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All Games Thursday, February 21, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Kings
18%111
123
1
Warriors
82%123
125
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
110.8111118.8
GSW logo GSW
113.6110103.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACGSW
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.123
0%
125
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.07 53.5%
GSW
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
20
28
71%
GSW
17
25
68%
Midrange
SAC
13
38
34%
GSW
7
23
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
GSW
19
28.5
46
41%
62%
Free Throws
SAC
27
34
79%
GSW
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bagley2861%14.0 / 23
B. Hield1956%9.5 / 17
D. Fox1860%9.0 / 15
B. Bogdanović1464%7.0 / 11
H. Barnes1354%6.5 / 12
C. Brewer1192%5.5 / 6
W. Cauley-Stein1063%5.0 / 8
Y. Ferrell638%3.0 / 8
H. Giles467%2.0 / 3
A. Burks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3686%18.0 / 21
K. Durant2864%14.0 / 22
K. Thompson1853%9.0 / 17
D. Cousins1765%8.5 / 13
D. Green1286%6.0 / 7
A. Iguodala945%4.5 / 10
Q. Cook350%1.5 / 3
K. Looney250%1.0 / 2
A. McKinnie0-0.0 / 1
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
98
+17
-13
115
GSW
95
+12
-15
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.07 53.5%
GSW
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
115.5
SAC 110.8
GSW 113.6 +2.8
Pace
103.5
101.3
SAC 118.8 +15.5
GSW 103.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
13.9
SAC 12.1 +1.8
GSW 13.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
56.4%
SAC 48.5%
GSW 55.9% +7.4%
TO %
12.4%
13.5%
SAC 10.2% +2.3%
GSW 12.5%
ORB %
23.1%
22.5%
SAC 25.5% +8.1%
GSW 17.4%
FTrt
24.4
22.7
SAC 34.3 +8.8
GSW 25.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
66.8%
SAC 53.5%
GSW 74.4% +20.9%
STL %
8.0%
7.4%
SAC 9.0% +4.5%
GSW 4.5%
BLK %
7.9%
11.3%
SAC 6.3%
GSW 16.7% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
58.3%
SAC 53.5%
GSW 59.0% +5.5%
Rim FG%
60.3%
66.3%
SAC 71.4% +3.4%
GSW 68.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
45.8%
SAC 34.2% +3.8%
GSW 30.4%
3P %
37.8%
38.5%
SAC 30.3%
GSW 41.3% +11.0%
FT %
72.6%
80.1%
SAC 79.4%
GSW 83.3% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
29.6%
SAC 28.3% +1.7%
GSW 26.6%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
32.0%
SAC 38.4%
GSW 24.5% +13.9%
3P Att. %
32.2%
38.4%
SAC 33.3%
GSW 48.9% +15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsSACGSW
Possessions111110
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points123125
Rebounds5249
Assists2332
Steals105
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls2426
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (4)41 (1)
Field Goals43-9943-94
At-the-Rim FG20-2817-25
Midrange FG13-387-23
2-Point FG33-6624-48
3-Point FG10-3319-46
Free Throws27-3420-24
Fast Break Pts2827
2nd Chance Pts89
Points in Paint5638
Pts off Turnovers2211
Bench Points4914
Biggest Lead117

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
32.8
13
54%
7
1
0
0
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
31.8
18
60%
3
8
3
1
2
3
0
3
4-6
67%
4-10
40%
2-4
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 27
31.3
14
64%
3
6
2
0
3
2
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
31.3
19
56%
7
2
0
1
2
3
3
4
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
2-8
25%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
27.6
10
63%
5
1
3
0
1
3
2
3
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
33.8
28
61%
14
0
1
0
2
2
6
8
11-14
79%
7-17
41%
1-2
50%
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
16.4
4
67%
8
2
0
1
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
16.2
6
38%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
Corey Brewer
#33 · SF · 6'9" 186 · 33
13.4
11
92%
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
Alec Burks
#13 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28
5.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Caleb Swanigan
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
54%
52
23
10
3
13
24
14
38
27-34
79%
33-66
50%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.