FinalWin Prob.pScore
1939%110
111
1461%114
126
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
106.7104102.5
IND logo IND
120.0105106.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.05 52.4%
IND
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
25
44
57%
IND
18
32
56%
Midrange
NOP
10
22
45%
IND
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
IND
14
21.0
32
44%
66%
Free Throws
NOP
17
30
57%
IND
24
35
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Diallo1689%8.0 / 9
E. Payton1575%7.5 / 10
J. Randle1568%7.5 / 11
A. Davis1554%7.5 / 14
J. Holiday1458%7.0 / 12
E. Moore1260%6.0 / 10
F. Jackson833%4.0 / 12
K. Williams630%3.0 / 10
J. Okafor650%3.0 / 6
S. Johnson429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Matthews2480%12.0 / 15
B. Bogdanovic2067%10.0 / 15
D. Sabonis1882%9.0 / 11
T. Evans1777%8.5 / 11
T. Young1642%8.0 / 19
D. Collison1050%5.0 / 10
D. McDermott975%4.5 / 6
K. O'Quinn867%4.0 / 6
C. Joseph440%2.0 / 5
T. Leaf0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
86
+19
-18
105
IND
94
+15
-11
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.05 52.4%
IND
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
109.8
NOP 106.7
IND 120.0 +13.3
Pace
103.4
98.2
NOP 102.5
IND 106.6 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.6
NOP 14.0
IND 13.5 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
52.9%
NOP 50.5%
IND 54.8% +4.3%
TO %
14.0%
13.5%
NOP 14.5%
IND 9.2% +5.3%
ORB %
24.1%
21.9%
NOP 30.0% +4.0%
IND 26.0%
FTrt
25.4
24.2
NOP 32.3
IND 37.6 +5.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
62.8%
NOP 58.1%
IND 63.6% +5.5%
STL %
7.2%
8.9%
NOP 4.8%
IND 9.5% +4.7%
BLK %
9.1%
9.2%
NOP 8.2% +0.6%
IND 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.8%
NOP 52.4%
IND 57.8% +5.4%
Rim FG%
62.1%
60.4%
NOP 56.8% +0.5%
IND 56.3%
Mid FG%
41.1%
41.1%
NOP 45.5% +4.1%
IND 41.4%
3P %
34.4%
37.4%
NOP 29.6%
IND 43.8% +14.2%
FT %
76.1%
75.1%
NOP 56.7%
IND 68.6% +11.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
38.7%
NOP 47.3% +12.9%
IND 34.4%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
32.2%
NOP 23.7% +7.5%
IND 31.2%
3P Att. %
32.4%
29.1%
NOP 29.0%
IND 34.4% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPIND
Possessions104105
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points111126
Rebounds5248
Assists2528
Steals510
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (0)
Fouls2524
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals43-9344-93
At-the-Rim FG25-4418-32
Midrange FG10-2212-29
2-Point FG35-6630-61
3-Point FG8-2714-32
Free Throws17-3024-35
Fast Break Pts2514
2nd Chance Pts1419
Points in Paint5844
Pts off Turnovers723
Bench Points4648
Biggest Lead2015

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
32.9
6
30%
5
1
1
0
2
5
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-7
29%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
28.3
15
75%
2
4
0
2
2
4
0
2
0-2
0%
6-9
67%
1-1
100%
#30 · C · 6'9" 250 · 24
25.4
15
68%
4
2
1
0
5
4
0
4
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
24.8
14
58%
7
4
2
1
1
2
2
5
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26
19.6
15
54%
7
4
1
1
2
0
4
3
3-6
50%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 21
26.8
8
33%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-4
0%
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
26.5
16
89%
18
1
0
1
0
3
4
14
6-7
86%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#3 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
19.6
4
29%
2
4
0
0
4
3
2
0
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 30
19.5
12
60%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
16.6
6
50%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 33
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb Surgery
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
52%
52
25
5
5
18
25
15
37
17-30
57%
35-66
53%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.