FinalWin Prob.pScore
1740%108
90
1360%111
99
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
102.38892.3
IND logo IND
113.88783.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.90
0%
99
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.83 41.3%
IND
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
18
32
56%
IND
15
19
79%
Midrange
CHA
4
18
22%
IND
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
7
10.5
40
18%
26%
IND
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
CHA
25
33
76%
IND
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3465%17.0 / 26
J. Lamb2148%10.5 / 22
C. Zeller1860%9.0 / 15
M. Williams525%2.5 / 10
M. Kidd-Gilchrist433%2.0 / 6
B. Biyombo375%1.5 / 2
M. Bridges350%1.5 / 3
N. Batum214%1.0 / 7
S. Mack0-0.0 / 3
M. Monk0-0.0 / 3
F. Kaminsky0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner1882%9.0 / 11
B. Bogdanovic1458%7.0 / 12
D. Collison1354%6.5 / 12
T. Evans1275%6.0 / 8
T. Young1179%5.5 / 7
D. Sabonis990%4.5 / 5
W. Matthews840%4.0 / 10
C. Joseph650%3.0 / 6
D. McDermott675%3.0 / 4
T. Leaf2100%1.0 / 1
K. O'Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
83
+25
-5
108
IND
75
+8
-12
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.83 41.3%
IND
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
109.8
CHA 102.3
IND 113.8 +11.5
Pace
98.7
98.2
CHA 92.3 +9.2
IND 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.6
CHA 15.6 +1.7
IND 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
52.9%
CHA 36.1%
IND 56.8% +20.7%
TO %
11.7%
13.5%
CHA 6.3% +6.5%
IND 12.8%
ORB %
21.9%
21.9%
CHA 38.2% +23.9%
IND 14.3%
FTrt
25.7
24.2
CHA 36.7 +13.7
IND 23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
62.8%
CHA 51.7%
IND 65.8% +14.1%
STL %
7.2%
8.9%
CHA 8.0% +4.6%
IND 3.4%
BLK %
8.9%
9.2%
CHA 4.1%
IND 6.0% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.8%
CHA 41.3%
IND 60.4% +19.1%
Rim FG%
56.9%
60.4%
CHA 56.3%
IND 78.9% +22.6%
Mid FG%
41.7%
41.1%
CHA 22.2%
IND 50.0% +27.8%
3P %
35.1%
37.4%
CHA 17.5%
IND 32.0% +14.5%
FT %
79.7%
75.1%
CHA 75.8%
IND 88.2% +12.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
38.7%
CHA 35.6% +9.9%
IND 25.7%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
32.2%
CHA 20.0% +20.5%
IND 40.5%
3P Att. %
37.8%
29.1%
CHA 44.4% +10.7%
IND 33.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAIND
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points9099
Rebounds5139
Assists1525
Steals73
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)5 (2)12 (0)
Fouls1522
Off. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)34 (4)
Field Goals29-9038-74
At-the-Rim FG18-3215-19
Midrange FG4-1815-30
2-Point FG22-5030-49
3-Point FG7-408-25
Free Throws25-3315-17
Fast Break Pts132
2nd Chance Pts168
Points in Paint3842
Pts off Turnovers109
Bench Points1035
Biggest Lead620

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
38.6
34
65%
9
3
2
0
3
1
1
8
10-12
83%
6-11
55%
4-12
33%
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
38.5
21
48%
7
2
0
0
1
6
5
2
6-6
100%
6-14
43%
1-8
13%
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
34.8
18
60%
9
1
0
1
0
2
5
4
6-9
67%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
34.3
2
14%
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-7
0%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
30.7
5
25%
11
3
2
0
0
3
5
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-6
17%
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
14.9
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
12.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
11.3
3
75%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
11.0
3
50%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
41%
51
15
7
2
5
15
21
30
25-33
76%
22-50
44%
7-40
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.