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All Games Wednesday, February 13, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
22
Kings
29%112
118
9
Nuggets
71%120
120
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
113.5104104.5
DEN logo DEN
114.3105104.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
120
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.10 55.1%
DEN
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
23
39
59%
DEN
30
52
58%
Midrange
SAC
8
22
36%
DEN
7
16
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
DEN
8
12.0
31
26%
39%
Free Throws
SAC
23
28
82%
DEN
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2552%12.5 / 24
H. Barnes1948%9.5 / 20
B. Bogdanović1653%8.0 / 15
D. Fox1568%7.5 / 11
N. Bjelica1393%6.5 / 7
M. Bagley1169%5.5 / 8
W. Cauley-Stein867%4.0 / 6
H. Giles788%3.5 / 4
Y. Ferrell433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2583%12.5 / 15
M. Beasley2158%10.5 / 18
N. Jokić2050%10.0 / 20
W. Barton1350%6.5 / 13
J. Murray1056%5.0 / 9
M. Morris1045%5.0 / 11
M. Plumlee8100%4.0 / 4
I. Thomas8100%4.0 / 4
T. Lyles338%1.5 / 4
T. Craig225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
92
+13
-12
105
DEN
92
+20
-13
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.10 55.1%
DEN
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
112.6
SAC 113.5
DEN 114.3 +0.8
Pace
103.5
98.0
SAC 104.5
DEN 104.7 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.7
SAC 13.8
DEN 13.8 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.7%
SAC 51.1% +1.6%
DEN 49.5%
TO %
12.4%
13.1%
SAC 10.2% +1.1%
DEN 11.3%
ORB %
23.1%
26.6%
SAC 20.4%
DEN 29.2% +8.8%
FTrt
24.4
23.2
SAC 30.1 +4.8
DEN 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
65.3%
SAC 71.4% +13.6%
DEN 57.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
SAC 11.5% +4.8%
DEN 6.7%
BLK %
7.9%
8.2%
SAC 1.5%
DEN 1.6% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
54.5%
SAC 55.1% +1.5%
DEN 53.6%
Rim FG%
60.3%
59.6%
SAC 59.0% +1.3%
DEN 57.7%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.3%
SAC 36.4%
DEN 43.8% +7.4%
3P %
37.8%
35.1%
SAC 34.4% +8.6%
DEN 25.8%
FT %
72.6%
75.5%
SAC 82.1%
DEN 88.0% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.5%
SAC 41.9%
DEN 52.5% +10.6%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
27.7%
SAC 23.7%
DEN 16.2% +7.5%
3P Att. %
32.2%
34.8%
SAC 34.4% +3.1%
DEN 31.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACDEN
Possessions104105
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points118120
Rebounds4453
Assists3026
Steals127
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Fouls2319
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)39 (2)
Field Goals42-9345-99
At-the-Rim FG23-3930-52
Midrange FG8-227-16
2-Point FG31-6137-68
3-Point FG11-328-31
Free Throws23-2822-25
Fast Break Pts2023
2nd Chance Pts1024
Points in Paint5468
Pts off Turnovers1416
Bench Points3831
Biggest Lead176

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
22 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 27
41.3
19
48%
11
4
2
0
1
2
3
8
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
3-9
33%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
33.6
25
52%
5
3
1
0
3
1
1
4
5-5
100%
7-16
44%
2-7
29%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
31.6
15
68%
4
10
0
0
4
3
0
4
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
21.9
8
67%
7
3
5
0
1
5
3
4
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 31
20.1
13
93%
3
3
1
0
1
4
2
1
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 26
26.9
16
53%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
23.3
11
69%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
15.4
4
33%
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
12.3
7
88%
0
0
0
0
0
6
0
0
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
#13 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28
7.0
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
6.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
#33 · SF · 6'9" 186 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Caleb Swanigan
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
55%
44
30
12
1
12
23
10
34
23-28
82%
31-61
51%
11-32
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.