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All Games Monday, February 4, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Nuggets
58%111
103
17
Pistons
42%108
129
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
102.0101111.4
DET logo DET
129.010091.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
129
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
DET
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
28
50%
DET
20
28
71%
Midrange
DEN
18
36
50%
DET
12
23
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
DET
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
Free Throws
DEN
12
22
55%
DET
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lyles2071%10.0 / 14
M. Morris1875%9.0 / 12
M. Beasley1667%8.0 / 12
N. Jokić1647%8.0 / 17
M. Plumlee1550%7.5 / 15
W. Barton1045%5.0 / 11
J. Hernangomez643%3.0 / 7
B. Goodwin220%1.0 / 5
T. Craig0-0.0 / 4
T. Lydon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond27113%13.5 / 12
S. Johnson21117%10.5 / 9
L. Galloway1869%9.0 / 13
B. Griffin1785%8.5 / 10
R. Jackson1464%7.0 / 11
L. Kennard1470%7.0 / 10
R. Bullock1169%5.5 / 8
Z. Pachulia440%2.0 / 5
I. Smith325%1.5 / 6
B. Brown0-0.0 / 3
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+16
-13
104
DET
80
+16
-20
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
DET
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.0
DEN 102.0
DET 129.0 +27.0
Pace
98.0
97.3
DEN 111.4 +19.9
DET 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.2
DEN 12.9 +2.8
DET 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.8%
DEN 49.5%
DET 63.6% +14.1%
TO %
13.1%
13.2%
DEN 12.1% +5.0%
DET 17.1%
ORB %
26.6%
24.9%
DEN 21.3%
DET 42.1% +20.8%
FTrt
23.2
26.1
DEN 23.9 +1.2
DET 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
57.9%
DEN 68.3% +1.6%
DET 66.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
DEN 9.9% +1.9%
DET 8.0%
BLK %
8.2%
7.1%
DEN 5.9%
DET 12.5% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.0%
DEN 49.5%
DET 65.8% +16.3%
Rim FG%
59.6%
57.5%
DEN 50.0%
DET 71.4% +21.4%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.4%
DEN 50.0%
DET 52.2% +2.2%
3P %
35.1%
34.8%
DEN 32.1%
DET 43.2% +11.1%
FT %
75.5%
74.7%
DEN 54.5%
DET 85.0% +30.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.7%
DEN 30.4%
DET 31.8% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
23.9%
DEN 39.1%
DET 26.1% +13.0%
3P Att. %
34.8%
39.4%
DEN 30.4%
DET 42.0% +11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points103129
Rebounds3253
Assists2832
Steals108
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)20 (0)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)16 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)37 (3)
Field Goals41-9248-88
At-the-Rim FG14-2820-28
Midrange FG18-3612-23
2-Point FG32-6432-51
3-Point FG9-2816-37
Free Throws12-2217-20
Fast Break Pts129
2nd Chance Pts1428
Points in Paint5054
Pts off Turnovers2616
Bench Points2860
Biggest Lead729

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
34.5
18
75%
2
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
75%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
32.6
15
50%
11
6
2
0
6
2
4
7
3-8
38%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
30.6
16
67%
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
3-5
60%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
29.9
10
45%
3
7
1
1
3
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
25.7
16
47%
3
4
3
0
3
4
1
2
2-3
67%
7-14
50%
0-3
0%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
29.0
20
71%
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
6-7
86%
2-6
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
22.3
6
43%
4
1
2
0
0
1
2
2
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
21.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
8.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
5.5
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
DND - Injury/Illness | R. Ankle Soreness
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Adductor Strain
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
50%
32
28
10
3
13
19
10
22
12-22
55%
32-64
50%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.