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All Games Tuesday, February 5, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Heat
39%106
118
10
Blazers
61%110
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.010096.5
POR logo POR
109.199102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
100%
108
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.6%
POR
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
32
69%
POR
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
16
29
55%
POR
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
POR
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
21
25
84%
POR
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside28100%14.0 / 14
D. Wade2261%11.0 / 18
J. Richardson1890%9.0 / 10
J. Johnson1563%7.5 / 12
J. Winslow1033%5.0 / 15
D. Waiters9113%4.5 / 4
K. Olynyk758%3.5 / 6
B. Adebayo563%2.5 / 4
T. Johnson429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. McCollum3375%16.5 / 22
J. Layman2589%12.5 / 14
D. Lillard1343%6.5 / 15
J. Nurkić844%4.0 / 9
E. Turner739%3.5 / 9
M. Leonard744%3.5 / 8
S. Curry750%3.5 / 7
A. Aminu563%2.5 / 4
M. Harkless375%1.5 / 2
Z. Collins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+11
-12
99
POR
88
+12
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.6%
POR
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
114.2
MIA 118.0 +8.9
POR 109.1
Pace
98.1
99.5
MIA 96.5
POR 102.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
MIA 14.9
POR 14.0 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.8%
MIA 58.4% +5.2%
POR 53.2%
TO %
14.3%
13.2%
MIA 11.3% +0.4%
POR 11.7%
ORB %
24.8%
26.6%
MIA 23.5% +7.9%
POR 15.6%
FTrt
24.7
25.8
MIA 30.1 +17.2
POR 12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
54.4%
MIA 40.0%
POR 71.4% +31.4%
STL %
7.8%
6.6%
MIA 11.0% +4.9%
POR 6.1%
BLK %
10.2%
8.3%
MIA 13.0% +9.7%
POR 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.6%
MIA 59.6% +5.6%
POR 54.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
59.0%
MIA 68.8% +9.4%
POR 59.4%
Mid FG%
36.8%
42.5%
MIA 55.2% +18.8%
POR 36.4%
3P %
34.9%
35.9%
MIA 31.8%
POR 38.5% +6.7%
FT %
69.5%
81.4%
MIA 84.0% +9.0%
POR 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
39.1%
MIA 38.6% +4.1%
POR 34.4%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
27.0%
MIA 34.9%
POR 23.7% +11.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
33.9%
MIA 26.5%
POR 41.9% +15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAPOR
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points118108
Rebounds4633
Assists1830
Steals116
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (2)
Fouls1521
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)26 (3)
Field Goals45-8342-93
At-the-Rim FG22-3219-32
Midrange FG16-298-22
2-Point FG38-6127-54
3-Point FG7-2215-39
Free Throws21-259-12
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts135
Points in Paint5642
Pts off Turnovers1518
Bench Points5146
Biggest Lead150

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
14 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
35.4
10
33%
6
5
0
0
3
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
1-6
17%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
33.7
18
90%
4
2
2
0
0
3
0
4
5-6
83%
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
30.0
28
100%
11
0
4
2
1
2
3
8
6-7
86%
11-12
92%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SF · 6'3" 186 · 27
29.0
4
29%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
19.5
7
58%
4
2
1
0
3
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.8
22
61%
9
3
0
1
1
1
2
7
4-4
100%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
26.6
15
63%
6
3
2
3
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
18.8
9
113%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
18.0
5
63%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | two way
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | two way
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right knee surgery
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right knee bone bruises
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
60%
46
18
11
7
12
15
8
38
21-25
84%
38-61
62%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.