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All Games Monday, February 4, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Spurs
52%117
112
20
Kings
48%116
127
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
113.19997.6
SAC logo SAC
128.399100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
127
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.4%
SAC
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
27
74%
SAC
20
31
65%
Midrange
SAS
13
39
33%
SAC
17
27
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
SAC
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
Free Throws
SAS
19
21
90%
SAC
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2471%12.0 / 17
L. Aldridge2269%11.0 / 16
B. Forbes1255%6.0 / 11
P. Mills1243%6.0 / 14
D. Bertans1150%5.5 / 11
R. Gay1139%5.5 / 14
J. Poeltl880%4.0 / 5
M. Belinelli735%3.5 / 10
D. Cunningham3150%1.5 / 1
P. Gasol250%1.0 / 2
C. Metu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bagley2467%12.0 / 18
D. Fox2091%10.0 / 11
Y. Ferrell19136%9.5 / 7
B. Hield1860%9.0 / 15
I. Shumpert1381%6.5 / 8
H. Giles1161%5.5 / 9
W. Cauley-Stein950%4.5 / 9
N. Bjelica770%3.5 / 5
B. Bogdanović633%3.0 / 9
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
91
+17
-8
108
SAC
91
+11
-8
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.4%
SAC
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.0
SAS 113.1
SAC 128.3 +15.2
Pace
98.6
103.5
SAS 97.6
SAC 100.5 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.3
SAS 14.8
SAC 14.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.4%
SAS 47.4%
SAC 62.8% +15.4%
TO %
11.9%
12.4%
SAS 7.7%
SAC 7.4% +0.3%
ORB %
20.9%
23.1%
SAS 27.3% +6.8%
SAC 20.5%
FTrt
23.7
24.4
SAS 21.4
SAC 25.6 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
58.8%
SAS 42.9%
SAC 52.0% +9.1%
STL %
6.2%
8.0%
SAS 6.1% +1.0%
SAC 5.1%
BLK %
8.3%
7.9%
SAS 5.2%
SAC 7.6% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.1%
SAS 51.4%
SAC 61.7% +10.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.3%
SAS 74.1% +9.6%
SAC 64.5%
Mid FG%
44.0%
38.8%
SAS 33.3%
SAC 63.0% +29.7%
3P %
39.2%
37.8%
SAS 28.1%
SAC 40.6% +12.5%
FT %
81.8%
72.6%
SAS 90.5% +29.6%
SAC 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.7%
SAS 27.6%
SAC 34.4% +6.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
31.1%
SAS 39.8%
SAC 30.0% +9.8%
3P Att. %
28.6%
32.2%
SAS 32.7%
SAC 35.6% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASSAC
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points112127
Rebounds4648
Assists1826
Steals65
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)8 (0)
Fouls2018
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)40 (0)
Field Goals42-9850-90
At-the-Rim FG20-2720-31
Midrange FG13-3917-27
2-Point FG33-6637-58
3-Point FG9-3213-32
Free Throws19-2114-23
Fast Break Pts1735
2nd Chance Pts208
Points in Paint5052
Pts off Turnovers149
Bench Points3260
Biggest Lead417

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
33.8
11
50%
8
2
1
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-6
50%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
33.2
24
71%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
4-6
67%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 34
32.8
22
69%
9
1
1
1
1
4
4
5
10-10
100%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26
32.2
12
55%
7
0
1
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-7
29%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
26.0
11
39%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
24.5
12
43%
3
2
1
0
1
5
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-8
25%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
24.4
7
35%
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
15.8
8
80%
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
6.6
3
150%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
6.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel Soreness
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | ACL
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
51%
46
18
6
3
8
20
15
31
19-21
90%
33-66
50%
9-32
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.