FinalWin Prob.pScore
2627%110
108
973%119
113
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
104.9103106.6
SAS logo SAS
111.910197.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.03 51.4%
SAS
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
23
35
66%
SAS
16
28
57%
Midrange
NOP
10
26
38%
SAS
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
SAS
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
NOP
12
12
100%
SAS
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. Jackson2557%12.5 / 22
J. Holiday1547%7.5 / 16
I. Clark1583%7.5 / 9
C. Diallo1393%6.5 / 7
K. Williams12100%6.0 / 6
D. Miller1146%5.5 / 12
T. Frazier945%4.5 / 10
J. Okafor638%3.0 / 8
S. Hill217%1.0 / 6
W. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2566%12.5 / 19
R. Gay1777%8.5 / 11
M. Belinelli1785%8.5 / 10
D. DeRozan1350%6.5 / 13
B. Forbes1260%6.0 / 10
P. Mills1267%6.0 / 9
P. Gasol650%3.0 / 6
D. Bertans536%2.5 / 7
D. White422%2.0 / 9
J. Poeltl2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 1
C. Metu0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
95
+10
-8
105
SAS
90
+10
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.03 51.4%
SAS
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.6
NOP 104.9
SAS 111.9 +7.0
Pace
103.4
98.6
NOP 106.6 +9.0
SAS 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
NOP 13.5 +1.2
SAS 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.4%
NOP 50.0%
SAS 52.7% +2.7%
TO %
14.0%
11.9%
NOP 8.2% +1.7%
SAS 9.9%
ORB %
24.1%
20.9%
NOP 11.1%
SAS 21.3% +10.2%
FTrt
25.4
23.7
NOP 12.5
SAS 19.6 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
58.0%
NOP 60.5%
SAS 65.9% +5.4%
STL %
7.2%
6.2%
NOP 5.8% +0.8%
SAS 5.0%
BLK %
9.1%
8.3%
NOP 5.8% +2.5%
SAS 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.0%
NOP 51.4%
SAS 56.5% +5.1%
Rim FG%
62.1%
62.7%
NOP 65.7% +8.6%
SAS 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.1%
44.0%
NOP 38.5%
SAS 46.3% +7.8%
3P %
34.4%
39.2%
NOP 28.6%
SAS 39.1% +10.5%
FT %
76.1%
81.8%
NOP 100.0% +11.1%
SAS 88.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
27.8%
NOP 36.5% +6.0%
SAS 30.4%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
43.7%
NOP 27.1% +17.5%
SAS 44.6%
3P Att. %
32.4%
28.6%
NOP 36.5% +11.5%
SAS 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsNOPSAS
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points108113
Rebounds4250
Assists2629
Steals65
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1616
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)40 (3)
Field Goals43-9644-92
At-the-Rim FG23-3516-28
Midrange FG10-2619-41
2-Point FG33-6135-69
3-Point FG10-359-23
Free Throws12-1216-18
Fast Break Pts164
2nd Chance Pts611
Points in Paint5642
Pts off Turnovers159
Bench Points4942
Biggest Lead222

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 21
42.0
25
57%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
9-13
69%
1-7
14%
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
33.7
11
46%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
29.9
15
47%
7
4
0
0
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
24.6
6
38%
7
4
1
3
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
#44 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28
11.4
2
17%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
#34 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
30.4
12
100%
8
3
0
0
1
4
0
8
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
27.1
9
45%
4
8
2
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
23.4
13
93%
8
3
1
1
1
0
1
7
3-3
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
14.3
15
83%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
#33 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 32
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
DND - Injury/Illness
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
DNP - Injury/Illness | right ankle sprain
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness
#23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left index finger strain
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right ankle sprain
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
51%
42
26
6
4
8
16
5
37
12-12
100%
33-61
54%
10-35
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.