FinalWin Prob.pScore
1836%111
93
1264%116
99
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
95.99798.9
DAL logo DAL
101.09896.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHADAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
99
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.95 47.4%
DAL
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
31
55%
DAL
24
35
69%
Midrange
CHA
10
21
48%
DAL
3
23
13%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
37
24%
36%
DAL
11
16.5
36
31%
46%
Free Throws
CHA
12
17
71%
DAL
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3065%15.0 / 23
J. Lamb1544%7.5 / 17
N. Batum1454%7.0 / 13
C. Zeller975%4.5 / 6
M. Monk739%3.5 / 9
D. Graham758%3.5 / 6
M. Williams536%2.5 / 7
M. Bridges450%2.0 / 4
B. Biyombo233%1.0 / 3
M. Kidd-Gilchrist0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić1940%9.5 / 24
D. Finney-Smith1568%7.5 / 11
T. Hardaway1240%6.0 / 15
M. Kleber1179%5.5 / 7
D. Powell1179%5.5 / 7
H. Barnes1038%5.0 / 13
J. Brunson836%4.0 / 11
D. Nowitzki880%4.0 / 5
D. Harris583%2.5 / 3
T. Burke0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
83
+12
-14
95
DAL
85
+17
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.95 47.4%
DAL
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
109.2
CHA 95.9 +5.1
DAL 101.0
Pace
98.7
99.1
CHA 98.9 +2.7
DAL 96.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.8
CHA 14.6 +0.4
DAL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.8%
CHA 45.5%
DAL 46.3% +0.8%
TO %
11.7%
13.6%
CHA 12.7%
DAL 11.4% +1.3%
ORB %
21.9%
22.6%
CHA 16.0%
DAL 27.8% +11.8%
FTrt
25.7
29.1
CHA 19.1 +1.0
DAL 18.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.3%
CHA 47.2%
DAL 65.8% +18.6%
STL %
7.2%
6.5%
CHA 9.3% +1.1%
DAL 8.2%
BLK %
8.9%
7.6%
CHA 15.5% +5.9%
DAL 9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.2%
CHA 47.4%
DAL 48.1% +0.7%
Rim FG%
56.9%
62.0%
CHA 54.8%
DAL 68.6% +13.8%
Mid FG%
41.7%
39.0%
CHA 47.6% +34.6%
DAL 13.0%
3P %
35.1%
34.0%
CHA 24.3%
DAL 30.6% +6.3%
FT %
79.7%
74.2%
CHA 70.6%
DAL 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
33.8%
CHA 34.8%
DAL 37.2% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
24.0%
CHA 23.6% +0.9%
DAL 24.5%
3P Att. %
37.8%
42.2%
CHA 41.6% +3.3%
DAL 38.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHADAL
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points9399
Rebounds4757
Assists1725
Steals98
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls1712
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)42 (1)
Field Goals36-8938-94
At-the-Rim FG17-3124-35
Midrange FG10-213-23
2-Point FG27-5227-58
3-Point FG9-3711-36
Free Throws12-1712-17
Fast Break Pts2221
2nd Chance Pts1114
Points in Paint4450
Pts off Turnovers1014
Bench Points2736
Biggest Lead410

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
36.5
30
65%
11
6
2
0
4
2
2
9
6-6
100%
6-11
55%
4-11
36%
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
35.3
14
54%
2
5
2
2
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
28.6
15
44%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
6-13
46%
0-3
0%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
26.1
5
36%
5
1
1
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
23.1
2
33%
3
0
0
3
2
3
0
3
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
24.7
9
75%
13
1
1
0
1
3
4
9
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
21.1
4
50%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21
19.7
7
39%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
13.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
11.4
7
58%
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
47
17
9
9
14
17
8
39
12-17
71%
27-52
52%
9-37
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.