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All Games Saturday, February 2, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Nuggets
57%115
107
22
Timberwolves
43%112
106
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
116.39288.3
MIN logo MIN
115.29296.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
106
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.2%
MIN
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
32
56%
MIN
19
34
56%
Midrange
DEN
11
23
48%
MIN
12
21
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
MIN
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
Free Throws
DEN
10
14
71%
MIN
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2279%11.0 / 14
W. Barton2056%10.0 / 18
T. Lyles1973%9.5 / 13
M. Morris1765%8.5 / 13
N. Jokić1341%6.5 / 16
J. Hernangomez880%4.0 / 5
T. Craig440%2.0 / 5
M. Plumlee433%2.0 / 6
P. Millsap0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Towns3170%15.5 / 22
J. Bayless1568%7.5 / 11
L. Deng1150%5.5 / 11
A. Wiggins1045%5.0 / 11
G. Dieng1071%5.0 / 7
T. Gibson8100%4.0 / 4
D. Rose840%4.0 / 10
D. Šarić643%3.0 / 7
J. Okogie440%2.0 / 5
A. Tolliver3150%1.5 / 1
I. Canaan0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+15
-10
97
MIN
84
+16
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.2%
MIN
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.4
DEN 116.3 +1.1
MIN 115.2
Pace
98.0
100.2
DEN 88.3
MIN 96.1 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.5
DEN 16.3
MIN 15.0 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.1%
DEN 55.1% +1.7%
MIN 53.4%
TO %
13.1%
12.5%
DEN 9.6%
MIN 9.4% +0.2%
ORB %
26.6%
24.7%
DEN 31.3% +11.8%
MIN 19.5%
FTrt
23.2
26.6
DEN 15.9
MIN 18.0 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
59.1%
DEN 69.0% +4.7%
MIN 64.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
DEN 3.3%
MIN 6.5% +3.2%
BLK %
8.2%
8.9%
DEN 12.7% +7.2%
MIN 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.9%
DEN 55.2% +2.2%
MIN 53.0%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.0%
DEN 56.3% +0.4%
MIN 55.9%
Mid FG%
43.3%
39.7%
DEN 47.8%
MIN 57.1% +9.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
DEN 39.4% +7.0%
MIN 32.4%
FT %
75.5%
78.7%
DEN 71.4% +2.6%
MIN 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.2%
DEN 36.4%
MIN 38.2% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
32.3%
DEN 26.1%
MIN 23.6% +2.5%
3P Att. %
34.8%
31.5%
DEN 37.5%
MIN 38.2% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points107106
Rebounds4841
Assists2927
Steals36
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (2)
Fouls1615
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (0)8 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)33 (0)
Field Goals42-8842-89
At-the-Rim FG18-3219-34
Midrange FG11-2312-21
2-Point FG29-5531-55
3-Point FG13-3311-34
Free Throws10-1411-16
Fast Break Pts106
2nd Chance Pts1913
Points in Paint4842
Pts off Turnovers917
Bench Points3538
Biggest Lead69

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
40.8
17
65%
7
10
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
31.4
20
56%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
3-9
33%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
29.3
13
41%
16
10
0
0
5
4
8
8
5-8
63%
4-11
36%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
28.7
22
79%
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
4-7
57%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
20.9
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
27.5
4
40%
5
1
0
2
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
26.0
4
33%
5
5
0
3
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
19.8
19
73%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
15.6
8
80%
1
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Rt Hip Surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way Player
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Rt Adductor Strain
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lt Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
48
29
3
7
10
16
15
33
10-14
71%
29-55
53%
13-33
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.