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All Games Wednesday, February 6, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Spurs
16%109
102
1
Warriors
84%124
141
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
99.010396.4
GSW logo GSW
136.9103110.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASGSW
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
141
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.4%
GSW
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
15
80%
GSW
30
39
77%
Midrange
SAS
11
34
32%
GSW
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
GSW
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
Free Throws
SAS
20
21
95%
GSW
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Mills16100%8.0 / 8
R. Gay1575%7.5 / 10
D. Bertans1286%6.0 / 7
D. Cunningham11110%5.5 / 5
B. Forbes1042%5.0 / 12
M. Belinelli950%4.5 / 9
D. Eubanks9113%4.5 / 4
J. Poeltl7117%3.5 / 3
Q. Pondexter650%3.0 / 6
L. Walker IV417%2.0 / 12
C. Metu233%1.0 / 3
P. Gasol125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thompson26100%13.0 / 13
K. Durant2382%11.5 / 14
S. Curry1973%9.5 / 13
D. Cousins1563%7.5 / 12
A. Iguodala1192%5.5 / 6
K. Looney1063%5.0 / 8
J. Jerebko880%4.0 / 5
D. Green758%3.5 / 6
J. Bell650%3.0 / 6
M. Derrickson675%3.0 / 4
Q. Cook420%2.0 / 10
S. Livingston467%2.0 / 3
A. McKinnie233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
85
+7
-18
92
GSW
92
+15
-11
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.4%
GSW
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
115.5
SAS 99.0 +37.9
GSW 136.9
Pace
98.6
101.3
SAS 96.4
GSW 110.6 +14.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.9
SAS 14.9
GSW 13.0 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
56.4%
SAS 50.6%
GSW 66.3% +15.7%
TO %
11.9%
13.5%
SAS 16.6%
GSW 10.3% +6.3%
ORB %
20.9%
22.5%
SAS 9.5%
GSW 35.0% +25.5%
FTrt
23.7
22.7
SAS 25.9 +3.8
GSW 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
66.8%
SAS 68.6%
GSW 76.4% +7.8%
STL %
6.2%
7.4%
SAS 5.8%
GSW 13.6% +7.8%
BLK %
8.3%
11.3%
SAS 8.2%
GSW 10.2% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
58.3%
SAS 55.4%
GSW 65.9% +10.5%
Rim FG%
62.7%
66.3%
SAS 80.0% +3.1%
GSW 76.9%
Mid FG%
44.0%
45.8%
SAS 32.4%
GSW 40.9% +8.5%
3P %
39.2%
38.5%
SAS 37.5%
GSW 47.1% +9.6%
FT %
81.8%
80.1%
SAS 95.2% +23.8%
GSW 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
29.6%
SAS 18.5%
GSW 41.1% +22.5%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
32.0%
SAS 42.0%
GSW 23.2% +18.8%
3P Att. %
28.6%
38.4%
SAS 39.5% +3.7%
GSW 35.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASGSW
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points102141
Rebounds3052
Assists2442
Steals614
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals35-8155-95
At-the-Rim FG12-1530-39
Midrange FG11-349-22
2-Point FG23-4939-61
3-Point FG12-3216-34
Free Throws20-2115-21
Fast Break Pts850
2nd Chance Pts917
Points in Paint3666
Pts off Turnovers1232
Bench Points4351
Biggest Lead341

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
23 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
24.8
9
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
22.7
12
86%
2
2
0
2
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
20.0
7
117%
3
6
2
0
1
4
2
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
19.6
15
75%
3
3
0
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
17.4
16
100%
2
4
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
30.8
11
110%
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
25.9
4
17%
3
1
2
0
3
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-8
0%
0-2
0%
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
21.1
9
113%
1
0
0
2
2
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
20.0
6
50%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26
19.0
10
42%
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
13.4
2
33%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
5.3
1
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right Anterior Cruciate Ligament
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Load Management
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel Soreness
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Return from Injury Management, Left Knee
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
30
24
6
5
18
19
4
26
20-21
95%
23-49
47%
12-32
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.