FinalWin Prob.pScore
1353%105
95
1447%104
88
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
100.09596.2
MIA logo MIA
94.69391.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.95
100%
88
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
34
47%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
IND
15
31
48%
MIA
5
12
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
MIA
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
Free Throws
IND
12
17
71%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic3186%15.5 / 18
D. Collison2077%10.0 / 13
M. Turner1458%7.0 / 12
T. Young1139%5.5 / 14
D. Sabonis732%3.5 / 11
C. Joseph429%2.0 / 7
T. Leaf4100%2.0 / 2
A. Holiday220%1.0 / 5
E. Sumner233%1.0 / 3
T. Evans0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2166%10.5 / 16
H. Whiteside1979%9.5 / 12
J. Richardson1464%7.0 / 11
K. Olynyk1458%7.0 / 12
J. Winslow750%3.5 / 7
B. Adebayo563%2.5 / 4
T. Johnson325%1.5 / 6
D. Waiters319%1.5 / 8
J. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+20
-13
102
MIA
70
+12
-23
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
107.5
IND 100.0
MIA 94.6 +5.4
Pace
98.2
98.1
IND 96.2 +4.4
MIA 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.0
IND 15.0 +0.7
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
51.5%
IND 46.6%
MIA 48.6% +2.0%
TO %
13.5%
14.3%
IND 12.7% +9.8%
MIA 22.5%
ORB %
21.9%
24.8%
IND 29.2% +5.5%
MIA 23.7%
FTrt
24.2
24.7
IND 19.1
MIA 36.6 +17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
61.2%
IND 68.4%
MIA 70.0% +1.6%
STL %
8.9%
7.8%
IND 15.8% +7.2%
MIA 8.6%
BLK %
9.2%
10.2%
IND 9.8% +3.6%
MIA 6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
52.9%
IND 46.6%
MIA 53.0% +6.4%
Rim FG%
60.4%
60.8%
IND 47.1%
MIA 55.2% +8.1%
Mid FG%
41.1%
36.8%
IND 48.4% +6.7%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
37.4%
34.9%
IND 29.2%
MIA 30.0% +0.8%
FT %
75.1%
69.5%
IND 70.6%
MIA 73.1% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
37.3%
IND 38.2%
MIA 40.8% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
25.9%
IND 34.8%
MIA 16.9% +17.9%
3P Att. %
29.1%
36.8%
IND 27.0%
MIA 42.3% +15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9588
Rebounds4343
Assists2621
Steals158
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)23 (1)
Fouls2019
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals38-8930-71
At-the-Rim FG16-3416-29
Midrange FG15-315-12
2-Point FG31-6521-41
3-Point FG7-249-30
Free Throws12-1719-26
Fast Break Pts124
2nd Chance Pts1213
Points in Paint4436
Pts off Turnovers317
Bench Points1543
Biggest Lead186

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
38.3
31
86%
7
1
1
0
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
10-12
83%
3-7
43%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
35.9
11
39%
9
4
3
0
0
4
6
3
0-0
-
4-13
31%
1-1
100%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
34.2
20
77%
2
6
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
2-2
100%
#6 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27
31.3
4
29%
6
6
3
0
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
31.1
14
58%
5
2
2
2
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
23.7
7
32%
10
2
3
1
2
2
3
7
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
16.2
0
0%
2
4
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
13.8
2
20%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
10.2
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
5.3
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · C · 6'10" 262 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Rib Injury
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
47%
43
26
15
4
13
20
14
29
12-17
71%
31-65
48%
7-24
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.