FinalWin Prob.pScore
742%112
122
858%115
136
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
134.19191.4
DEN logo DEN
147.89291.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.122
0%
136
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.30 64.9%
DEN
1.40 70.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
24
33
73%
DEN
28
35
80%
Midrange
HOU
5
8
63%
DEN
9
16
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
16
24.0
44
36%
55%
DEN
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
Free Throws
HOU
16
21
76%
DEN
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3063%15.0 / 24
K. Faried2377%11.5 / 15
C. Paul2083%10.0 / 12
E. Gordon1794%8.5 / 9
J. Ennis III9113%4.5 / 4
A. Rivers750%3.5 / 7
G. Green758%3.5 / 6
P. Tucker542%2.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley3592%17.5 / 19
N. Jokić3186%15.5 / 18
T. Craig2285%11.0 / 13
M. Morris1882%9.0 / 11
P. Millsap10100%5.0 / 5
M. Plumlee1056%5.0 / 9
W. Barton750%3.5 / 7
T. Lyles325%1.5 / 6
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
81
+13
-10
94
DEN
84
+12
-8
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.30 64.9%
DEN
1.40 70.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
112.6
HOU 134.1
DEN 147.8 +13.8
Pace
98.0
98.0
HOU 91.4
DEN 91.6 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
HOU 15.7
DEN 15.7 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
52.7%
HOU 62.4%
DEN 70.7% +8.3%
TO %
12.8%
13.1%
HOU 9.6%
DEN 8.0% +1.6%
ORB %
22.8%
26.6%
HOU 29.7%
DEN 34.5% +4.8%
FTrt
27.9
23.2
HOU 24.7
DEN 28.0 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
65.3%
HOU 51.1%
DEN 72.5% +21.4%
STL %
8.6%
7.9%
HOU 6.6%
DEN 7.6% +1.0%
BLK %
8.7%
8.2%
HOU 5.9%
DEN 9.8% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
54.5%
HOU 64.9%
DEN 70.1% +5.2%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.6%
HOU 72.7%
DEN 80.0% +7.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
43.3%
HOU 62.5% +6.2%
DEN 56.3%
3P %
35.6%
35.1%
HOU 36.4%
DEN 45.2% +8.8%
FT %
79.1%
75.5%
HOU 76.2%
DEN 87.0% +10.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
37.5%
HOU 38.8%
DEN 42.7% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
27.7%
HOU 9.4% +10.1%
DEN 19.5%
3P Att. %
51.9%
34.8%
HOU 51.8% +14.0%
DEN 37.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points122136
Rebounds3036
Assists2337
Steals67
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (0)
Fouls2414
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals45-8551-82
At-the-Rim FG24-3328-35
Midrange FG5-89-16
2-Point FG29-4137-51
3-Point FG16-4414-31
Free Throws16-2120-23
Fast Break Pts824
2nd Chance Pts1910
Points in Paint5462
Pts off Turnovers922
Bench Points2735
Biggest Lead1020

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
37.2
30
63%
6
9
2
1
5
2
2
4
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
7-14
50%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
33.9
5
42%
5
2
3
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
#35 · C · 6'8" 228 · 29
30.7
23
77%
6
1
0
0
1
4
4
2
5-6
83%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
29.2
20
83%
3
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
#10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 30
25.1
17
94%
2
3
0
0
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 27
24.7
7
50%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
#8 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29
24.5
9
113%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
24.5
7
58%
2
1
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
8.1
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb Injury
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
65%
30
23
6
3
10
24
11
19
16-21
76%
29-41
71%
16-44
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.