FinalWin Prob.pScore
2419%100
109
381%113
125
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
109.0100105.5
UTA logo UTA
125.010095.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALUTA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
125
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.03 51.4%
UTA
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
9
21
43%
UTA
18
27
67%
Midrange
DAL
19
40
48%
UTA
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
UTA
14
21.0
38
37%
55%
Free Throws
DAL
14
18
78%
UTA
29
33
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hardaway2175%10.5 / 14
T. Burke2063%10.0 / 16
D. Nowitzki1558%7.5 / 13
J. Brunson1350%6.5 / 13
J. Jackson1393%6.5 / 7
D. Powell1250%6.0 / 12
D. Finney-Smith975%4.5 / 6
R. Broekhoff3-0.0 / 0
C. Lee225%1.0 / 4
S. Mejri18%0.5 / 6
D. Harris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Rubio2566%12.5 / 19
D. Mitchell2583%12.5 / 15
J. Crowder2273%11.0 / 15
J. Ingles1882%9.0 / 11
R. Gobert1568%7.5 / 11
K. Korver739%3.5 / 9
D. Favors638%3.0 / 8
T. Sefolosha5125%2.5 / 2
R. O'Neale233%1.0 / 3
R. Neto0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
97
+9
-3
106
UTA
93
+10
-7
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.03 51.4%
UTA
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.8
DAL 109.0
UTA 125.0 +16.0
Pace
99.1
100.5
DAL 105.5 +10.4
UTA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.6
DAL 13.7 +1.5
UTA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
53.8%
DAL 49.0%
UTA 56.5% +7.5%
TO %
13.6%
14.6%
DAL 2.8% +3.8%
UTA 6.6%
ORB %
22.6%
22.9%
DAL 15.1%
UTA 19.0% +3.9%
FTrt
29.1
29.5
DAL 18.6
UTA 38.8 +20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
64.4%
DAL 61.0%
UTA 68.3% +7.3%
STL %
6.5%
8.0%
DAL 2.0%
UTA 2.0%
BLK %
7.6%
9.7%
DAL 6.4%
UTA 14.8% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.9%
DAL 51.4%
UTA 60.7% +9.3%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.1%
DAL 42.9%
UTA 66.7% +23.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.1%
DAL 47.5% +2.5%
UTA 45.0%
3P %
34.0%
35.6%
DAL 36.1%
UTA 36.8% +0.7%
FT %
74.2%
73.6%
DAL 77.8%
UTA 87.9% +10.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
39.5%
DAL 21.6%
UTA 31.8% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
21.1%
DAL 41.2%
UTA 23.5% +17.7%
3P Att. %
42.2%
39.4%
DAL 37.1%
UTA 44.7% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALUTA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points109125
Rebounds4253
Assists2528
Steals22
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)3 (0)7 (0)
Fouls2821
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)45 (3)
Field Goals41-9741-85
At-the-Rim FG9-2118-27
Midrange FG19-409-20
2-Point FG28-6127-47
3-Point FG13-3614-38
Free Throws14-1829-33
Fast Break Pts916
2nd Chance Pts48
Points in Paint3640
Pts off Turnovers43
Bench Points5036
Biggest Lead218

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
29.3
9
75%
6
1
0
0
0
3
0
6
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27
27.1
21
75%
5
4
0
0
0
3
1
4
7-7
100%
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
25.3
15
58%
2
1
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-9
33%
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
24.9
13
50%
5
2
0
0
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
3-5
60%
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
18.3
1
8%
5
2
1
3
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 28
29.7
12
50%
6
5
0
0
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-4
0%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
24.1
13
93%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
23.1
20
63%
7
3
0
0
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
16.0
2
25%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
15.8
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
6.3
3
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | illness
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | sore right ankle
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right achilles surgery
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left knee surgery
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
51%
42
25
2
3
3
28
8
34
14-18
78%
28-61
46%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.