +2.0%
CHI 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
52.9%
MIL 56.8% +5.3%
CHI 51.5%
Rim FG%
64.1%
57.5%
MIL 87.5% +26.4%
CHI 61.1%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.8%
MIL 22.2%
CHI 33.3% +11.1%
3P %
35.2%
35.1%
MIL 34.7% +0.1%
CHI 34.6%
FT %
77.2%
78.3%
MIL 69.6% +1.4%
CHI 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
39.2%
MIL 26.4%
CHI 39.1% +12.8%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
31.3%
MIL 19.8% +12.8%
CHI 32.6%
3P Att. %
42.0%
29.5%
MIL 53.8% +25.6%
CHI 28.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILCHI
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points117106
Rebounds4541
Assists2631
Steals33
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)7 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (7)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (4)35 (4)
Field Goals42-9141-92
At-the-Rim FG21-2422-36
Midrange FG4-1810-30
2-Point FG25-4232-66
3-Point FG17-499-26
Free Throws16-2315-22
Fast Break Pts155
2nd Chance Pts138
Points in Paint4858
Pts off Turnovers612
Bench Points4224
Biggest Lead2014

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
6 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Khris Middleton
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
27.2
22
58%
4
3
0
0
2
4
0
4
7-10
70%
3-11
27%
3-5
60%
Brook Lopez
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
27.2
13
54%
4
1
1
5
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
5-5
100%
0-7
0%
Eric Bledsoe
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
26.0
8
67%
5
4
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
Malcolm Brogdon
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
24.9
22
65%
2
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-8
38%
4-7
57%
Ersan Ilyasova
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
23.6
10
63%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
Pat Connaughton
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
28.4
10
50%
6
5
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
Nikola Mirotic
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
22.7
13
65%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
Tony Snell
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
22.6
4
33%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
D.J. Wilson
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
19.5
7
88%
8
0
0
0
1
4
2
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Canaan
#7 · PF · 6'0" 200 · 28
11.8
6
150%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
Bonzie Colson
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Christian Wood
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
3.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Trevon Duval
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Sterling Brown
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist Soreness
Giannis Antetokounmpo
#34 · SF · 6'11" 243 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Sorenes
Donte DiVincenzo
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Heel Bursitis
George Hill
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Groin Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
57%
45
26
3
6
8
22
9
36
16-23
70%
25-42
60%
17-49
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.