FinalWin Prob.pScore
1232%110
117
568%116
120
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.810199.1
TOR logo TOR
117.6102104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
0%
120
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 57.9%
TOR
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
18
78%
TOR
20
38
53%
Midrange
SAS
17
34
50%
TOR
6
26
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
TOR
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
Free Throws
SAS
19
22
86%
TOR
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2377%11.5 / 15
M. Belinelli2181%10.5 / 13
D. Bertans1673%8.0 / 11
P. Mills1568%7.5 / 11
R. Gay1267%6.0 / 9
B. Forbes956%4.5 / 8
J. Poeltl8100%4.0 / 4
D. White735%3.5 / 10
L. Aldridge638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2546%12.5 / 27
P. Siakam2279%11.0 / 14
K. Lowry1771%8.5 / 12
D. Green1794%8.5 / 9
S. Ibaka1343%6.5 / 15
J. Lin1146%5.5 / 12
O. Anunoby9150%4.5 / 3
M. Gasol429%2.0 / 7
N. Powell217%1.0 / 6
P. McCaw0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
87
+11
-14
98
TOR
93
+16
-9
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 57.9%
TOR
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
113.1
SAS 115.8
TOR 117.6 +1.8
Pace
98.6
100.2
SAS 99.1
TOR 104.0 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.4
SAS 14.5
TOR 13.8 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
54.3%
SAS 55.1% +5.1%
TOR 50.0%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
SAS 12.4%
TOR 7.7% +4.7%
ORB %
20.9%
21.8%
SAS 21.4%
TOR 26.4% +5.0%
FTrt
23.7
24.7
SAS 24.7
TOR 34.0 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
60.3%
SAS 62.8% +2.8%
TOR 60.0%
STL %
6.2%
8.2%
SAS 6.9%
TOR 7.8% +0.9%
BLK %
8.3%
9.1%
SAS 9.4% +3.6%
TOR 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.5%
SAS 57.9% +2.9%
TOR 55.0%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.6%
SAS 77.8% +25.2%
TOR 52.6%
Mid FG%
44.0%
43.1%
SAS 50.0% +26.9%
TOR 23.1%
3P %
39.2%
36.6%
SAS 32.4%
TOR 46.7% +14.3%
FT %
81.8%
80.4%
SAS 86.4% +5.1%
TOR 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.4%
SAS 20.2%
TOR 40.4% +20.2%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
25.6%
SAS 38.2%
TOR 27.7% +10.5%
3P Att. %
28.6%
37.9%
SAS 41.6% +9.7%
TOR 31.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASTOR
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points117120
Rebounds4847
Assists2724
Steals78
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2220
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals43-8940-94
At-the-Rim FG14-1820-38
Midrange FG17-346-26
2-Point FG31-5226-64
3-Point FG12-3714-30
Free Throws19-2226-32
Fast Break Pts913
2nd Chance Pts1415
Points in Paint4046
Pts off Turnovers812
Bench Points6026
Biggest Lead67

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
34.2
23
77%
4
8
2
1
4
4
0
4
9-9
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 34
31.0
6
38%
8
3
1
1
2
2
4
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
27.0
9
56%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 33
24.4
12
67%
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
20.2
7
35%
4
3
1
0
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
31.1
21
81%
6
2
0
0
3
0
1
5
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
5-12
42%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
27.8
15
68%
3
4
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
27.4
16
73%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
4-6
67%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
17.0
8
100%
9
1
1
3
2
3
1
8
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right ACL
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
58%
48
27
7
6
14
22
9
39
19-22
86%
31-52
60%
12-37
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.