FinalWin Prob.pScore
638%109
97
362%114
98
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
97.010098.5
MIL logo MIL
99.099100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
98
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.91 45.3%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
14
26
54%
MIL
14
26
54%
Midrange
BOS
11
36
31%
MIL
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
14
21.0
40
35%
53%
MIL
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
BOS
5
6
83%
MIL
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2241%11.0 / 27
A. Horford2148%10.5 / 22
J. Tatum1761%8.5 / 14
J. Brown1594%7.5 / 8
M. Morris1146%5.5 / 12
M. Smart531%2.5 / 8
T. Rozier425%2.0 / 8
S. Ojeleye250%1.0 / 2
D. Theis0-0.0 / 1
G. Yabusele0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3068%15.0 / 22
M. Brogdon1554%7.5 / 14
K. Middleton1554%7.5 / 14
B. Lopez1045%5.0 / 11
E. Ilyasova9150%4.5 / 3
N. Mirotic857%4.0 / 7
T. Snell650%3.0 / 6
E. Bledsoe525%2.5 / 10
G. Hill0-0.0 / 3
S. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
93
+14
-7
107
MIL
84
+13
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.91 45.3%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
113.9
BOS 97.0
MIL 99.0 +2.0
Pace
100.0
103.2
BOS 98.5
MIL 100.5 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
13.9
BOS 14.6
MIL 14.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
55.0%
BOS 45.1%
MIL 50.0% +4.9%
TO %
12.4%
12.8%
BOS 6.3% +8.2%
MIL 14.5%
ORB %
21.7%
20.8%
BOS 20.7% +1.6%
MIL 19.1%
FTrt
21.5
25.5
BOS 5.9
MIL 15.9 +10.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
60.1%
BOS 48.7%
MIL 56.8% +8.1%
STL %
8.5%
7.2%
BOS 11.0% +5.9%
MIL 5.1%
BLK %
9.7%
10.4%
BOS 18.4% +11.9%
MIL 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
57.1%
BOS 45.3%
MIL 50.5% +5.2%
Rim FG%
61.6%
64.1%
BOS 53.8%
MIL 53.8%
Mid FG%
43.1%
39.4%
BOS 30.6%
MIL 39.1% +8.5%
3P %
36.5%
35.2%
BOS 35.0%
MIL 35.9% +0.9%
FT %
80.2%
77.2%
BOS 83.3% +11.9%
MIL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
40.2%
BOS 25.5%
MIL 29.5% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
17.8%
BOS 35.3%
MIL 26.1% +9.2%
3P Att. %
38.1%
42.0%
BOS 39.2%
MIL 44.3% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIL
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9798
Rebounds5055
Assists1921
Steals115
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)15 (1)
Fouls1511
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)46 (2)
Field Goals39-10237-88
At-the-Rim FG14-2614-26
Midrange FG11-369-23
2-Point FG25-6223-49
3-Point FG14-4014-39
Free Throws5-610-14
Fast Break Pts1724
2nd Chance Pts910
Points in Paint3840
Pts off Turnovers142
Bench Points2123
Biggest Lead119

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
41.1
22
41%
1
5
2
2
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-19
26%
4-8
50%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 33
37.1
21
48%
17
5
2
3
0
3
7
10
3-4
75%
6-15
40%
2-6
33%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
34.2
17
61%
10
1
2
1
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
1-2
50%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
31.0
11
46%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
30.9
5
31%
5
1
3
1
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
23.7
15
94%
5
3
1
1
3
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
19.5
4
25%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
11.5
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#28 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left foot contusion
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ankle sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
45%
50
19
11
9
7
15
12
38
5-6
83%
25-62
40%
14-40
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.