FinalWin Prob.pScore
836%112
117
364%117
112
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
114.7102117.4
HOU logo HOU
107.710491.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
100%
112
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.16 57.9%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
18
32
56%
HOU
15
29
52%
Midrange
OKC
9
23
39%
HOU
6
12
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
HOU
16
24.0
45
36%
53%
Free Throws
OKC
24
30
80%
HOU
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George4580%22.5 / 28
R. Westbrook2146%10.5 / 23
D. Schröder1761%8.5 / 14
T. Ferguson1594%7.5 / 8
J. Grant844%4.0 / 9
S. Adams650%3.0 / 6
P. Patterson350%1.5 / 3
N. Noel250%1.0 / 2
D. Burton0-0.0 / 1
A. Nader0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden4266%21.0 / 32
C. Paul1864%9.0 / 14
K. Faried1765%8.5 / 13
E. Gordon1346%6.5 / 14
A. Rivers1071%5.0 / 7
G. Green788%3.5 / 4
I. Shumpert330%1.5 / 5
Nene2100%1.0 / 1
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
83
+18
-19
101
HOU
92
+10
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.16 57.9%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
115.4
OKC 114.7 +7.0
HOU 107.7
Pace
102.9
98.0
OKC 117.4 +25.5
HOU 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
14.8
OKC 12.3 +3.4
HOU 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
54.2%
OKC 52.2%
HOU 52.3% +0.1%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
OKC 15.7%
HOU 10.8% +4.9%
ORB %
26.0%
22.8%
OKC 27.3% +12.7%
HOU 14.6%
FTrt
26.6
27.9
OKC 33.7
HOU 34.9 +1.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
54.1%
OKC 50.0% +1.4%
HOU 48.6%
STL %
9.0%
8.6%
OKC 6.9%
HOU 9.6% +2.7%
BLK %
9.1%
8.7%
OKC 12.2%
HOU 12.7% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
56.9%
OKC 57.9% +3.0%
HOU 54.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.6%
OKC 56.3% +4.6%
HOU 51.7%
Mid FG%
38.6%
41.8%
OKC 39.1%
HOU 50.0% +10.9%
3P %
34.8%
35.6%
OKC 38.2% +2.6%
HOU 35.6%
FT %
71.3%
79.1%
OKC 80.0% +6.7%
HOU 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
33.9%
OKC 36.0% +2.2%
HOU 33.7%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
14.2%
OKC 25.8%
HOU 14.0% +11.9%
3P Att. %
34.7%
51.9%
OKC 38.2%
HOU 52.3% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsOKCHOU
Possessions102104
Possession Minutes20.927.1
Points117112
Rebounds5339
Assists2018
Steals710
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2426
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals40-8937-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3215-29
Midrange FG9-236-12
2-Point FG27-5521-41
3-Point FG13-3416-45
Free Throws24-3022-30
Fast Break Pts152
2nd Chance Pts1510
Points in Paint4434
Pts off Turnovers1429
Bench Points2222
Biggest Lead626

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
41.3
45
80%
11
3
1
0
2
5
2
9
15-18
83%
6-8
75%
6-14
43%
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
38.4
21
46%
12
11
2
1
10
3
0
12
4-5
80%
7-16
44%
1-5
20%
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
38.1
6
50%
9
0
2
2
2
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
35.3
8
44%
8
1
2
2
3
2
2
6
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
#23 · SG · 6'7" 184 · 21
34.7
15
94%
4
3
0
0
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25
22.3
17
61%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
9.9
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
9.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
6.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
4.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 35
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar Tendon
#15 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
58%
53
20
7
5
19
24
12
41
24-30
80%
27-55
49%
13-34
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.