FinalWin Prob.pScore
3025%102
103
1775%111
120
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
104.099100.0
DET logo DET
121.29998.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
120
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.04 52.0%
DET
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
17
31
55%
DET
21
28
75%
Midrange
NYK
11
25
44%
DET
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
DET
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
Free Throws
NYK
26
41
63%
DET
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Smith Jr.3174%15.5 / 21
D. Jordan14117%7.0 / 6
M. Robinson1179%5.5 / 7
D. Dotson1056%5.0 / 9
M. Hezonja833%4.0 / 12
K. Knox744%3.5 / 8
A. Trier744%3.5 / 8
K. Allen750%3.5 / 7
L. Thomas429%2.0 / 7
L. Kornet3150%1.5 / 1
I. Hicks150%0.5 / 1
N. Vonleh0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2997%14.5 / 15
B. Griffin2672%13.0 / 18
R. Jackson2077%10.0 / 13
L. Kennard1243%6.0 / 14
I. Smith1155%5.5 / 10
L. Galloway550%2.5 / 5
K. Thomas563%2.5 / 4
G. Robinson III583%2.5 / 3
Z. Pachulia4100%2.0 / 2
S. Mykhailiuk338%1.5 / 4
B. Brown0-0.0 / 3
T. Maker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
86
+13
-13
99
DET
87
+15
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.04 52.0%
DET
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
109.0
NYK 104.0
DET 121.2 +17.2
Pace
99.6
97.3
NYK 100.0 +1.9
DET 98.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.2
NYK 14.4 +0.3
DET 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.8%
NYK 49.4%
DET 56.4% +7.0%
TO %
13.4%
13.2%
NYK 11.9%
DET 11.6% +0.3%
ORB %
22.2%
24.9%
NYK 22.2%
DET 27.5% +5.3%
FTrt
27.0
26.1
NYK 52.6 +18.9
DET 33.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.5%
57.9%
NYK 62.9% +5.8%
DET 57.1%
STL %
6.7%
7.1%
NYK 6.1% +3.1%
DET 3.0%
BLK %
9.0%
7.1%
NYK 8.9%
DET 10.7% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.0%
NYK 52.0%
DET 59.4% +7.4%
Rim FG%
56.1%
57.5%
NYK 54.8%
DET 75.0% +20.2%
Mid FG%
37.8%
38.4%
NYK 44.0% +15.4%
DET 28.6%
3P %
34.0%
34.8%
NYK 31.8%
DET 43.3% +11.5%
FT %
75.8%
74.7%
NYK 63.4%
DET 79.3% +15.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
36.7%
NYK 39.7% +7.2%
DET 32.6%
Mid Att. %
29.6%
23.9%
NYK 32.1% +0.5%
DET 32.6%
3P Att. %
33.4%
39.4%
NYK 28.2%
DET 34.9% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKDET
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points103120
Rebounds3946
Assists2224
Steals63
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (1)
Fouls2327
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)35 (2)
Field Goals35-7842-86
At-the-Rim FG17-3121-28
Midrange FG11-258-28
2-Point FG28-5629-56
3-Point FG7-2213-30
Free Throws26-4123-29
Fast Break Pts610
2nd Chance Pts1714
Points in Paint4248
Pts off Turnovers1820
Bench Points4140
Biggest Lead123

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 19
35.4
7
44%
2
2
0
0
3
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
#5 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
34.8
31
74%
2
8
2
0
4
3
1
1
11-19
58%
7-10
70%
2-5
40%
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31
29.4
14
117%
11
1
0
2
2
3
4
7
4-5
80%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
#21 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25
23.9
10
56%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
#32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24
32.6
8
33%
7
1
2
0
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 198 · 23
30.0
7
44%
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
#26 · C · 7'0" 240 · 21
15.1
11
79%
6
1
0
3
0
2
3
3
5-7
71%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26
15.0
7
50%
4
2
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
#42 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 31
13.2
4
29%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#2 · PF · 7'1" 250 · 24
3.5
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#4 · PF · 6'9" 242 · 25
3.5
1
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Strained Left Shoulder
#11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Groin
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
52%
39
22
6
5
13
23
10
29
26-41
63%
28-56
50%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.