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All Games Wednesday, February 13, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Heat
43%105
112
14
Mavericks
57%108
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.79690.9
DAL logo DAL
103.198103.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
101
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.9%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
25
68%
DAL
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
15
26
58%
DAL
8
14
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
DAL
15
22.5
52
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DAL
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2273%11.0 / 15
D. Waiters2077%10.0 / 13
J. Richardson1454%7.0 / 13
J. Johnson12100%6.0 / 6
J. Winslow1146%5.5 / 12
K. Olynyk10100%5.0 / 5
B. Adebayo10100%5.0 / 5
R. McGruder744%3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hardaway2067%10.0 / 15
L. Dončić1847%9.0 / 19
D. Nowitzki1243%6.0 / 14
M. Kleber1179%5.5 / 7
D. Harris964%4.5 / 7
D. Powell660%3.0 / 5
J. Brunson643%3.0 / 7
R. Broekhoff6100%3.0 / 3
D. Finney-Smith531%2.5 / 8
J. Jackson440%2.0 / 5
S. Mejri2100%1.0 / 1
C. Lee2100%1.0 / 1
T. Burke0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+10
-18
88
DAL
86
+15
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.9%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.2
MIA 116.7 +13.6
DAL 103.1
Pace
98.1
99.1
MIA 90.9
DAL 103.8 +13.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 15.8
DAL 13.9 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.8%
MIA 61.7% +14.5%
DAL 47.2%
TO %
14.3%
13.6%
MIA 17.8%
DAL 10.9% +6.9%
ORB %
24.8%
22.6%
MIA 20.0%
DAL 20.0%
FTrt
24.7
29.1
MIA 19.8
DAL 25.0 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
60.3%
MIA 54.5%
DAL 70.6% +16.1%
STL %
7.8%
6.5%
MIA 8.3%
DAL 10.2% +1.9%
BLK %
10.2%
7.6%
MIA 8.3% +8.3%
DAL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.2%
MIA 62.9% +12.9%
DAL 50.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.0%
MIA 68.0% +18.0%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.0%
MIA 57.7% +0.6%
DAL 57.1%
3P %
34.9%
34.0%
MIA 40.0% +11.2%
DAL 28.8%
FT %
69.5%
74.2%
MIA 75.0%
DAL 81.8% +6.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
33.8%
MIA 30.9% +5.9%
DAL 25.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
24.0%
MIA 32.1%
DAL 15.9% +16.2%
3P Att. %
36.8%
42.2%
MIA 37.0%
DAL 59.1% +22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points112101
Rebounds4738
Assists2424
Steals810
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (0)
Fouls2017
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)28 (2)
Field Goals44-8134-88
At-the-Rim FG17-2511-22
Midrange FG15-268-14
2-Point FG32-5119-36
3-Point FG12-3015-52
Free Throws12-1618-22
Fast Break Pts1713
2nd Chance Pts613
Points in Paint4828
Pts off Turnovers1529
Bench Points5145
Biggest Lead216

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
35.2
14
54%
3
6
0
1
2
5
1
2
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
1-7
14%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
32.2
11
46%
11
6
2
0
3
4
0
11
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
30.8
20
77%
4
3
1
0
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
3-8
38%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
22.0
6
50%
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
21.0
10
100%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
26.2
12
100%
4
3
1
0
2
3
0
4
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
26.0
10
100%
6
3
1
0
4
0
3
3
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
24.6
7
44%
6
1
2
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
22
73%
2
1
0
1
3
2
1
1
3-4
75%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
Ryan Anderson
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee bone bruises
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee surgery
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
63%
47
24
8
3
18
20
7
40
12-16
75%
32-51
63%
12-30
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.