FinalWin Prob.pScore
955%109
118
1445%107
102
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
116.8101108.0
MIA logo MIA
103.09993.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
100%
102
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.18 59.0%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
18
35
51%
MIA
25
43
58%
Midrange
OKC
10
26
38%
MIA
5
13
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
16
24.0
30
53%
80%
MIA
11
16.5
36
31%
46%
Free Throws
OKC
14
19
74%
MIA
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George4390%21.5 / 24
D. Schröder28127%14.0 / 11
R. Westbrook1470%7.0 / 10
S. Adams1350%6.5 / 13
J. Grant840%4.0 / 10
P. Patterson583%2.5 / 3
N. Noel433%2.0 / 6
A. Nader217%1.0 / 6
H. Diallo117%0.5 / 3
T. Ferguson0-0.0 / 1
A. Abrines0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk2188%10.5 / 12
J. Richardson1847%9.0 / 19
H. Whiteside1255%6.0 / 11
J. Winslow1050%5.0 / 10
B. Adebayo1083%5.0 / 6
J. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
D. Wade735%3.5 / 10
T. Johnson643%3.0 / 7
D. Waiters525%2.5 / 10
W. Ellington3150%1.5 / 1
R. McGruder233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
86
+14
-15
100
MIA
82
+16
-17
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.18 59.0%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
107.5
OKC 116.8 +13.8
MIA 103.0
Pace
102.9
98.1
OKC 108.0 +15.0
MIA 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
15.0
OKC 13.3 +2.1
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.5%
OKC 57.1% +6.6%
MIA 50.5%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
OKC 13.1% +2.4%
MIA 15.5%
ORB %
26.0%
24.8%
OKC 26.5% +3.6%
MIA 22.9%
FTrt
26.6
24.7
OKC 20.9 +5.7
MIA 15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
61.2%
OKC 52.3%
MIA 68.3% +16.0%
STL %
9.0%
7.8%
OKC 9.9% +2.8%
MIA 7.1%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
OKC 7.1% +3.8%
MIA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
52.9%
OKC 59.0% +8.0%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.8%
OKC 51.4%
MIA 58.1% +6.7%
Mid FG%
38.6%
36.8%
OKC 38.5%
MIA 38.5%
3P %
34.8%
34.9%
OKC 53.3% +22.7%
MIA 30.6%
FT %
71.3%
69.5%
OKC 73.7% +9.4%
MIA 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
37.3%
OKC 38.5%
MIA 46.7% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
25.9%
OKC 28.6%
MIA 14.1% +14.4%
3P Att. %
34.7%
36.8%
OKC 33.0%
MIA 39.1% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions10199
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points118102
Rebounds5047
Assists2328
Steals107
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)17 (1)
Fouls2017
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals44-9141-92
At-the-Rim FG18-3525-43
Midrange FG10-265-13
2-Point FG28-6130-56
3-Point FG16-3011-36
Free Throws14-199-14
Fast Break Pts238
2nd Chance Pts1017
Points in Paint4854
Pts off Turnovers2112
Bench Points4048
Biggest Lead232

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
35.5
43
90%
7
5
2
0
2
2
0
7
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
10-16
63%
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
31.9
14
70%
12
14
1
1
4
0
1
11
2-5
40%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
29.2
8
40%
7
1
1
0
1
2
4
3
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
27.2
13
50%
7
2
3
0
3
3
5
2
1-1
100%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
#23 · SG · 6'7" 184 · 21
22.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25
29.4
28
127%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-7
100%
4-6
67%
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
20.8
4
33%
7
0
0
3
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
16.1
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
15.0
2
17%
5
1
0
0
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
#8 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 21
2.7
1
17%
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 35
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar Tendon
#15 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
59%
50
23
10
4
15
20
13
37
14-19
74%
28-61
46%
16-30
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.