FinalWin Prob.pScore
1152%108
109
1848%107
113
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
114.79596.5
DET logo DET
118.99593.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.6%
DET
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
18
29
62%
DET
14
34
41%
Midrange
IND
12
32
38%
DET
7
13
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
DET
18
27.0
41
44%
66%
Free Throws
IND
19
21
90%
DET
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic2566%12.5 / 19
D. Sabonis2388%11.5 / 13
D. Collison2181%10.5 / 13
W. Matthews1470%7.0 / 10
T. Young1056%5.0 / 9
M. Turner735%3.5 / 10
D. McDermott583%2.5 / 3
C. Joseph233%1.0 / 3
T. Leaf233%1.0 / 3
T. Evans0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2659%13.0 / 22
B. Griffin2045%10.0 / 22
L. Kennard19106%9.5 / 9
R. Jackson1458%7.0 / 12
W. Ellington1464%7.0 / 11
L. Galloway1381%6.5 / 8
B. Brown330%1.5 / 5
I. Smith225%1.0 / 4
T. Maker233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+14
-11
98
DET
83
+19
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.6%
DET
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
109.0
IND 114.7
DET 118.9 +4.2
Pace
98.2
97.3
IND 96.5 +2.9
DET 93.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.2
IND 14.9 +0.5
DET 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
50.8%
IND 51.7%
DET 54.5% +2.8%
TO %
13.5%
13.2%
IND 10.3% +0.5%
DET 10.8%
ORB %
21.9%
24.9%
IND 27.3%
DET 33.3% +6.0%
FTrt
24.2
26.1
IND 24.1
DET 29.5 +5.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
57.9%
IND 57.5%
DET 71.8% +14.3%
STL %
8.9%
7.1%
IND 8.4%
DET 8.4%
BLK %
9.2%
7.1%
IND 17.0% +10.4%
DET 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
53.0%
IND 55.6%
DET 55.9% +0.3%
Rim FG%
60.4%
57.5%
IND 62.1% +20.9%
DET 41.2%
Mid FG%
41.1%
38.4%
IND 37.5%
DET 53.8% +16.3%
3P %
37.4%
34.8%
IND 38.5%
DET 43.9% +5.4%
FT %
75.1%
74.7%
IND 90.5% +25.1%
DET 65.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
36.7%
IND 33.3%
DET 38.6% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
23.9%
IND 36.8%
DET 14.8% +22.0%
3P Att. %
29.1%
39.4%
IND 29.9%
DET 46.6% +16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points109113
Rebounds4247
Assists2328
Steals88
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2320
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals40-8739-88
At-the-Rim FG18-2914-34
Midrange FG12-327-13
2-Point FG30-6121-47
3-Point FG10-2618-41
Free Throws19-2117-26
Fast Break Pts77
2nd Chance Pts2017
Points in Paint4838
Pts off Turnovers1910
Bench Points3236
Biggest Lead217

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
34.8
25
66%
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
6-6
100%
8-13
62%
1-5
20%
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
29.9
14
70%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
29.8
21
81%
3
5
2
0
3
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
3-4
75%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
29.7
7
35%
5
0
1
3
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
29.4
10
56%
12
3
3
2
3
5
6
6
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
25.7
23
88%
7
2
0
1
0
5
4
3
5-7
71%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
21.1
2
33%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
16.2
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
14.1
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
9.3
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bruised Left Foot
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
56%
42
23
8
8
11
23
12
30
19-21
90%
30-61
49%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.