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All Games Thursday, February 21, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Heat
38%107
102
9
76ers
62%112
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.0101102.9
PHI logo PHI
107.19997.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
106
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
PHI
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
38
63%
PHI
19
35
54%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
PHI
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
PHI
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
6
12
50%
PHI
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1950%9.5 / 19
D. Waiters1869%9.0 / 13
K. Olynyk1558%7.5 / 13
J. Richardson1350%6.5 / 13
J. Winslow1155%5.5 / 10
D. Jones975%4.5 / 6
B. Adebayo675%3.0 / 4
H. Whiteside429%2.0 / 7
R. McGruder4100%2.0 / 2
J. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2368%11.5 / 17
B. Simmons2148%10.5 / 22
B. Marjanovic1986%9.5 / 11
J. Butler1850%9.0 / 18
J. Redick1350%6.5 / 13
T. McConnell6150%3.0 / 2
J. Simmons330%1.5 / 5
M. Scott330%1.5 / 5
J. Bolden0-0.0 / 1
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
92
+11
-9
103
PHI
84
+14
-15
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
PHI
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
112.0
MIA 101.0
PHI 107.1 +6.1
Pace
98.1
102.2
MIA 102.9 +5.8
PHI 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.1
MIA 14.0 +0.8
PHI 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.2%
MIA 51.1% +1.7%
PHI 49.4%
TO %
14.3%
14.0%
MIA 8.3% +5.0%
PHI 13.3%
ORB %
24.8%
24.5%
MIA 15.2%
PHI 26.7% +11.5%
FTrt
24.7
31.2
MIA 12.8
PHI 42.7 +29.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
64.8%
MIA 60.0%
PHI 62.2% +2.2%
STL %
7.8%
7.2%
MIA 10.9% +5.8%
PHI 5.1%
BLK %
10.2%
8.6%
MIA 7.1% +1.5%
PHI 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
56.1%
MIA 49.5%
PHI 53.5% +4.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
63.0%
MIA 63.2% +8.9%
PHI 54.3%
Mid FG%
36.8%
40.5%
MIA 44.1%
PHI 52.4% +8.3%
3P %
34.9%
35.9%
MIA 27.3% +0.4%
PHI 26.9%
FT %
69.5%
77.1%
MIA 50.0%
PHI 71.4% +21.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.3%
MIA 40.4%
PHI 42.7% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
29.5%
MIA 36.2%
PHI 25.6% +10.6%
3P Att. %
36.8%
34.2%
MIA 23.4%
PHI 31.7% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAPHI
Possessions10199
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points102106
Rebounds4051
Assists2723
Steals115
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (0)
Fouls2813
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)39 (3)
Field Goals45-9437-82
At-the-Rim FG24-3819-35
Midrange FG15-3411-21
2-Point FG39-7230-56
3-Point FG6-227-26
Free Throws6-1225-35
Fast Break Pts1219
2nd Chance Pts146
Points in Paint6652
Pts off Turnovers2612
Bench Points4112
Biggest Lead511

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
36.9
13
50%
2
5
0
1
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-7
14%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
30.5
18
69%
5
1
3
0
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.7
11
55%
7
5
3
0
1
6
0
7
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
28.6
15
58%
6
3
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
20.7
4
29%
5
2
1
2
0
3
2
3
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
30.9
19
50%
4
6
1
1
2
2
0
4
3-6
50%
8-17
47%
0-1
0%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
23.3
4
100%
6
3
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
16.9
6
75%
2
2
2
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
16.5
9
75%
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
7.0
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Emanuel Terry
#12 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
50%
40
27
11
4
9
28
7
33
6-12
50%
39-72
54%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.