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All Games Thursday, February 7, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Spurs
33%111
118
11
Blazers
67%117
127
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
119.29998.0
POR logo POR
127.0100101.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASPOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
127
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
POR
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
26
58%
POR
26
36
72%
Midrange
SAS
21
44
48%
POR
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
POR
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
Free Throws
SAS
10
14
71%
POR
18
18
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3558%17.5 / 30
R. Gay2583%12.5 / 15
L. Aldridge1740%8.5 / 21
B. Forbes11138%5.5 / 4
M. Belinelli857%4.0 / 7
J. Poeltl880%4.0 / 5
P. Mills744%3.5 / 8
D. Cunningham3150%1.5 / 1
D. Bertans250%1.0 / 2
D. Eubanks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. McCollum3068%15.0 / 22
D. Lillard2457%12.0 / 21
J. Nurkić2265%11.0 / 17
R. Hood14100%7.0 / 7
J. Layman1365%6.5 / 10
A. Aminu1179%5.5 / 7
E. Turner675%3.0 / 4
M. Leonard5125%2.5 / 2
M. Harkless225%1.0 / 4
Z. Collins0-0.0 / 2
G. Trent0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+14
-18
95
POR
92
+9
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
POR
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
114.2
SAS 119.2
POR 127.0 +7.8
Pace
98.6
99.5
SAS 98.0
POR 101.0 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
SAS 14.7
POR 14.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.8%
SAS 59.3%
POR 59.9% +0.6%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
SAS 15.6%
POR 7.5% +8.1%
ORB %
20.9%
26.6%
SAS 25.6% +14.8%
POR 10.8%
FTrt
23.7
25.8
SAS 15.4
POR 19.8 +4.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.4%
SAS 39.6%
POR 53.1% +13.5%
STL %
6.2%
6.6%
SAS 3.0%
POR 11.0% +8.0%
BLK %
8.3%
8.3%
SAS 5.0%
POR 5.7% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.6%
SAS 60.2%
POR 62.9% +2.7%
Rim FG%
62.7%
59.0%
SAS 57.7%
POR 72.2% +14.5%
Mid FG%
44.0%
42.5%
SAS 47.7%
POR 50.0% +2.3%
3P %
39.2%
35.9%
SAS 57.1% +21.6%
POR 35.5%
FT %
81.8%
81.4%
SAS 71.4%
POR 100.0% +28.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
39.1%
SAS 28.6%
POR 39.6% +11.0%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
27.0%
SAS 48.4%
POR 26.4% +22.0%
3P Att. %
28.6%
33.9%
SAS 23.1%
POR 34.1% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASPOR
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points118127
Rebounds4333
Assists1926
Steals311
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)8 (0)
Fouls1614
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)29 (0)
Field Goals48-9149-91
At-the-Rim FG15-2626-36
Midrange FG21-4412-24
2-Point FG36-7038-60
3-Point FG12-2111-31
Free Throws10-1418-18
Fast Break Pts218
2nd Chance Pts1711
Points in Paint4862
Pts off Turnovers722
Bench Points2838
Biggest Lead621

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 34
35.1
17
40%
10
1
0
1
4
3
5
5
3-5
60%
7-19
37%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 30
34.5
35
58%
6
6
0
0
5
1
1
5
7-8
88%
14-28
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
31.9
25
83%
3
2
0
1
4
4
0
3
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
5-6
83%
Davis Bertans
#42 · SF · 6'10" 210 · 26
24.0
2
50%
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26
23.4
11
138%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
29.2
7
44%
0
8
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
24.9
8
57%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
17.2
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
12.9
8
80%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
2.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
2.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right ACL tear
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right heel soreness
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | two way
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | sprained right ankle
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
60%
43
19
3
3
18
16
10
33
10-14
71%
36-70
51%
12-21
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.