FinalWin Prob.pScore
558%111
106
1142%108
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
107.199104.2
IND logo IND
98.09994.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
97
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.5%
IND
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
24
38
63%
IND
12
28
43%
Midrange
MIL
5
17
29%
IND
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
IND
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIL
21
29
72%
IND
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3369%16.5 / 24
M. Brogdon1765%8.5 / 13
K. Middleton1544%7.5 / 17
G. Hill1275%6.0 / 8
E. Ilyasova1169%5.5 / 8
B. Lopez945%4.5 / 10
E. Bledsoe433%2.0 / 6
T. Snell440%2.0 / 5
S. Brown150%0.5 / 1
D. Wilson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic2067%10.0 / 15
D. Collison1470%7.0 / 10
D. Sabonis1464%7.0 / 11
M. Turner1139%5.5 / 14
T. Evans1045%5.0 / 11
W. Matthews857%4.0 / 7
C. Joseph850%4.0 / 8
T. Young744%3.5 / 8
D. McDermott563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
89
+12
-10
101
IND
88
+9
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.5%
IND
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
109.8
MIL 107.1
IND 98.0 +9.1
Pace
103.2
98.2
MIL 104.2 +9.9
IND 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.6
MIL 13.8 +1.5
IND 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
52.9%
MIL 49.4% +2.2%
IND 47.2%
TO %
12.8%
13.5%
MIL 9.2% +1.1%
IND 10.3%
ORB %
20.8%
21.9%
MIL 20.4% +11.7%
IND 8.7%
FTrt
25.5
24.2
MIL 33.7 +16.8
IND 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
62.8%
MIL 57.9%
IND 59.5% +1.6%
STL %
7.2%
8.9%
MIL 7.1% +1.0%
IND 6.1%
BLK %
10.4%
9.2%
MIL 4.8%
IND 7.3% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
54.8%
MIL 52.5% +2.5%
IND 50.0%
Rim FG%
64.1%
60.4%
MIL 63.2% +20.3%
IND 42.9%
Mid FG%
39.4%
41.1%
MIL 29.4%
IND 44.1% +14.7%
3P %
35.2%
37.4%
MIL 29.0%
IND 37.0% +8.0%
FT %
77.2%
75.1%
MIL 72.4%
IND 86.7% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
38.7%
MIL 44.2% +12.7%
IND 31.5%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
32.2%
MIL 19.8% +18.4%
IND 38.2%
3P Att. %
42.0%
29.1%
MIL 36.0% +5.7%
IND 30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILIND
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points10697
Rebounds5243
Assists2222
Steals76
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1423
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (1)39 (2)
Field Goals38-8637-89
At-the-Rim FG24-3812-28
Midrange FG5-1715-34
2-Point FG29-5527-62
3-Point FG9-3110-27
Free Throws21-2913-15
Fast Break Pts2310
2nd Chance Pts614
Points in Paint5832
Pts off Turnovers1414
Bench Points2837
Biggest Lead1310

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
38.0
33
69%
19
11
2
1
2
1
7
12
9-10
90%
12-20
60%
0-2
0%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
34.6
9
45%
6
1
3
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-10
30%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
33.5
15
44%
6
5
0
0
1
2
1
5
3-5
60%
3-11
27%
2-5
40%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
30.2
17
65%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
20.7
4
33%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
22.9
11
69%
5
1
0
0
0
5
0
5
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
19.4
12
75%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
16.6
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
14.8
1
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
9.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf Strain
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Heel Bursitis
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
52
22
7
3
10
14
10
42
21-29
72%
29-55
53%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.