FinalWin Prob.pScore
935%112
110
665%118
117
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
106.8103101.9
PHI logo PHI
113.6103104.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENPHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 53.9%
PHI
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
30
67%
PHI
14
26
54%
Midrange
DEN
20
38
53%
PHI
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
PHI
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
DEN
12
13
92%
PHI
29
32
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2759%13.5 / 23
J. Murray2357%11.5 / 20
W. Barton1447%7.0 / 15
T. Lyles1381%6.5 / 8
M. Beasley1260%6.0 / 10
M. Plumlee1083%5.0 / 6
M. Morris770%3.5 / 5
J. Hernangomez4100%2.0 / 2
T. Craig0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick3494%17.0 / 18
J. Butler2269%11.0 / 16
J. Embiid1536%7.5 / 21
T. Harris1458%7.0 / 12
B. Simmons1260%6.0 / 10
J. Ennis III6100%3.0 / 3
B. Marjanovic450%2.0 / 4
T. McConnell4100%2.0 / 2
F. Korkmaz4100%2.0 / 2
M. Scott225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
91
+11
-12
102
PHI
86
+9
-17
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 53.9%
PHI
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
112.0
DEN 106.8
PHI 113.6 +6.8
Pace
98.0
102.2
DEN 101.9
PHI 104.2 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.1
DEN 14.1
PHI 13.8 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
53.2%
DEN 52.1%
PHI 56.4% +4.3%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
DEN 11.5% +4.1%
PHI 15.6%
ORB %
26.6%
24.5%
DEN 18.6% +0.7%
PHI 17.9%
FTrt
23.2
31.2
DEN 13.8
PHI 41.0 +27.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
64.8%
DEN 76.1% +17.1%
PHI 59.0%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
DEN 4.9%
PHI 6.8% +1.9%
BLK %
8.2%
8.6%
DEN 5.4%
PHI 7.4% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
56.1%
DEN 53.9%
PHI 61.6% +7.7%
Rim FG%
59.6%
63.0%
DEN 66.7% +12.9%
PHI 53.8%
Mid FG%
43.3%
40.5%
DEN 52.6% +2.6%
PHI 50.0%
3P %
35.1%
35.9%
DEN 23.1%
PHI 45.5% +22.4%
FT %
75.5%
77.1%
DEN 92.3% +1.7%
PHI 90.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.3%
DEN 31.9%
PHI 33.3% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
29.5%
DEN 40.4%
PHI 38.5% +2.0%
3P Att. %
34.8%
34.2%
DEN 27.7%
PHI 28.2% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENPHI
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points110117
Rebounds4042
Assists3523
Steals57
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)17 (0)
Fouls1912
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals46-9439-78
At-the-Rim FG20-3014-26
Midrange FG20-3815-30
2-Point FG40-6829-56
3-Point FG6-2610-22
Free Throws12-1329-32
Fast Break Pts1119
2nd Chance Pts116
Points in Paint6840
Pts off Turnovers206
Bench Points2420
Biggest Lead216

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
38.2
14
47%
8
7
0
0
2
4
2
6
2-2
100%
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
36.4
10
83%
8
6
1
0
1
6
2
6
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
35.7
23
57%
5
6
0
1
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
2-8
25%
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
35.3
12
60%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
35.3
27
59%
10
10
3
0
4
2
2
8
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
1-5
20%
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
23.8
13
81%
4
5
1
2
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
12.9
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
12.7
7
70%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | low back surgery
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right adductor strain
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip surgery
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ankle soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
54%
40
35
5
3
12
19
8
32
12-13
92%
40-68
59%
6-26
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.