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All Games Thursday, January 31, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Mavericks
47%109
89
17
Pistons
53%110
93
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
97.89188.5
DET logo DET
101.19294.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.89
0%
93
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.92 45.9%
DET
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
17
29
59%
DET
18
37
49%
Midrange
DAL
12
34
35%
DET
6
16
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
DET
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
Free Throws
DAL
10
14
71%
DET
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes2754%13.5 / 25
D. Harris1568%7.5 / 11
D. Powell1063%5.0 / 8
J. Brunson932%4.5 / 14
R. Broekhoff788%3.5 / 4
D. Nowitzki739%3.5 / 9
D. Finney-Smith638%3.0 / 8
M. Kleber450%2.0 / 4
S. Mejri467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin2441%12.0 / 29
A. Drummond2486%12.0 / 14
R. Jackson1757%8.5 / 15
L. Galloway1179%5.5 / 7
R. Bullock422%2.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia4100%2.0 / 2
G. Robinson III4-0.0 / 0
J. Calderon3150%1.5 / 1
L. Kennard220%1.0 / 5
B. Brown0-0.0 / 3
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+19
-10
100
DET
81
+18
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.92 45.9%
DET
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
109.0
DAL 97.8 +3.3
DET 101.1
Pace
99.1
97.3
DAL 88.5
DET 94.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.2
DAL 16.3
DET 15.2 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
50.8%
DAL 44.9% +1.3%
DET 43.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
DAL 11.3%
DET 10.3% +1.0%
ORB %
22.6%
24.9%
DAL 22.9%
DET 31.3% +8.4%
FTrt
29.1
26.1
DAL 15.9
DET 26.7 +10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
57.9%
DAL 50.0%
DET 63.6% +13.6%
STL %
6.5%
7.1%
DAL 2.2%
DET 5.4% +3.2%
BLK %
7.6%
7.1%
DAL 9.4% +1.5%
DET 7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
53.0%
DAL 45.9%
DET 47.0% +1.1%
Rim FG%
62.0%
57.5%
DAL 58.6% +10.0%
DET 48.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.4%
DAL 35.3%
DET 37.5% +2.2%
3P %
34.0%
34.8%
DAL 28.0% +0.7%
DET 27.3%
FT %
74.2%
74.7%
DAL 71.4%
DET 78.3% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
36.7%
DAL 33.0%
DET 43.0% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
23.9%
DAL 38.6%
DET 18.6% +20.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
39.4%
DAL 28.4%
DET 38.4% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points8993
Rebounds4452
Assists1821
Steals25
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)11 (0)
Fouls2124
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (8)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)37 (2)
Field Goals36-8833-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2918-37
Midrange FG12-346-16
2-Point FG29-6324-53
3-Point FG7-259-33
Free Throws10-1418-23
Fast Break Pts74
2nd Chance Pts1015
Points in Paint4244
Pts off Turnovers168
Bench Points3924
Biggest Lead147

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 27
39.2
27
54%
7
4
0
0
4
0
3
4
5-5
100%
8-17
47%
2-7
29%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
33.7
6
38%
4
1
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
32.7
9
32%
2
6
0
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
28.6
4
50%
8
2
1
0
0
5
1
7
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
19.0
4
67%
9
0
0
2
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
26.6
7
88%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 28
24.2
10
63%
5
1
1
2
0
4
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
22.8
15
68%
4
3
0
0
3
2
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
13.2
7
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Luka Doncic
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 20
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Soreness
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
Inactive - Trade Pending
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
Inactive - Trade Pending
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | G-League 2-Way
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31
Inactive - Trade Pending
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
46%
44
18
2
5
10
21
11
33
10-14
71%
29-63
46%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.